US Debt - Part 47
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Discussion

Gargamel

Original Poster:

16,392 posts

291 months

Monday 18th April 2011
quotequote all
The US's total financing requirement for 2011 is 28.8% of GDP, according to the IMF ... just a tad ahead of Greece (24.0%), Italy (22.8%), Belgium (22.4%) and Portugal (21.6%).



rhinochopig

17,932 posts

228 months

Monday 18th April 2011
quotequote all
Not a problem as God loves America and God has a AAA rating. Out of interest where are we in that league table?

Defcon5

6,475 posts

221 months

Monday 18th April 2011
quotequote all
If all these countries are borrowing such huge amounts, who lends them it?

Fittster

20,120 posts

243 months

Monday 18th April 2011
quotequote all
What's the figure for Japan? They always win debt top trumps.

Fittster

20,120 posts

243 months

Monday 18th April 2011
quotequote all
Defcon5 said:
If all these countries are borrowing such huge amounts, who lends them it?
You print money to buy your own debt. What could possibly go wrong?

Work-Shy-Wanabe

1,548 posts

256 months

Monday 18th April 2011
quotequote all
Fittster said:
Defcon5 said:
If all these countries are borrowing such huge amounts, who lends them it?
You print money to buy your own debt. What could possibly go wrong?
But add interest, right? Who decides that interest rate? Is this the same 'base rate'?


I read that the US deficit is $4 *trillion per year and total debt is $14 *trillion. Where they debt free before the credit crunch then?


  • EDIT not billions, trillions sorry........

ringram

14,702 posts

278 months

Monday 18th April 2011
quotequote all
Fittster said:
Defcon5 said:
If all these countries are borrowing such huge amounts, who lends them it?
You print money to buy your own debt. What could possibly go wrong?
Exactly. The PIIGS dont have this option. Buys some time in the short term, but longer term without proper due care and attention..

What can go wrong is currency debasement... Weimar, Zimbabwe, Argentina et al.

ErnestM

11,621 posts

297 months

Monday 18th April 2011
quotequote all
rhinochopig said:
Not a problem as God loves America and God has a AAA rating. Out of interest where are we in that league table?
IIRC, UK is about 40% of GDP...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_the_United...

Gargamel

Original Poster:

16,392 posts

291 months

Monday 18th April 2011
quotequote all

No the UK is at around 75% of GDP

However in absolute terms, we owe around a trillion. the US is borrowing that every couple of weeks !

rhinochopig

17,932 posts

228 months

Monday 18th April 2011
quotequote all
ErnestM said:
rhinochopig said:
Not a problem as God loves America and God has a AAA rating. Out of interest where are we in that league table?
IIRC, UK is about 40% of GDP...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_the_United...
2009/2010 shows 68%. yikes

We're all going to be sold into slavery.

donna180

627 posts

191 months

Monday 18th April 2011
quotequote all
rhinochopig said:
Not a problem as God loves America and God has a AAA rating. Out of interest where are we in that league table?
At the moment.... smile

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/gold-surges-after...


anonymous-user

84 months

Monday 18th April 2011
quotequote all
And here, in the bastion of financial news which is The Sun: http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/money/35...

thinfourth2

32,414 posts

234 months

Monday 18th April 2011
quotequote all
rhinochopig said:
2009/2010 shows 68%. yikes

We're all going to be sold into slavery.
That happened years ago

We must support our chav overlords

Work-Shy-Wanabe

1,548 posts

256 months

Monday 18th April 2011
quotequote all



Are those UK figures % of GDP for our total debt or deficit?

Bing o

15,184 posts

249 months

Monday 18th April 2011
quotequote all
Bandit said:
And here, in the bastion of financial news which is The Sun: http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/money/35...
"I fink the US economy is in for a rough ride, but the Republicans will see us through" says Liberty, 125 from New York

ErnestM

11,621 posts

297 months

Monday 18th April 2011
quotequote all
Work-Shy-Wanabe said:
Are those UK figures % of GDP for our total debt or deficit?
I think spending is 48% of GDP (2009-2010) - total debt is higher.

Welshbeef

49,633 posts

228 months

Monday 18th April 2011
quotequote all
Gargamel said:
The US's total financing requirement for 2011 is 28.8% of GDP, according to the IMF ... just a tad ahead of Greece (24.0%), Italy (22.8%), Belgium (22.4%) and Portugal (21.6%).
Are you sure about those numbers Greece and Portugal had what 9% defecit last year alone that's the defecit so are you saying Portugal and Greece a few years ago were sovrign debt free?? Nope.
Iirc Greece has about 130% debt to GDP and japan is roughly 250%.
The uk was circa 55-60% below Germany and pretty much all the key other countries however our defecit is higher sp our total debt is growing at a higher rate than others

Ireland have a IMF and ECB loans of E150 billion I'm highly confident irelands GDP is c100billion.

matsmith

1,166 posts

239 months

Tuesday 19th April 2011
quotequote all
At the risk of being hit with a "someone is WRONG on the internet" meme

Work-Shy-Wanabe said:
But add interest, right? Who decides that interest rate? Is this the same 'base rate'?

I read that the US deficit is $4 *trillion per year and total debt is $14 *trillion. Where they debt free before the credit crunch then?
Someone more knowledgeable than me about the bond market can explain in better detail how the rates are set, but no the treasury bond interest rate is not the same as the base rate.

US federal spending is in the region of $3.5 trillion, and the deficit is in the region of $1.5 trillion. Their total debt is currently approaching their $14.294 trillion debt ceiling. And no, they were not debt free before the recession. I don't know when they were last debt free, I'm not even sure if they have ever been debt free, but certainly their debt has increased significantly over the past 10 years.

Work-Shy-Wanabe said:
Are those UK figures % of GDP for our total debt or deficit?
I don't know what some of the figures being quoted are, but our 2011 deficit is due to be around 11% of GDP.

Welshbeef said:
Gargamel said:
The US's total financing requirement for 2011 is 28.8% of GDP, according to the IMF ... just a tad ahead of Greece (24.0%), Italy (22.8%), Belgium (22.4%) and Portugal (21.6%).
Are you sure about those numbers Greece and Portugal had what 9% defecit last year alone that's the defecit so are you saying Portugal and Greece a few years ago were sovrign debt free?? Nope.
Iirc Greece has about 130% debt to GDP and japan is roughly 250%.
The uk was circa 55-60% below Germany and pretty much all the key other countries however our defecit is higher sp our total debt is growing at a higher rate than others

Ireland have a IMF and ECB loans of E150 billion I'm highly confident irelands GDP is c100billion.
Welshbeef, you appear to be confused about the terms "financing requirement" and "deficit".

As I said above, the US had a budget of around $3.5 trillion, and their GDP is around $14-$15 trillion. So their financing requirement (ie the amount that they need to raise through taxes and borrowing) is $3.5 trillion, which, according to the IMF, will be 28.8% of their GDP.

The same principal with different figures applies to Greece, Italy, Belgium and Portugal. Their deficit and their financing requirements are completely different.

Work-Shy-Wanabe

1,548 posts

256 months

Tuesday 19th April 2011
quotequote all
matsmith said:
As I said above, the US had a budget of around $3.5 trillion, and their GDP is around $14-$15 trillion. So their financing requirement (ie the amount that they need to raise through taxes and borrowing) is $3.5 trillion, which, according to the IMF, will be 28.8% of their GDP.

The same principal with different figures applies to Greece, Italy, Belgium and Portugal. Their deficit and their financing requirements are completely different.
Ah good point. That may explain the wide range of figures being quoted in this thread.

Welshbeef

49,633 posts

228 months

Tuesday 19th April 2011
quotequote all
Work-Shy-Wanabe said:
matsmith said:
As I said above, the US had a budget of around $3.5 trillion, and their GDP is around $14-$15 trillion. So their financing requirement (ie the amount that they need to raise through taxes and borrowing) is $3.5 trillion, which, according to the IMF, will be 28.8% of their GDP.

The same principal with different figures applies to Greece, Italy, Belgium and Portugal. Their deficit and their financing requirements are completely different.
Ah good point. That may explain the wide range of figures being quoted in this thread.
Thanks for clearing it up - however Year on Year absolute Debt may be the same however GDP changes all the time.

Id always want to see absolute £'s debt & also the GDP abslute & its trend/forecast - fall out would clearly be the %'s you highlighted but it adds more granularity which for me is critical in understanding the dynamics.