US house prices fall at fastest rate yet
US house prices fall at fastest rate yet
Author
Discussion

dave9

Original Poster:

579 posts

192 months

Tuesday 22nd February 2011
quotequote all
http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/mortgages-and-homes/h...

I think personally that the rot may have set in in America and now no one is wanting to buy a property over there.

Personally I think the same thing will happen here.

We have a UK house price thread but how about in the states - vegas property is back to 1999 levels

tinman0

18,231 posts

270 months

Tuesday 22nd February 2011
quotequote all
dave9 said:
We have a UK house price thread but how about in the states - vegas property is back to 1999 levels
That's because dummies have being buying properties and unable to work out that there is a supply and demand thing that got skewed.

Vegas has lots of land, therefore lots of supply, so why should $250k be a sustainable value?

DonnyMac

3,634 posts

233 months

Tuesday 22nd February 2011
quotequote all
Has anyone a 'RightMove' equivalent link for the US?

Thanks,
Donny

tinman0

18,231 posts

270 months

Tuesday 22nd February 2011
quotequote all
DonnyMac said:
Has anyone a 'RightMove' equivalent link for the US?
Different places tend to have different MLS systems, like www.pensacolamls.com.

Jimbeaux

33,791 posts

261 months

Tuesday 22nd February 2011
quotequote all
dave9 said:
http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/mortgages-and-homes/h...

I think personally that the rot may have set in in America and now no one is wanting to buy a property over there.

Personally I think the same thing will happen here.

We have a UK house price thread but how about in the states - vegas property is back to 1999 levels
Now would be the time to buy; it will go back up.

ErnestM

11,621 posts

297 months

Tuesday 22nd February 2011
quotequote all
Jimbeaux said:
dave9 said:
http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/mortgages-and-homes/h...

I think personally that the rot may have set in in America and now no one is wanting to buy a property over there.

Personally I think the same thing will happen here.

We have a UK house price thread but how about in the states - vegas property is back to 1999 levels
Now would be the time to buy; it will go back up.
That would be my suggestion. South Florida got hammered by the recession but has started to show signs of life...

98elise

32,732 posts

191 months

Tuesday 22nd February 2011
quotequote all
dave9 said:
http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/mortgages-and-homes/h...

I think personally that the rot may have set in in America and now no one is wanting to buy a property over there.

Personally I think the same thing will happen here.

We have a UK house price thread but how about in the states - vegas property is back to 1999 levels
Less likely to happen here. Prices are dictated by supply and demand alone

Land is hard to come by here (so is expensive) and there is still a demand for housing. When house prices get too cheap new builds slow because the builders will not want to operate at a loss (staff are mostly contract so will be laid off).

An average 3 bed house will cost about 80k to build + land. When it hits this point you know you are at the bottom of the market as supply of new stock will dry up.

I bought a BTL house a year ago for 128k because you can't build a house for that in my area. Prices might go a bit lower, or stagnate, but I can't see a big drop without another financial crisis.

Just my opinion though smile


snotsnfarts

237 posts

259 months

Tuesday 22nd February 2011
quotequote all
I was playing golf with a group 5 years ago in LV and we were constantly hit on by solo golfers/agents who wanted to join in with the standard "nice area want to move in for $100 down", too much supply and now it's really crashed.

loafer123

16,745 posts

245 months

Tuesday 22nd February 2011
quotequote all
98elise said:
Less likely to happen here. Prices are dictated by supply and demand alone
No. Prices are determined by what buyers are able to pay and what sellers are willing to accept.

98elise said:
Land is hard to come by here (so is expensive) and there is still a demand for housing.
Tell that to the Japanese. Have a read about the Japanese Asset Bubble.

98elise said:
When house prices get too cheap new builds slow because the builders will not want to operate at a loss (staff are mostly contract so will be laid off).
Absolutely.

98elise said:
An average 3 bed house will cost about 80k to build + land. When it hits this point you know you are at the bottom of the market as supply of new stock will dry up.
If average prices hit £80k, we are all up st creek. More to the point, however is the implication that the market is purely dependent upon new builds, when in fact it makes up a tiny proportion of housing stock.

98elise said:
I bought a BTL house a year ago for 128k because you can't build a house for that in my area. Prices might go a bit lower, or stagnate, but I can't see a big drop without another financial crisis.

Just my opinion though smile
I tend to agree.

Victor McDade

4,395 posts

212 months

Tuesday 22nd February 2011
quotequote all
Jimbeaux said:
Now would be the time to buy; it will go back up.
ErnestM said:
That would be my suggestion. South Florida got hammered by the recession but has started to show signs of life...
Do those from out of state or out of country get any concessions when it comes to property taxes in the USA? (i.e when the property is vacant).

Looked at potential properties over there a year or so ago but the property taxes ($7k+ for a modest 3/4 bed town house) put me off.

Digga

48,411 posts

313 months

Tuesday 22nd February 2011
quotequote all
loafer123 said:
98elise said:
Land is hard to come by here (so is expensive) and there is still a demand for housing.
Tell that to the Japanese. Have a read about the Japanese Asset Bubble.
i think the changes and circumstances surrounding Japan's "lost decade" (in pareenthesis because it's now over 10 yrs IIRC) are very different to the UK's current situation.

Japan's cometitive advantage had been 'nicked' in many industrial sectors, by South Korea, and it then had a crisis all of its own. Moreover, the oriental tendency to save for the future and to 'self insure', rather than scab of the welfare state, whilst commendable, produced a very negative feedback.

As far as the US goes though, in many areas, land is dirt. You could build whole towns in the interior, that no one would ever notice.

ErnestM

11,621 posts

297 months

Tuesday 22nd February 2011
quotequote all
Victor McDade said:
Jimbeaux said:
Now would be the time to buy; it will go back up.
ErnestM said:
That would be my suggestion. South Florida got hammered by the recession but has started to show signs of life...
Do those from out of state or out of country get any concessions when it comes to property taxes in the USA? (i.e when the property is vacant).

Looked at potential properties over there a year or so ago but the property taxes ($7k+ for a modest 3/4 bed town house) put me off.
Not in Florida. Only the people that live here full time get a "homestead exemption" (which amounts to about a $25K value deduction off of the property value before tax calculation)

The "vacation home" people pay full price (mostly because those that don't spend full time in Florida rent out the property at rates high enough to cover the taxes).

Remember, Florida has NO State income taxes so property taxes make up the lion's share of State revenues (well - that and the lottery hehe)

loafer123

16,745 posts

245 months

Tuesday 22nd February 2011
quotequote all
Digga said:
think the changes and circumstances surrounding Japan's "lost decade" (in pareenthesis because it's now over 10 yrs IIRC) are very different to the UK's current situation.

Japan's cometitive advantage had been 'nicked' in many industrial sectors, by South Korea, and it then had a crisis all of its own. Moreover, the oriental tendency to save for the future and to 'self insure', rather than scab of the welfare state, whilst commendable, produced a very negative feedback.

As far as the US goes though, in many areas, land is dirt. You could build whole towns in the interior, that no one would ever notice.
Don't get me wrong - I agree with you - my point was that demand for land didn't drive the crazy bubble in price or the subseqent crash in Tokyo. The demand in Ginza has always been high. What drove the bubble was availability of money.

tinman0

18,231 posts

270 months

Tuesday 22nd February 2011
quotequote all
loafer123 said:
Digga said:
think the changes and circumstances surrounding Japan's "lost decade" (in pareenthesis because it's now over 10 yrs IIRC) are very different to the UK's current situation.

Japan's cometitive advantage had been 'nicked' in many industrial sectors, by South Korea, and it then had a crisis all of its own. Moreover, the oriental tendency to save for the future and to 'self insure', rather than scab of the welfare state, whilst commendable, produced a very negative feedback.

As far as the US goes though, in many areas, land is dirt. You could build whole towns in the interior, that no one would ever notice.
Don't get me wrong - I agree with you - my point was that demand for land didn't drive the crazy bubble in price or the subseqent crash in Tokyo. The demand in Ginza has always been high. What drove the bubble was availability of money.
Availability of money is what drove US prices.

The bit I can't work out is that to build your own property is $60-80 per square feet, yet people were paying $250k for 1200 square feet home off a builder. Madness.

Jimbeaux

33,791 posts

261 months

Wednesday 23rd February 2011
quotequote all
Victor McDade said:
Jimbeaux said:
Now would be the time to buy; it will go back up.
ErnestM said:
That would be my suggestion. South Florida got hammered by the recession but has started to show signs of life...
Do those from out of state or out of country get any concessions when it comes to property taxes in the USA? (i.e when the property is vacant).

Looked at potential properties over there a year or so ago but the property taxes ($7k+ for a modest 3/4 bed town house) put me off.
Varies greatly by state. I have a 4,000 sq, ft. house and pay $1036 per year in property taxes. Our homestead exemption is the first $75K of home's value.


Edited by Jimbeaux on Wednesday 23 February 00:52

Matt Harper

7,050 posts

231 months

Wednesday 23rd February 2011
quotequote all
ErnestM said:
Remember, Florida has NO State income taxes so property taxes make up the lion's share of State revenues (well - that and the lottery hehe)
....and now red light cameras, apparently.

ErnestM

11,621 posts

297 months

Wednesday 23rd February 2011
quotequote all
Matt Harper said:
ErnestM said:
Remember, Florida has NO State income taxes so property taxes make up the lion's share of State revenues (well - that and the lottery hehe)
....and now red light cameras, apparently.
Yes, but without points. Nice. Not even an attempt to hide the revenue generation.

jimmyjimjim

8,316 posts

268 months

Wednesday 23rd February 2011
quotequote all
Same with Colorado. But the settings are pretty lenient; the GF decided to not even be subtle about running a red light; in the video I watched, she went through it a good 3 seconds after it had tuned. Quite funny seeing all the other cars pull up and stop, then watch her go blazing through it. $75 later she does at least pay attention now, so it's a good thing, IMHO.

jimmyjimjim

8,316 posts

268 months

Wednesday 23rd February 2011
quotequote all
I meant to add - this story comes up every year at this time; the housing market in the US in very slow at this time, so prices tend to slump as a result. The media always push out a story saying 'lowest in xx months', without mentioning that it's the same every year.

Bing o

15,184 posts

249 months

Wednesday 23rd February 2011
quotequote all
ErnestM said:
Matt Harper said:
ErnestM said:
Remember, Florida has NO State income taxes so property taxes make up the lion's share of State revenues (well - that and the lottery hehe)
....and now red light cameras, apparently.
Yes, but without points. Nice. Not even an attempt to hide the revenue generation.
Clearly you should all be allowed to run stop lights, Darwin always finds a way.