Middle East - heading for democracy or to the left?
Middle East - heading for democracy or to the left?
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Discussion

Ozzie Osmond

Original Poster:

21,189 posts

276 months

Sunday 20th February 2011
quotequote all
The various "rulers" operating in the Middle East have been in charge for many decades and accumulated enormous wealth for themselves alongside their political power. Now the people are revolting. But what is it the people want?
a) To choose a new leader? or
b) To have a slice of the pie?

EDLT

15,421 posts

236 months

Sunday 20th February 2011
quotequote all
The people want A, the new leaders want B.

allnighter

6,663 posts

252 months

Sunday 20th February 2011
quotequote all
actually neither A nor B.
They want C regime downfall, and D democratic process introduced, E free elections, and F better living conditions, jobs, decent wages, housing etc....

Jimbeaux

33,791 posts

261 months

Sunday 20th February 2011
quotequote all
allnighter said:
actually neither A nor B.
They want C regime downfall, and D democratic process introduced, E free elections, and F better living conditions, jobs, decent wages, housing etc....
I think his question was do they want Democracy, and the citizen responsibilities that go with it, or do they want Socialism so their needs can all be handled for them.

R1 Loon

26,988 posts

207 months

Sunday 20th February 2011
quotequote all
allnighter said:
actually neither A nor B.
They want C regime downfall, and D democratic process introduced, E free elections, and F better living conditions, jobs, decent wages, housing etc....
Instead they'll end up with G, none of the above and a fundamentalist dictatorship.

davepoth

29,395 posts

229 months

Sunday 20th February 2011
quotequote all
They've done Socialism. Most of the dictatorships in the region were allegedly left-leaning. What we'll get is anybody's guess, but hopefully it'll be chosen by the people and not the "interim" rulers.

allnighter

6,663 posts

252 months

Sunday 20th February 2011
quotequote all
Jimbeaux said:
allnighter said:
actually neither A nor B.
They want C regime downfall, and D democratic process introduced, E free elections, and F better living conditions, jobs, decent wages, housing etc....
I think his question was do they want Democracy, and the citizen responsibilities that go with it, or do they want Socialism so their needs can all be handled for them.
The former cannot be done without the fall of the existing regime (option C).Actually most of them do not have a new leader in mind per se, hence me pointing to D and E inorder to achieve F.As for the latter "socialism".. I do not think anyone in the ME or NA wants to regress to the 70s.

Jimbeaux

33,791 posts

261 months

Sunday 20th February 2011
quotequote all
allnighter said:
Jimbeaux said:
allnighter said:
actually neither A nor B.
They want C regime downfall, and D democratic process introduced, E free elections, and F better living conditions, jobs, decent wages, housing etc....
I think his question was do they want Democracy, and the citizen responsibilities that go with it, or do they want Socialism so their needs can all be handled for them.
The former cannot be done without the fall of the existing regime (option C).Actually most of them do not have a new leader in mind per se, hence me pointing to D and E inorder to achieve F.As for the latter "socialism".. I do not think anyone in the ME or NA wants to regress to the 70s.
Perhaps not; however, don't underestimate the power of the free ride. wink

allnighter

6,663 posts

252 months

Sunday 20th February 2011
quotequote all
davepoth said:
They've done Socialism. Most of the dictatorships in the region were allegedly left-leaning. What we'll get is anybody's guess, but hopefully it'll be chosen by the people and not the "interim" rulers.
I take it further and say they ve done Islamism too in the case of Iran.I doubt very much anyone in the ME is looking at Iran as the beacon of social fairness and true democracy free from oppression and intimidation.Who would want that model, looking at recent events in teheran and the brutal repression 2 years ago?

allnighter

6,663 posts

252 months

Sunday 20th February 2011
quotequote all
R1 Loon said:
allnighter said:
actually neither A nor B.
They want C regime downfall, and D democratic process introduced, E free elections, and F better living conditions, jobs, decent wages, housing etc....
Instead they'll end up with G, none of the above and a fundamentalist dictatorship.
see my reply above.

R1 Loon

26,988 posts

207 months

Sunday 20th February 2011
quotequote all
allnighter said:
take it further and say they ve done Islamism too in the case of Iran.I doubt very much anyone in the ME is looking at Iran as the beacon of social fairness and true democracy free from oppression and intimidation.Who would want that model, looking at recent events in teheran and the brutal repression 2 years ago?
Why do you think they'll have a choice? A nice happy election brings in a "People's Champion" who immediately bans all future elections and opposition and off they go down a merry route to Iran.

allnighter

6,663 posts

252 months

Sunday 20th February 2011
quotequote all
R1 Loon said:
allnighter said:
take it further and say they ve done Islamism too in the case of Iran.I doubt very much anyone in the ME is looking at Iran as the beacon of social fairness and true democracy free from oppression and intimidation.Who would want that model, looking at recent events in teheran and the brutal repression 2 years ago?
Why do you think they'll have a choice? A nice happy election brings in a "People's Champion" who immediately bans all future elections and opposition and off they go down a merry route to Iran.
Simplistic.Why would they replace one dictatorship with another, looking at the track record of fundamentalism in power since 79(and its current clash with pro-democracy movement).

jeff m

4,066 posts

288 months

Sunday 20th February 2011
quotequote all
R1 Loon said:
allnighter said:
take it further and say they ve done Islamism too in the case of Iran.I doubt very much anyone in the ME is looking at Iran as the beacon of social fairness and true democracy free from oppression and intimidation.Who would want that model, looking at recent events in teheran and the brutal repression 2 years ago?
Why do you think they'll have a choice? A nice happy election brings in a "People's Champion" who immediately bans all future elections and opposition and off they go down a merry route to Iran.
Third world and developing countries have massive gaps between rich and poor. Education is often limited, so the winner in a democratic election will be a combination of the guy who talks the best game and gives out the most sacks of rice.
They want the trappings of western society, but they prefer to work in the grey economy for cash. You can't have both. So the changes they are calling for are not going to be without some individual sacrifice. Egypt does have decent Tax revenues, it actually beat estimates last June, but the other counties may not get what they hope for.
Baksheesh will have to go for them to move forward.
Many I guess, would like to keep thatbiggrin

Ozzie Osmond

Original Poster:

21,189 posts

276 months

Sunday 20th February 2011
quotequote all
jeff m said:
They want the trappings of western society, but they prefer to work in the grey economy for cash. You can't have both. So the changes they are calling for are not going to be without some individual sacrifice. biggrin
Interesting thoughts. Seems to me that in some cases this will mean skinning two cats at once - introducing more democracy but making sure the end result still toes the party line in order to keep the $ billions flowing.

anonymous-user

84 months

Monday 21st February 2011
quotequote all
Jimbeaux said:
I think his question was do they want Democracy, and the citizen responsibilities that go with it, or do they want Socialism so their needs can all be handled for them.
Well i'm pretty certain they would like the US of A to keep their fingers out the pie this time.

james_tigerwoods

16,347 posts

227 months

Monday 21st February 2011
quotequote all
While the people want change, there is a real risk that those in the know will flee a country, plunge that country into even more strife and I can see some military "interim" administrations springing up.

Could not a government of national unity work in these countries - like in South Africa to share power for a few years while "things" get straightened out?

MadMullah

5,299 posts

223 months

Monday 21st February 2011
quotequote all
they want change

they'll get more of the same.


Eric Mc

125,770 posts

295 months

Monday 21st February 2011
quotequote all
Why are people categoring the whole of North Africa as "the Miiddle East". Morocco is as eatern as Spain or Portugal.

Jimbeaux

33,791 posts

261 months

Monday 21st February 2011
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Sheeda Pistol said:
Jimbeaux said:
I think his question was do they want Democracy, and the citizen responsibilities that go with it, or do they want Socialism so their needs can all be handled for them.
Well i'm pretty certain they would like the US of A to keep their fingers out the pie this time.
What has that to do with his post about Democracy or Leftism? I know you have a quota of yank bashing to carry out; at least wait for a better segue. wink

JagLover

46,814 posts

265 months

Monday 21st February 2011
quotequote all
Eric Mc said:
Why are people categoring the whole of North Africa as "the Miiddle East". Morocco is as eatern as Spain or Portugal.
In geographical terms yes, cultural no.