Please explain to me - euro collapse
Discussion
Would one of the scenarios involve countries going back to their old currencies at highly inflated rates trying to get their economy back on track (eg 1 Irish Punt = equivalent of 100€) so that they can then trade against the pound and dollar at more favourable rates which would screw us if they owed us billions. Each country hiking up their new currency rates against the pound & dollar trying to wipe out their Euro debt until it reaches a state of hyper-inflation like that of post-WWI Germany for us as we try to reign them in?
£100 for a loaf of bread. Savings worthless etc....If it's not controlled properly.
£100 for a loaf of bread. Savings worthless etc....If it's not controlled properly.
Edited by FourWheelDrift on Tuesday 30th November 21:46
FourWheelDrift said:
Would one of the scenarios involve countries going back to their old currencies at highly inflated rates trying to get their economy back on track (eg 1 Irish Punt = equivalent of 100€) so that they can then trade against the pound and dollar at more favourable rates which would screw us if they owed us billions. Each country hiking up their new currency rates against the pound & dollar trying to wipe out their Euro debt until it reaches a state of hyper-inflation like that of post-WWI Germany for us as we try to reign them in?
£100 for a loaf of bread. Savings worthless etc....If it's not controlled properly.
are you asking or suggesting?£100 for a loaf of bread. Savings worthless etc....If it's not controlled properly.
Edited by FourWheelDrift on Tuesday 30th November 21:46
Interesting thought about highly inflated rates
sleep envy said:
FourWheelDrift said:
Would one of the scenarios involve countries going back to their old currencies at highly inflated rates trying to get their economy back on track (eg 1 Irish Punt = equivalent of 100€) so that they can then trade against the pound and dollar at more favourable rates which would screw us if they owed us billions. Each country hiking up their new currency rates against the pound & dollar trying to wipe out their Euro debt until it reaches a state of hyper-inflation like that of post-WWI Germany for us as we try to reign them in?
£100 for a loaf of bread. Savings worthless etc....If it's not controlled properly.
are you asking or suggesting?£100 for a loaf of bread. Savings worthless etc....If it's not controlled properly.
Edited by FourWheelDrift on Tuesday 30th November 21:46
Interesting thought about highly inflated rates
FourWheelDrift said:
sleep envy said:
FourWheelDrift said:
Would one of the scenarios involve countries going back to their old currencies at highly inflated rates trying to get their economy back on track (eg 1 Irish Punt = equivalent of 100€) so that they can then trade against the pound and dollar at more favourable rates which would screw us if they owed us billions. Each country hiking up their new currency rates against the pound & dollar trying to wipe out their Euro debt until it reaches a state of hyper-inflation like that of post-WWI Germany for us as we try to reign them in?
£100 for a loaf of bread. Savings worthless etc....If it's not controlled properly.
are you asking or suggesting?£100 for a loaf of bread. Savings worthless etc....If it's not controlled properly.
Edited by FourWheelDrift on Tuesday 30th November 21:46
Interesting thought about highly inflated rates
EDLT said:
The "you can't get out" bit can't possibly be true can it, if one of the bigger countries (Germany or France for example) went back to their own currency what could the rest of the EU do realistically?
They (we) would have to secede. No way for war, the EU has no army. Except economically. Not many can currently afford this.
Why would it collapse?
Its under stain yes, but its very easy for the ECB to buy up dodgy govt bonds. Afterall thats what the UK, JP and US have done.
I wouldn't be surprised to see that happen shortly if things get untenable in the present state. In effect there is unlimited funding available in Euro's from the ECB.
Arguably they havnt done so already because the PIIGS need to reform and sort their s
t out to prevent being permanent parasites.
Probably needs some major changes in constitutions etc. But I think there is a liquidity scheme where banks can borrow unlimited funds that can be rolled over. If the banks then use those funds to buy govt bonds etc perhaps that would work as a get around.
Anyway we will see. I cant see the Euro dying with the ECB able to print money to buy bonds as per US/JP/UK QE.
Its under stain yes, but its very easy for the ECB to buy up dodgy govt bonds. Afterall thats what the UK, JP and US have done.
I wouldn't be surprised to see that happen shortly if things get untenable in the present state. In effect there is unlimited funding available in Euro's from the ECB.
Arguably they havnt done so already because the PIIGS need to reform and sort their s
t out to prevent being permanent parasites. Probably needs some major changes in constitutions etc. But I think there is a liquidity scheme where banks can borrow unlimited funds that can be rolled over. If the banks then use those funds to buy govt bonds etc perhaps that would work as a get around.
Anyway we will see. I cant see the Euro dying with the ECB able to print money to buy bonds as per US/JP/UK QE.
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