Should we worry about Ebola?
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Discussion

lornemalvo

Original Poster:

4,361 posts

93 months

Yesterday (10:09)
quotequote all
I watched a report on Ebola this morning, followed by a report about hundreds crossing the channel due to the calm weather. A large number of them are Africans, and as the incubation period is up to 21 days, I wonder whether any measures are in place to catch any cases that arrive here? I have no faith in the security of our borders, so should we be worried?

StevieBee

15,012 posts

280 months

Yesterday (10:26)
quotequote all
lornemalvo said:
I watched a report on Ebola this morning, followed by a report about hundreds crossing the channel due to the calm weather. A large number of them are Africans, and as the incubation period is up to 21 days, I wonder whether any measures are in place to catch any cases that arrive here? I have no faith in the security of our borders, so should we be worried?
In a word, no (ish).

The source of the current outbreak is in parts of Africa (around Congo) from which very few people come from to the UK through illegal routes. For those that do it takes months just to get to the point at which they leave Africa, let alone the channel. If there were any importation threat it would most likely come via Spain, Southern France or Italy - all of whom are capable of containing it.

I was in Sierra Leone a few years after the last outbreak and regularly had drinks in the evening with a bunch of aid workers and medical professionals working there on a DFID project with other European agencies to improve sanitation and education around healthcare to prevent similar outbreaks occurring there again. They explained that whilst you really don't want to get Ebola, for healthy westerners is less of an issue that it is to the locals for whom, thanks to very poor nutrition and sanitary conditions, a common cold is a life-threatening ailment.

Obviously some people do visit the UK legitimately from these parts of the world so there does exist the risk from that but there will be very tight screening both at the departure points and on arrival.



lornemalvo

Original Poster:

4,361 posts

93 months

Yesterday (10:36)
quotequote all
StevieBee said:
In a word, no (ish).

The source of the current outbreak is in parts of Africa (around Congo) from which very few people come from to the UK through illegal routes. For those that do it takes months just to get to the point at which they leave Africa, let alone the channel. If there were any importation threat it would most likely come via Spain, Southern France or Italy - all of whom are capable of containing it.

I was in Sierra Leone a few years after the last outbreak and regularly had drinks in the evening with a bunch of aid workers and medical professionals working there on a DFID project with other European agencies to improve sanitation and education around healthcare to prevent similar outbreaks occurring there again. They explained that whilst you really don't want to get Ebola, for healthy westerners is less of an issue that it is to the locals for whom, thanks to very poor nutrition and sanitary conditions, a common cold is a life-threatening ailment.

Obviously some people do visit the UK legitimately from these parts of the world so there does exist the risk from that but there will be very tight screening both at the departure points and on arrival.
Good information. Thanks for that.

vixen1700

28,263 posts

295 months

Yesterday (10:39)
quotequote all
Ebola virus is not airborne and does not spread through mosquitoes, water, or food. Transmission occurs exclusively through direct contact with the blood, body fluids (such as saliva, vomit, urine, feces, semen, and breast milk), or tissues of infected individuals, including those who have died from the disease.

I reckon most people will be fine. smile

bloomen

9,671 posts

184 months

Yesterday (10:57)
quotequote all
lornemalvo said:
A large number of them are Africans, and as the incubation period is up to 21 days, I wonder whether any measures are in place to catch any cases that arrive here?
Anyone from Ebolaville poised to cross the channel will have taken several weeks to many months or years to arrive at that point.

They would've already laid waste to the whole of Northern Africa and Europe if you could catch it just by enjoying a loiter.

RSTurboPaul

12,908 posts

283 months

Yesterday (11:30)
quotequote all
vixen1700 said:
Ebola virus is not airborne and does not spread through mosquitoes, water, or food. Transmission occurs exclusively through direct contact with the blood, body fluids (such as saliva, vomit, urine, feces, semen, and breast milk), or tissues of infected individuals, including those who have died from the disease.

I reckon most people will be fine. smile
So we just have to outrun the zombies and we will be fine? tongue out

Megaflow

11,223 posts

250 months

Yesterday (11:35)
quotequote all
vixen1700 said:
Ebola virus is not airborne and does not spread through mosquitoes, water, or food. Transmission occurs exclusively through direct contact with the blood, body fluids (such as saliva, vomit, urine, feces, semen, and breast milk), or tissues of infected individuals, including those who have died from the disease.

I reckon most people will be fine. smile
This. So ignore WHO and the media turning it into a panic it doesn’t need to be.

simon_harris

2,787 posts

59 months

Yesterday (11:48)
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NO.

next question

grumbledoak

32,444 posts

258 months

Yesterday (12:06)
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If you can avoid snogging complete strangers who look visibly sick you'll probably be fine.

drmotorsport

950 posts

268 months

Yesterday (12:32)
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Did you worry about it all the other times the press decided to get excited about it?

Jaybee1981

69 posts

144 months

Yesterday (12:36)
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I'd prioritise obesity, alcohol, smoking etc waaaaaay above anything else on the list of 'things that might get me'.
Ebola is around about the lightning strike level of concern for me.

Puddenchucker

5,544 posts

243 months

Yesterday (12:54)
quotequote all
grumbledoak said:
If you can avoid snogging complete strangers who look visibly sick you'll probably be fine.
Well that's my Saturday night down the Dog & Duck ruined.

toasty

8,294 posts

245 months

Yesterday (13:01)
quotequote all
vixen1700 said:
Ebola virus is not airborne and does not spread through mosquitoes, water, or food. Transmission occurs exclusively through direct contact with the blood, body fluids (such as saliva, vomit, urine, feces, semen, and breast milk), or tissues of infected individuals, including those who have died from the disease.

I reckon most people will be fine. smile
I've seen the movies, viruses mutate all the time. Remember the Motaba outbreak? It went airborne. They all do.

Don't just worry, panic! wink

Mortarboard

12,320 posts

80 months

Yesterday (13:10)
quotequote all
"Thankfully" ebola kills quite quickly once the contagious stage starts.

Most likely pandemic is another flu variant. Airborne, travels easily, vaccines aren't 100% effective.

Left-field concern would be a measles variant not covered by current vaccines.

M.

Muzzer79

12,779 posts

212 months

Yesterday (13:11)
quotequote all
lornemalvo said:
I watched a report on Ebola this morning, followed by a report about hundreds crossing the channel due to the calm weather. A large number of them are Africans, and as the incubation period is up to 21 days, I wonder whether any measures are in place to catch any cases that arrive here? I have no faith in the security of our borders, so should we be worried?
No

lornemalvo

Original Poster:

4,361 posts

93 months

Yesterday (13:18)
quotequote all
drmotorsport said:
Did you worry about it all the other times the press decided to get excited about it?
I've not seen much in the press and I never said I was worried. I asked whether we should be

nvubu

1,137 posts

154 months

Yesterday (13:56)
quotequote all
In 2000 I was living in Uganda when they had an Ebola outbreak. This was one of the largest outbreaks to occur - before the one in 2014 in West Africa. This was before there was any treatment for Ebola, basically if you got it you died. I seem to remember Uganda dealt with it internally with very little fanfare or outside help. Maybe help for testing, but no influx of people. I think the policy was to isolate the area and put travel controls / checks in place for a district.

It was reported on daily in the papers, and people in the Kampala, where I lived, modified their behaviour so there were no more greetings with hand shakes and people stood a little further apart.

The rumours were that it had come across into Uganda with soldiers, or their families, from the Congo where the Ugandan armed forces were involved in "stuff". The outbreaks in the country seemed to be close to army barracks, and I don't remember it ever getting close to the capital.

I'm not concerned about Ebola crossing the channel on a boat, as others have said, there is a long way for people to travel across land both in time and distance, so it should have become obvious a long time before someone got to our shores.

It is air travel that is the way it would get into the country. A heath worker who was involved in assistance travelling home and they only show symptoms after arriving home. This is what seemed to happen in the 2014 outbreak.



nordboy

3,099 posts

75 months

Robertb

3,611 posts

263 months

Yesterday (14:06)
quotequote all
I also read that UK scientists are developing a vaccine.

It will be interesting to see where the anti-vaxxers stand on this one, if it becomes more widespread.

the-photographer

4,652 posts

201 months

Yesterday (15:29)
quotequote all
UK scientists developing Ebola vaccine that could be ready for trials in months

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cy82gkr7xzlo