Trading via an AI bot- anyone used them?
Trading via an AI bot- anyone used them?
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Discussion

Longy00000

Original Poster:

2,022 posts

65 months

Friday 1st May
quotequote all
I've been looking at speculating via an AI bot on FX markets.
My initial research from the proper financial media (not reddit or FB etc) suggests they can run a portfolio successfully but if course not without risk.
Im currently away so my findings are bit slum so far but will dive deeper when I get back home.

Does anyone have real world experience?
My initial concern is am.i techy enough to set it up correctly as I think you need the bot software, probably $1000 ish, Metatrader 5 (not sure what this is yet), and a brokers account. I would then need to get them all talking to each other somehow.

I like the idea of having a bit of a punt with something like this in the background.
Any thoughts ?

simon_harris

2,787 posts

59 months

Friday 1st May
quotequote all
I thought this was a bit of a fantasy - if it really worked and made people money then every man and his dog would be selling the heck out of it?

Longy00000

Original Poster:

2,022 posts

65 months

Friday 1st May
quotequote all
Plenty financial journos have had some success with them but they are a tad pricey to buy and the key appears to be setting the risk reward balance right. Any profit generated today gets lost tomorrow together with your stake, too little risk and they can bounce around in a sort of up a bit down a bit fashion.

Im interested if anyone has used them except financial journalists to get user experience.

gmaz

5,243 posts

235 months

Tuesday 5th May
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I wondered about this after watching Hannah Fry's video on OpenClaw - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WnzR5aOElvw

It should be simple enough to give it access to your Trading212, or whatever, account details (eek!) and let it go.

Haltamer

2,638 posts

105 months

Tuesday 5th May
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This seems like setting up a rig to pull the lever on the fruit machine to me - Probably entertaining / interesting to setup, but I’d never trust it with more than gambling budget; Any tales of massive returns I see on social media usually come from the Dubai Course instructor brigade.


vindaloo79

1,214 posts

105 months

Tuesday 5th May
quotequote all
Longy00000 said:
I've been looking at speculating via an AI bot on FX markets.
My initial research from the proper financial media (not reddit or FB etc) suggests they can run a portfolio successfully but if course not without risk.
Im currently away so my findings are bit slum so far but will dive deeper when I get back home.

Does anyone have real world experience?
My initial concern is am.i techy enough to set it up correctly as I think you need the bot software, probably $1000 ish, Metatrader 5 (not sure what this is yet), and a brokers account. I would then need to get them all talking to each other somehow.

I like the idea of having a bit of a punt with something like this in the background.
Any thoughts ?
Do it with paper trading account first. Test it thoroughly.

Just ask Claude ai how to do it and then follow instructions.


Hoofy

79,624 posts

307 months

Tuesday 5th May
quotequote all
If you were able to create an AI bot that could make you trillions, would you sell it to the world for £50? If not £50, £500? £5,000? £50,000? Assuming, it's capable of doing its job, why not keep it and borrow £50k that you could turn into £5m in a month? biggrin

JoshSm

3,970 posts

62 months

Tuesday 5th May
quotequote all
Hoofy said:
If you were able to create an AI bot that could make you trillions, would you sell it to the world for £50? If not £50, £500? £5,000? £50,000? Assuming, it's capable of doing its job, why not keep it and borrow £50k that you could turn into £5m in a month? biggrin
Same logic as with people selling trading courses - if you have a money printer you'd use it yourself, you don't rent it out to other people.

If someone is renting you the tool it's because that's the only good way it can actually turn a profit.


Also, anything involving FX market speculation always sets off alarms.

Hoofy

79,624 posts

307 months

Tuesday 5th May
quotequote all
JoshSm said:
Hoofy said:
If you were able to create an AI bot that could make you trillions, would you sell it to the world for £50? If not £50, £500? £5,000? £50,000? Assuming, it's capable of doing its job, why not keep it and borrow £50k that you could turn into £5m in a month? biggrin
Same logic as with people selling trading courses - if you have a money printer you'd use it yourself, you don't rent it out to other people.

If someone is renting you the tool it's because that's the only good way it can actually turn a profit.
Exactly!

DaveCWK

2,336 posts

199 months

Tuesday 5th May
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Sounds like a scam, especially so if there's some significant purchase/buy in. I mean what exactly is it looking at/doing, over that done by every algorithmic trading institution, to come up with this supposed winning formula?

DaveA8

708 posts

106 months

Wednesday 6th May
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The short answer is if you can’t set it up for yourself and you can’t code whatever it is you want to achieve, it’s probably best to avoid it. I know some relatively successful stock swing traders and all 3 of them tried and failed to make money over a longer period on FX.
It is the most efficient market out there and I’ve never even been tempted because the infrastructure and tech needed due to trading timescales is institutional level equipment and cost.
Add in who really knows where a currency is going on an average and as for macro calls, get that wrong and it’s wipe out.
FX is alluring because of the margin, leverage of 200 times but leverage is not edge, it just means losses accumulate quicker.
If there is a free or demo account try that but most don’t account for fees or slippage so returns appear better than they actually are.
Do not buy a bot unless you understand it as others risk tolerance may differ.

Longy00000

Original Poster:

2,022 posts

65 months

Wednesday 6th May
quotequote all
I think your comments Dave have perhaps confirmed my own thoughts. I can see how a bot could work but my tech skills are perhaps not as sharp as they need to be to make it work in rhe FX markets. It was never a case In believing its a magic wand to make you rich but as a tool and mechanism to scalp trades continuously coukd be very useful but alas I just don't have the tech knowledge to make it work.
A shame really as I would live to give it a go and experiment with a piece of kit.

NowWatchThisDrive

1,281 posts

129 months

Thursday 7th May
quotequote all
Longy00000 said:
I think your comments Dave have perhaps confirmed my own thoughts. I can see how a bot could work but my tech skills are perhaps not as sharp as they need to be to make it work in rhe FX markets. It was never a case In believing its a magic wand to make you rich but as a tool and mechanism to scalp trades continuously coukd be very useful but alas I just don't have the tech knowledge to make it work.
A shame really as I would live to give it a go and experiment with a piece of kit.
A long time ago, maybe. It was even possible to do it by hand wink:



Nowadays it's just another infrastructure and talent arms race among the professionals, in the most liquid market on the planet (daily turnover in the $trillions). It would be like putting your kit car in an F1 race.

driver67

1,085 posts

190 months

Thursday 7th May
quotequote all
Longy00000 said:
I think your comments Dave have perhaps confirmed my own thoughts. I can see how a bot could work but my tech skills are perhaps not as sharp as they need to be to make it work in rhe FX markets. It was never a case In believing its a magic wand to make you rich but as a tool and mechanism to scalp trades continuously coukd be very useful but alas I just don't have the tech knowledge to make it work.
A shame really as I would live to give it a go and experiment with a piece of kit.
Have a look at N8N. You can set this all up yourself and run it locally - even off a decent NAS.


happytobealive

245 posts

131 months

Sunday 10th May
quotequote all
Longy00000 said:
I've been looking at speculating via an AI bot on FX markets.
My initial research from the proper financial media (not reddit or FB etc) suggests they can run a portfolio successfully but if course not without risk.
Im currently away so my findings are bit slum so far but will dive deeper when I get back home.

Does anyone have real world experience?
My initial concern is am.i techy enough to set it up correctly as I think you need the bot software, probably $1000 ish, Metatrader 5 (not sure what this is yet), and a brokers account. I would then need to get them all talking to each other somehow.

I like the idea of having a bit of a punt with something like this in the background.
Any thoughts ?
My thoughts - from an investment opportunity, it is a terrible idea - save your money, you won't make anything. As a project to learn something new, you might find it interesting.

The main problem with FX trading strategies (like those you will find with metatrader), is that any 'edge' is nearly always noise/over-fit. Or it will be very regime dependent, and you won't know the regime has changed until you find any profits have been lost in a period of drawdown.

The key point is that no trader who wants to make a profit long term relies on someone's else strategy. You have to understand the reason why you think you have found an edge, why it still exists, why it hasn't already been arbitraged away, and what are the extent of any 'hidden' risks which didn't reveal themselves in your backtest. If you can't answer those questions in detail, you aren't ready to trade.

Sorry to sound negative - if I was trying to be more positive, learning a new skill, understanding more about a new technology and how markets work could be very enjoyable.

NRS

25,590 posts

226 months

Monday 11th May
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On top of the point of why would someone share their magic money tree for say £1000 then how do you expect a £1000 AI to be better than the far bigger sums pumped into their own ones by the big organisations?

z4RRSchris

12,452 posts

204 months

Monday 11th May
quotequote all
its a usual scam, ai gold rush selling shovels and picks.

the big funds have a) huge models using fking crazy computing power b) an office full of data scientists c) the firepower to move the market d) an ultra high speed direct internet connection.

good luck competing with them.

Longy00000

Original Poster:

2,022 posts

65 months

Monday 11th May
quotequote all
I've pretty much kicked this into the long grass for the time being at least.
I've invested in the equity markets for years now but I've.also got to acknowledge that I've been holding less direct equity investments in the last year or two and more fund holdings largely because of time constraints and I think if I went into this I may well face the same issue of time and start to neglect it so I may start with best intentions but the reality is I doubt I would commit sufficient time to it.
I still think it could present some interesting opportunities in the right person's hands. Those seeing it as snakeoil magic money tree stuff i think are missing the point i was trying to raise.
Utilising an AI tool to work in the background operating within parameters you have determined and trading within a structure you've also dictated within your own strategy coukd become really useful and perhaps its not that far away ??
In any event i think i will be keeping an eye on developments and if I get bored elsewhere I may throw myself into this and see what happens rofl

z4RRSchris

12,452 posts

204 months

Monday 11th May
quotequote all
claude can do that for you

happytobealive

245 posts

131 months

Monday 11th May
quotequote all
Longy00000 said:
...
Utilising an AI tool to work in the background operating within parameters you have determined and trading within a structure you've also dictated within your own strategy coukd become really useful and perhaps its not that far away ??...
You don't need AI to do this. You can set up bots to "run in the background operating within parameters you have determined and trading within a structure you've also dictated". I do exactly this for my living. But you still need to know what parameters, and *why* those specific parameters, and what they should produce, and when they aren't going to work. I also think you won't find easily find any edge like that in the FX market which isn't noise/overfit.