Mortgage or invest?
Mortgage or invest?
Author
Discussion

Jellybean&

Original Poster:

3 posts

1 month

Saturday 4th April
quotequote all
Evening

Recently sold my rental and have circa 140k spare. Currently owe 137k & 0.97% ending in nov this year. My wife and I can put 80k in cash isa’s and drip feed the rest over the next few years.

Reading into stocks and shares isa’s gets me overwhelmed, everything points to vanguard etc.

Any pointers on what to do? Clear mortgage or invest?

Thanks


Simpo Two

91,913 posts

290 months

Saturday 4th April
quotequote all
It's a toughie. I think now is a good time to invest, but I also don't like debt, and borrowing to invest is generally not a good idea.

YouWhatAgain

78 posts

5 months

Saturday 4th April
quotequote all
Simpo Two said:
It's a toughie. I think now is a good time to invest, but I also don't like debt, and borrowing to invest is generally not a good idea.
He’s not borrowing to invest, it’s spare cash. Put it to work in a S&S ISA.

Amateurish

8,269 posts

247 months

Saturday 4th April
quotequote all
What will the mortgage rate be come November?

Jellybean&

Original Poster:

3 posts

1 month

Saturday 4th April
quotequote all
Well today’s rates seem to be 4.6% min

Simpo Two

91,913 posts

290 months

Saturday 4th April
quotequote all
YouWhatAgain said:
Simpo Two said:
It's a toughie. I think now is a good time to invest, but I also don't like debt, and borrowing to invest is generally not a good idea.
He s not borrowing to invest, it s spare cash. Put it to work in a S&S ISA.
It's £80K he can choose to keep borrowing as part of his mortgage (ie to invest), or pay off.

gangzoom

8,377 posts

240 months

Saturday 4th April
quotequote all
^
£137k loan at 4.6% on a 10 year term is £1400/month for a repayment mortgage versus £1200/months at 1%. £137k isn't a massive loan so the difference interest rate isn't massive especially if OP hasn't got long left on the term.

So paying off the mortgage will mean the OP doesn't have a regular outgoings from the mortgage - But it means OP will lose the opportunity to invest that money.

We are all different with our attitudes to financial risk, personal circumstances etc.

Simpo Two

91,913 posts

290 months

Saturday 4th April
quotequote all
OK, so assuming the OP will be paying 4.6% on his mortgage, can his £80K if invested do better than 4.6%? That's the gamble and why there's no right answer. Paying down the mortgage is a known saving, investing it is an uncertain gain. Conclusion: 'How lucky do you feel?' nuts

RacingStripes

840 posts

55 months

Saturday 4th April
quotequote all
Im investing rather than overpaying. As we are at year end ive just looked at how mines done. Since the war in Iran kicked off its lost 8% in 4 weeks, which means its finished the year on +14%. My mortgage is 4.29%. So at the minute im still happy.

Blue_star

795 posts

41 months

Saturday 4th April
quotequote all
With current levels of volatility chucking large amount of money in funds is a risky business. You can be caught offside; better ways of gambling.

Money market £80k between now and October and then final decision can be taken. By then markets can be down substantially so might have better prospects of future returns.

anonymous-user

79 months

Saturday 4th April
quotequote all
Why do these threads always have recommendations of one or the other? Why not take a split approach which will dilute the risk but mean you are still in the game for potential upside?

Sargeant Orange

3,139 posts

172 months

Sunday 5th April
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Hard to answer without knowing age profile, retirement plans, remaining mortgage term, how diversified your investments currently are

YouWhatAgain

78 posts

5 months

Sunday 5th April
quotequote all
Blue_star said:
With current levels of volatility chucking large amount of money in funds is a risky business. You can be caught offside; better ways of gambling.

Money market £80k between now and October and then final decision can be taken. By then markets can be down substantially so might have better prospects of future returns.
Not sure what gambling has to do with this thread, we are talking about investing. Not the same thing.

Blue_star

795 posts

41 months

Sunday 5th April
quotequote all
YouWhatAgain said:
Blue_star said:
With current levels of volatility chucking large amount of money in funds is a risky business. You can be caught offside; better ways of gambling.

Money market £80k between now and October and then final decision can be taken. By then markets can be down substantially so might have better prospects of future returns.
Not sure what gambling has to do with this thread, we are talking about investing. Not the same thing.
With current levels of volatility chucking large amount of money in funds is a risky business.

Panamax

8,723 posts

59 months

Sunday 5th April
quotequote all
Simpo Two said:
Conclusion: 'How lucky do you feel?' nuts
Ah yes, the "Dirty Harry" strategy.

YouWhatAgain

78 posts

5 months

Sunday 5th April
quotequote all
Blue_star said:
With current levels of volatility chucking large amount of money in funds is a risky business.
Investing is a period of 5yrs plus. You won’t even notice any potential drop by then.

galaxy500

31 posts

171 months

Sunday 5th April
quotequote all
Look at it this way - if you were mortgage free would you take £140k of equity out your house to invest in the stock market? Unlikely.

For me - and I’m sure there will be those that disagree - that logic works both ways.

Pay off the mortgage and start a monthly drip into low cost funds, Vanguard or similar, in tax efficient wrappers - ISA/SIPPs - would get my vote.

Dixy

3,541 posts

230 months

Sunday 5th April
quotequote all
galaxy500 said:
Look at it this way - if you were mortgage free would you take £140k of equity out your house to invest in the stock market? Unlikely.

For me - and I m sure there will be those that disagree - that logic works both ways.

Pay off the mortgage and start a monthly drip into low cost funds, Vanguard or similar, in tax efficient wrappers - ISA/SIPPs - would get my vote.
I was about to post exactly this.

g40steve

1,216 posts

187 months

Sunday 5th April
quotequote all
galaxy500 said:
Look at it this way - if you were mortgage free would you take £140k of equity out your house to invest in the stock market? Unlikely.

For me - and I m sure there will be those that disagree - that logic works both ways.

Pay off the mortgage and start a monthly drip into low cost funds, Vanguard or similar, in tax efficient wrappers - ISA/SIPPs - would get my vote.
Like the first part of your answer, rings true smile

Having financial security in an appreciating asset that you live in, knowing only CT & bills to deal with appeals more.

If Trump carries out his treat for Tuesday any invested funds will tank again & where will interest rates be if this continues for months coffee

LeoSayer

7,728 posts

269 months

Sunday 5th April
quotequote all
Stock markets have a habit of occasionally crashing, for example in 2008 the S&P500 dropped 38% and took over 5 years to get back to where it started.

That's a big loss to bear if you find yourself being a forced seller during such a period eg. because of job loss or some unexpected life event.

What's your time horizon for the investment?