AI can replace every white-collar job in 18 months
Discussion
Of course given what this guy does I doubt he's going to say anything else but still.
Microsoft AI CEO predicts 'most, if not all' white-collar tasks will be automated by AI within 18 months
Microsoft AI CEO predicts 'most, if not all' white-collar tasks will be automated by AI within 18 months
Mr Penguin said:
I remember the same predictions when GPT3 came out in late 2022. I still have a job, and I think you do too.
Exactly. No doubt it will have an impact long term, but it’ll always take longer and be more nuanced than the likes of him suggest. FWIW, even with the progress of recent years, a lot of AI stuff beyond the very procedural is still lower quality than a human would produce.
Still BS imho. These things take a long time to arrive + will AI even make it given how much electricity / water it needs to function. Also all it seems to do right now is copy and paste stuff from t'internet. Biggest risk imho is people believing everything it says!
Also all white collar jobs? Big problem for all Govts with lack of taxes if true.
TX.
Also all white collar jobs? Big problem for all Govts with lack of taxes if true.
TX.
TomTheTyke said:
Exactly. No doubt it will have an impact long term, but it ll always take longer and be more nuanced than the likes of him suggest.
FWIW, even with the progress of recent years, a lot of AI stuff beyond the very procedural is still lower quality than a human would produce.
It is definitely having an impact already in that I rarely write code myself, but it needs a lot of handholding to make the right decisions about what it should actually do even when the scope of the project as a whole is well defined. FWIW, even with the progress of recent years, a lot of AI stuff beyond the very procedural is still lower quality than a human would produce.
Just like robots were going to take every job when I left school in 1980. I decided I would be the person who built robots. Had a career in building prototypes of electro mechanical stuff for 40 odd years and there were still as many jobs when i stopped working as there were when I started. AI will be more of the same, unless AI manages to invent flying cars people can use 
Mr Penguin said:
TomTheTyke said:
Exactly. No doubt it will have an impact long term, but it ll always take longer and be more nuanced than the likes of him suggest.
FWIW, even with the progress of recent years, a lot of AI stuff beyond the very procedural is still lower quality than a human would produce.
It is definitely having an impact already in that I rarely write code myself, but it needs a lot of handholding to make the right decisions about what it should actually do even when the scope of the project as a whole is well defined. FWIW, even with the progress of recent years, a lot of AI stuff beyond the very procedural is still lower quality than a human would produce.
These AI businesses are built on lies and false promises. Massive investments for technology without a clear financial revenue driver. The companies have over promised to investors so instead of focussing on where they can drive value they have promised they can do everything.
It's all gonna go up in smoke
It's all gonna go up in smoke
Slow.Patrol said:
Philip-38q0d said:
Have any of the powerfully built company directors on here lost their jobs to AI? Or replaced employees with AI?
My nephew has.Just him now. He had a couple of people that used to produce scripts and copy.
Of course, it's more fun to just go with whatever AI spews.
This is the sort of hilarity and bravado I'm talking about, and should be done more: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3r1zxgq0j7o
"One of the errors that piled on pressure for Guildford to go was information included in a report to SAG that referenced a non-existent fixture between Maccabi Tel Aviv and West Ham, a detail thrown up by the use of AI during evidence-gathering."
ks. And I'm not AI (or am I?)I'm starting to use AI a fair bit (mechanical/automotive engineer) and it's very useful for doing 70-80% of something. Great time saver but absolutely not to be trusted on its own.
That's fine for me as I have 20+ years experience so know what I'm doing and therefore know where it's gone wrong, what to trust etc.
Giving it to someone that doesn't already have the right knowledge of the job and expecting a decent result is a pretty risky strategy!
That's fine for me as I have 20+ years experience so know what I'm doing and therefore know where it's gone wrong, what to trust etc.
Giving it to someone that doesn't already have the right knowledge of the job and expecting a decent result is a pretty risky strategy!
Mr Penguin said:
TomTheTyke said:
Exactly. No doubt it will have an impact long term, but it ll always take longer and be more nuanced than the likes of him suggest.
FWIW, even with the progress of recent years, a lot of AI stuff beyond the very procedural is still lower quality than a human would produce.
It is definitely having an impact already in that I rarely write code myself, but it needs a lot of handholding to make the right decisions about what it should actually do even when the scope of the project as a whole is well defined. FWIW, even with the progress of recent years, a lot of AI stuff beyond the very procedural is still lower quality than a human would produce.
BigMon said:
I've worked in IT since graduating in 1999 and I have no doubt at all AI could potentially do many of the roles I did.
It could probably do my current role too and, as such, I'm glad I'm 53 and not 23.
Similar sentiment here.It could probably do my current role too and, as such, I'm glad I'm 53 and not 23.
If I were in my 20s and in or looking for certain careers I think I'd be at least looking over my shoulder and considering my choices.
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