Next Prime Minister
Author
Discussion

JuanCarlosFandango

Original Poster:

9,463 posts

93 months

Thursday 5th December 2024
quotequote all
Starmer is attempting a "reset" but it's a pretty poor start to need a reset less than 6 months after a landslide election win. Labour are now polling almost even with the Tories, and it isn't because Badenoch has pulled off any sort of miracle. Labour are just falling apart under Starmer. According to odds checker the Tories are already likely to have more seats after the next election. It's hard to imagine he will lead Labour into that election on his current form.

Interesting question is, who will Labour replace him with? Top 3 by odds are Andy Burnham, Rachel Reeves and Angela Rayner. Who else is a possibility? How will they get rid of Starmer and when will it happen?

RedWhiteMonkey

8,323 posts

204 months

Thursday 5th December 2024
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Wishful thinking? The next General Election could be in August 2029, that's a long time away in politics.

W124Bob

1,840 posts

197 months

Thursday 5th December 2024
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I doubt Mr Burnham will be leaving his cushy, very well paid post anytime soon, currently he has little scrutiny and even less opposition. So why would he firstly stand in a by election then go for leadership race he might not win. Also some will just look at him as an opportunist and mark his card for that.

FourWheelDrift

91,669 posts

306 months

Thursday 5th December 2024
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RedWhiteMonkey said:
Wishful thinking? The next General Election could be in August 2029, that's a long time away in politics.
Depends if there is a vote of no confidence in the government, which would be followed by the resignation of the Prime Minister and Cabinet and a snap election.

RedWhiteMonkey

8,323 posts

204 months

Thursday 5th December 2024
quotequote all
FourWheelDrift said:
Depends if there is a vote of no confidence in the government, which would be followed by the resignation of the Prime Minister and Cabinet and a snap election.
Again, wishful thinking. Given Labour's massive majority do you really think a vote would happen, let alone be successful?

Muzzer79

12,606 posts

209 months

Thursday 5th December 2024
quotequote all
FourWheelDrift said:
Depends if there is a vote of no confidence in the government, which would be followed by the resignation of the Prime Minister and Cabinet and a snap election.
Why would Labour commit intentional hari-kari in this way?

Starmer isn't going anywhere for some time yet.

The dissatisfaction with the current Government is a symptom of modern politics and the way the public view it, not Starmer in particular.

coldel

9,944 posts

168 months

Thursday 5th December 2024
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JuanCarlosFandango said:
Starmer is attempting a "reset" but it's a pretty poor start to need a reset less than 6 months after a landslide election win. Labour are now polling almost even with the Tories, and it isn't because Badenoch has pulled off any sort of miracle. Labour are just falling apart under Starmer. According to odds checker the Tories are already likely to have more seats after the next election. It's hard to imagine he will lead Labour into that election on his current form.

Interesting question is, who will Labour replace him with? Top 3 by odds are Andy Burnham, Rachel Reeves and Angela Rayner. Who else is a possibility? How will they get rid of Starmer and when will it happen?
Get a grip man. Put your tribalist ranting aside, accept Labour won and you lost, and we have 5 years to see how it plays out. Odds that Tories will have more seats given anything could happen in fours years in between, its like saying Liverpool will win the PL in 2029. What utter nonsense to be leaning on.

Watch this chart, it updates regularly and gives you a week by week view, as you can see they still haven't sunk the desperate depths of the car crash that was the Tories for years https://www.statista.com/statistics/1167064/uk-gov... Labour have got the worst out the way, lets see what happens next.


Ascayman

13,233 posts

238 months

Thursday 5th December 2024
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I think there will be another Labour PM before the next Election, SKS is so woefully out of his depth he'll be gone within 2 years would be my guess.

valiant

13,100 posts

182 months

Thursday 5th December 2024
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I think this thread is based more on wishful thinking than on reality.

coldel

9,944 posts

168 months

Thursday 5th December 2024
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valiant said:
I think this thread is based more on wishful thinking than on reality.
Indeed. Right wingers who constantly put a label on anyone not liking the Tories or Reform now becoming the exact thing they laughed at, Snowflakes. You honestly couldn't make it up.

TwigtheWonderkid

47,739 posts

172 months

Thursday 5th December 2024
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FourWheelDrift said:
Depends if there is a vote of no confidence in the government, which would be followed by the resignation of the Prime Minister and Cabinet and a snap election.
Yes, governments with a 400+ seat majority often face and lose votes of no confidence! rofl

JuanCarlosFandango

Original Poster:

9,463 posts

93 months

Thursday 5th December 2024
quotequote all
W124Bob said:
I doubt Mr Burnham will be leaving his cushy, very well paid post anytime soon, currently he has little scrutiny and even less opposition. So why would he firstly stand in a by election then go for leadership race he might not win. Also some will just look at him as an opportunist and mark his card for that.
Surely they're all in politics for a crack at the top job? He's coming up to 8 years as mayor of Manchester, early 50s not especially tainted by Corbyn or Starmer.


Or how about Sadiq Khan? Londoners seem to like him.

Timothy Bucktu

16,534 posts

222 months

Thursday 5th December 2024
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coldel said:
valiant said:
I think this thread is based more on wishful thinking than on reality.
Indeed. Right wingers who constantly put a label on anyone not liking the Tories or Reform now becoming the exact thing they laughed at, Snowflakes. You honestly couldn't make it up.
It's not beyond the realms of possibly considering Labour’s current standing. Even a true devoted Labourite can surely acknowledge that?

captain_cynic

16,234 posts

117 months

Thursday 5th December 2024
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coldel said:
valiant said:
I think this thread is based more on wishful thinking than on reality.
Indeed. Right wingers who constantly put a label on anyone not liking the Tories or Reform now becoming the exact thing they laughed at, Snowflakes. You honestly couldn't make it up.
It really is hilarious.

The irony is they've spent the last 7 odd years telling anyone critical of Brexit to shut up because they lost.

And we've at least another 4.5 years of these threads to go.

As it stands, if an election were called tomorrow with the state the Tories are in, Labour would likely end up with an even bigger majority. The Tories are present are not even a viable opposition, let alone a government.

OutInTheShed

12,802 posts

48 months

Thursday 5th December 2024
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I don't think we'll have a GE anytime soon, but I wouldn't bet against Labour MPs ditching Starmer.

For the next couple of years, Labour MPs will be concerned about policy rather than popularity.
So, will there be enough dissent in the ranks soon?

Possibly, because money is going to be tight I reckon.
So many new MPs, we don't really know much about most of them, how many of them would ditch Starmer for some crazy promises of Tax and Spend?
Or will the overspend already promised cause a backlash towards more Blairite thinking?

As Labour Leader, can Starmer be deposed by the wider membership?
I suspect the popularity of the government among the Grauniad reading party membership might be sliding rapidly downhill, and that could get much worse if mortgage rates go up next year?

It's a different process to the Tory Party Circus?

Square Leg

15,777 posts

211 months

Thursday 5th December 2024
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Never going to happen for at least four years.



Angela Eagle.

smile

tangerine_sedge

6,115 posts

240 months

Thursday 5th December 2024
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valiant said:
I think this thread is based more on wishful thinking desparation than on reality.

C4ME

1,593 posts

233 months

Thursday 5th December 2024
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Next prime minister will be either Starmer or Badenoch and to be decided in 2029. There really is nothing else to discuss.

If one of those is to go earlier it is more likely to be Badenoch.

s1962a

7,164 posts

184 months

Thursday 5th December 2024
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I recently got the bill from my kids schools about the VAT increase coming in next month. I didn't know you lot cared enough about my financial woes to help kick out this dastardly Labour government.

Thank you

bitchstewie

63,368 posts

232 months

Thursday 5th December 2024
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dream on hehe