Russia Invades Ukraine. Volume 5
Discussion
Interesting BBC article on the Russian glide bombing campaign:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cz5drkr8l1ko
You would think the launch aircraft are quite vulnerable in the release phase, so could they can be identified and attacked with long range SAMs?
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cz5drkr8l1ko
You would think the launch aircraft are quite vulnerable in the release phase, so could they can be identified and attacked with long range SAMs?
BrettMRC said:
Interesting BBC article on the Russian glide bombing campaign:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cz5drkr8l1ko
You would think the launch aircraft are quite vulnerable in the release phase, so could they can be identified and attacked with long range SAMs?
How many seconds is their release phase vs SAM time to locate, fire and reach target?https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cz5drkr8l1ko
You would think the launch aircraft are quite vulnerable in the release phase, so could they can be identified and attacked with long range SAMs?
Adam. said:
How many seconds is their release phase vs SAM time to locate, fire and reach target?
Lucky the Ukrainians have good friends with airborne early warning aircraft that should give them a heads up. Especially when they get some fighters in the air with decent air to air missiles.Didnt see any mention of the minesweeper that apparently got sunk,
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/05/19/i...
Interesting article, basically says that all the remaining two thirds of the black see fleet are likely sitting ducks in Sevastapol. if the Ukrainians are targeting them with their new toys.
I expect a nuke threat by the end of the day, Putin must be hopping mad "Not fair", but I guess stuff like this happening was always an option. Stuff like this is very difficult to replace, built 40/50 years ago
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/05/19/i...
Interesting article, basically says that all the remaining two thirds of the black see fleet are likely sitting ducks in Sevastapol. if the Ukrainians are targeting them with their new toys.
I expect a nuke threat by the end of the day, Putin must be hopping mad "Not fair", but I guess stuff like this happening was always an option. Stuff like this is very difficult to replace, built 40/50 years ago
J4CKO said:
Didnt see any mention of the minesweeper that apparently got sunk,
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/05/19/i...
Interesting article, basically says that all the remaining two thirds of the black see fleet are likely sitting ducks in Sevastapol. if the Ukrainians are targeting them with their new toys.
I expect a nuke threat by the end of the day, Putin must be hopping mad "Not fair", but I guess stuff like this happening was always an option. Stuff like this is very difficult to replace, built 40/50 years ago
Hadn't seen that either, I thought they'd moved all the remaining ships further East after the submarine was hit by Storm Shadow a few months ago.https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/05/19/i...
Interesting article, basically says that all the remaining two thirds of the black see fleet are likely sitting ducks in Sevastapol. if the Ukrainians are targeting them with their new toys.
I expect a nuke threat by the end of the day, Putin must be hopping mad "Not fair", but I guess stuff like this happening was always an option. Stuff like this is very difficult to replace, built 40/50 years ago
Not sure the Kerch Bridge is vulnerable to ATACMS...I think the whole issue about the German missiles is they've got a particular kind of fuse that makes them much more useful against structures.
Ukraine have also sunk a Kalibr cruise missile equipped Corvette in Sevastopol. Reportedly hit and destroyed by two ATACMs. It is one of the newest ships in the Russian navy.
https://x.com/igorsushko/status/179232187195192144...
https://x.com/igorsushko/status/179232187195192144...
BrettMRC said:
Interesting BBC article on the Russian glide bombing campaign:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cz5drkr8l1ko
You would think the launch aircraft are quite vulnerable in the release phase, so could they can be identified and attacked with long range SAMs?
They sound like really bad news for Ukraine and they have shttps://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cz5drkr8l1ko
You would think the launch aircraft are quite vulnerable in the release phase, so could they can be identified and attacked with long range SAMs?
t loads.BrettMRC said:
Interesting BBC article on the Russian glide bombing campaign:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cz5drkr8l1ko
You would think the launch aircraft are quite vulnerable in the release phase, so could they can be identified and attacked with long range SAMs?
As the article states, Ukrainian ground based air defence is largely used in depth to protect cities and infrastructure. Using it to shoot down aircraft exposes the air defence system and leaves it vulnerable to counter attack.https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cz5drkr8l1ko
You would think the launch aircraft are quite vulnerable in the release phase, so could they can be identified and attacked with long range SAMs?
Evanivitch said:
As the article states, Ukrainian ground based air defence is largely used in depth to protect cities and infrastructure. Using it to shoot down aircraft exposes the air defence system and leaves it vulnerable to counter attack.
There were a couple of articles stating that the russians had some success in jamming gps signals on MLRS rockets (obviously doesn't change the inertial navigation dialled in) - would have thought that the yanks might have something available that could do the same on these jdam (more or less?) russian equivalents?The general message I'm seeing on social media is that Russia is advancing again and its looking pretty dire for Ukraine, is that the case?
No matter what Western media says about Russia being close to collapse they still advance, regardless of cost to life.
Would love to see some positive news
No matter what Western media says about Russia being close to collapse they still advance, regardless of cost to life.
Would love to see some positive news
Evanivitch said:
BrettMRC said:
Interesting BBC article on the Russian glide bombing campaign:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cz5drkr8l1ko
You would think the launch aircraft are quite vulnerable in the release phase, so could they can be identified and attacked with long range SAMs?
As the article states, Ukrainian ground based air defence is largely used in depth to protect cities and infrastructure. Using it to shoot down aircraft exposes the air defence system and leaves it vulnerable to counter attack.https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cz5drkr8l1ko
You would think the launch aircraft are quite vulnerable in the release phase, so could they can be identified and attacked with long range SAMs?
Bathroom_Security said:
The general message I'm seeing on social media is that Russia is advancing again and its looking pretty dire for Ukraine, is that the case?
No matter what Western media says about Russia being close to collapse they still advance, regardless of cost to life.
Would love to see some positive news
Wasnt it just yesterday that Zelensky stated that shell supply is at the best level since the war started? Could be wrong, but it seems that supply is starting to get through. Either that, or they have nothing left to fire them with.No matter what Western media says about Russia being close to collapse they still advance, regardless of cost to life.
Would love to see some positive news
Bathroom_Security said:
The general message I'm seeing on social media is that Russia is advancing again and its looking pretty dire for Ukraine, is that the case?
No matter what Western media says about Russia being close to collapse they still advance, regardless of cost to life.
Would love to see some positive news
Not really, they've made tiny gains at a rate of about 1,200 men per day. Ukraine is fairly well able to defend, except where they can't attack targets in Russia, which isn't sustainable, but also creates a hard-limit on how far Russia can advance anyway.No matter what Western media says about Russia being close to collapse they still advance, regardless of cost to life.
Would love to see some positive news
On the other hand, 2 ships got flattened this week, Crimea is not tenable for Russia now, the Black Sea Fleet can either stay next to Russia, or be sunk and Ukraine is causing huge economic damage across Russia.
The main issue Ukraine has is that the US don't want Ukraine to lose but don't want Russia to lose either and not enough of Europe is happy to sidestep that stance. Again, this isn't sustainable.
Bathroom_Security said:
The general message I'm seeing on social media is that Russia is advancing again and its looking pretty dire for Ukraine, is that the case?
No matter what Western media says about Russia being close to collapse they still advance, regardless of cost to life.
Would love to see some positive news
The latest Times podcast provides some good-ish news.No matter what Western media says about Russia being close to collapse they still advance, regardless of cost to life.
Would love to see some positive news
https://sphinx.acast.com/p/open/s/6583012e715d5300...
The assault on Kharkiv has failed. It has only tied up three Ukrainain brigades and that hasn't been enough to let Russia take Chasiv Yar.
Also check out Anders Puck Neilsons channel. He makes the point thst the Russian plan is likely just a poor plan. In no military manual does it recommend diluting your attack over a broad front. You're supposed to concentrate. The fact experts can't agree what it's supposed to achieve suggests it's just a crap plan.
Finally, by Russians own budget numbers this is peak Russia. Next year military spending will be reduced. Their economy can't sustain this level of war.
So yeah, it all looks bleak, but there's positive news if you look.
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