Aston Martin going out of business?

Aston Martin going out of business?

Author
Discussion

ThePusher

Original Poster:

25 posts

205 months

Sunday 25th January 2009
quotequote all
http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/ind...

Hopefully they will secure new financing and avoid seizure... Unlikely they will disappear but Aston is not in good shape... Huge unsold inventory and they are delaying all product development...



Ordinary Bloke

4,559 posts

203 months

Sunday 25th January 2009
quotequote all
I think they (and many others) will disappear in the next 2 years. Without cheap finance, who's going to hand over cash for an Aston? All IMO of course...

XXXAngelXXX

1,711 posts

233 months

Sunday 25th January 2009
quotequote all
Ordinary Bloke said:
Without cheap finance, who's going to hand over cash for an Aston? All IMO of course...
perhaps on your island - not on the continent so far...

Murph7355

38,645 posts

261 months

Sunday 25th January 2009
quotequote all
I believe they will be releasing the V12 Vantage and DBS Volante at Geneva....

And what constitutes a "huge unsold inventory"?

I think they've made some mistakes recently - production volumes of the V8V and the release of the 4.7 when they did (though on that one they were somewhat "damned if they did, damned if they didn't"). But they are still making some good cars.

Like every manufacturer, they need to scale back production. Which I believe they are doing.

I guess it then becomes a waiting game to see what happens in the economy. If it were me, I'd probably look at ways to increase revenues away from new car sales for the next 6-12mths. Programmes for customers to "improve" their current cars at *sensible* money levels perhaps (as few people will be keen to sell at the prices out there right now)?

And then moving forwards they need to ensure they keep production under *actual* demand levels rather than meeting or exceeding them. All the "prestige" guys have fallen down that rat hole and residuals are suffering as a consequence (which inevitably impacts new sales) - if anyone thinks F430s, Gallardos, 997s, R8s etc aren't also suffering they are kidding themselves.

Having a good product is only part of the story in this sector, and pinning your business model on larger volumes is silly.

IMO.



bogie

16,563 posts

277 months

Sunday 25th January 2009
quotequote all
well without cheap finance, silly 125% no money down mortgages etc ...mmmm...the Uk survived just fine and dandy..mmmm.....for all of history smile - its only the last 10 years when things got real crazy, as lenders got greedy, to make more profits

when I was in my teenage years you didnt buy prestige cars unless you had saved up errrr...some real cash, and its people that *really* cant afford flash cars, the "want it/must have it now" generation that have got us into the mess we are in now, a nation of debters and a country in debt

so back to old school is fine with me - all these "luxury" car brands will just be as they were before - making luxury cars for people with funds to buy them, and not banking their business model on selling another 20000-100000 units a year on never, never PCP deals to those with a few hundred quid spare per month wink

...all IMO of course wink

//the Aston brand alone is worth billions to any car manufacturer that does stay in business and they would be snapped up by someone ...maybe the Germans - who seem to know how to make a profit, by having 2 " thick option catalogues and controlling supply of their "prestige" brands LOL wink

whoami

13,154 posts

245 months

Sunday 25th January 2009
quotequote all
Murph7355 said:
And what constitutes a "huge unsold inventory"?
I don't know about huge but my dealer still has 5 unregistered 4.3's.

bogie

16,563 posts

277 months

Sunday 25th January 2009
quotequote all
but what dealers have in stock, is thanks to them ordering them isnt it?

AFAIK all the dealers are independant from the company - so AM themselves just respond to demand/forecase from their dealers...who also have to buy the cars from them

so if 2500 cars worldwide are sat in car dealers, then its on the dealers head and their cashflow problem

the problem that the factory has, is that dealers are not going to be ordering any new stock until theyve sold the old stuff...so the only cars they are building are built to spec ones for customers rather than dealer stock

so it seems, we have the usual media doom and gloom merchants reporting stuff to try and sell news wink

whoami

13,154 posts

245 months

Sunday 25th January 2009
quotequote all
bogie said:
but what dealers have in stock, is thanks to them ordering them isnt it?

AFAIK all the dealers are independant from the company - so AM themselves just respond to demand/forecase from their dealers...who also have to buy the cars from them

so if 2500 cars worldwide are sat in car dealers, then its on the dealers head and their cashflow problem

the problem that the factory has, is that dealers are not going to be ordering any new stock until theyve sold the old stuff...so the only cars they are building are built to spec ones for customers rather than dealer stock

so it seems, we have the usual media doom and gloom merchants reporting stuff to try and sell news wink
No, it's not just up to the dealers. AM (like all manufacturers) have, in the past, forced them into taking an allocation of cars whether they have customers for them or not.

The dealers are indeed independant but they are surely intrinsically linked to AM. Once cannot survive without the other.

matc

4,717 posts

212 months

Sunday 25th January 2009
quotequote all
bogie said:
but what dealers have in stock, is thanks to them ordering them isnt it?

AFAIK all the dealers are independant from the company - so AM themselves just respond to demand/forecase from their dealers...who also have to buy the cars from them

so if 2500 cars worldwide are sat in car dealers, then its on the dealers head and their cashflow problem

the problem that the factory has, is that dealers are not going to be ordering any new stock until theyve sold the old stuff...so the only cars they are building are built to spec ones for customers rather than dealer stock

so it seems, we have the usual media doom and gloom merchants reporting stuff to try and sell news wink
I would imagine AM allocated a certain number of cars to their dealers - so this unsold stock will not be due to the dealer being over ambitious with their projected sales, but due to them not having sold their allocation. This is fairly standard across all manufacturers, they will just distribute their volume and allocate it to the dealer network, these cars will then be specced by customers if sold, or by the dealers if not.

With regards to the dealers not ordering the new cars - I wouldn't imagine they have a choice, and again will be allocated whatever cars Aston decides it needs to produce this year. I would imagine AM are helping the dealers by offering support on these unsold cars to try and sell them, or entice the dealers to 'self-register' them as demo's etc. but these old cars are ultimately AM's problem, as I am sure the dealers haven't paid for them yet.

whoami

13,154 posts

245 months

Sunday 25th January 2009
quotequote all
matc said:
bogie said:
but what dealers have in stock, is thanks to them ordering them isnt it?

AFAIK all the dealers are independant from the company - so AM themselves just respond to demand/forecase from their dealers...who also have to buy the cars from them

so if 2500 cars worldwide are sat in car dealers, then its on the dealers head and their cashflow problem

the problem that the factory has, is that dealers are not going to be ordering any new stock until theyve sold the old stuff...so the only cars they are building are built to spec ones for customers rather than dealer stock

so it seems, we have the usual media doom and gloom merchants reporting stuff to try and sell news wink
as I am sure the dealers haven't paid for them yet.
They have paid for a number of them.

matc

4,717 posts

212 months

Sunday 25th January 2009
quotequote all
whoami said:
matc said:
bogie said:
but what dealers have in stock, is thanks to them ordering them isnt it?

AFAIK all the dealers are independant from the company - so AM themselves just respond to demand/forecase from their dealers...who also have to buy the cars from them

so if 2500 cars worldwide are sat in car dealers, then its on the dealers head and their cashflow problem

the problem that the factory has, is that dealers are not going to be ordering any new stock until theyve sold the old stuff...so the only cars they are building are built to spec ones for customers rather than dealer stock

so it seems, we have the usual media doom and gloom merchants reporting stuff to try and sell news wink
as I am sure the dealers haven't paid for them yet.
They have paid for a number of them.
Yeah you're probably right, I was going to suggest that AM probably give the dealers a certain amount of time before they have to pay for them - again this is usual manufacturer practice.

bogie

16,563 posts

277 months

Sunday 25th January 2009
quotequote all
is there anyone on here who actually works for a main dealer that can give out some proper information, rather than just pure guesswork on our part?


whoami

13,154 posts

245 months

Sunday 25th January 2009
quotequote all
bogie said:
is there anyone on here who actually works for a main dealer that can give out some proper information, rather than just pure guesswork on our part?
Guesswork about what?

bogie

16,563 posts

277 months

Monday 26th January 2009
quotequote all
the whole procedure of how a dealer orders cars, who pays for them and when, how many cars are sat in Aston Martin dealers worldwide, how much does a car cost a dealer ...in fact, why dont they just make their whole business public knowledge for us to sit here and criticise how its run wink

williamp

19,481 posts

278 months

Monday 26th January 2009
quotequote all
bogie said:
the whole procedure of how a dealer orders cars, who pays for them and when, how many cars are sat in Aston Martin dealers worldwide, how much does a car cost a dealer ...in fact, why dont they just make their whole business public knowledge for us to sit here and criticise how its run wink
Because pistonheads is based on the conept of criticism based on "apparently" and "my mate thinks" rather then fact. Hope this helps

bogie

16,563 posts

277 months

Monday 26th January 2009
quotequote all
williamp said:
bogie said:
the whole procedure of how a dealer orders cars, who pays for them and when, how many cars are sat in Aston Martin dealers worldwide, how much does a car cost a dealer ...in fact, why dont they just make their whole business public knowledge for us to sit here and criticise how its run wink
Because pistonheads is based on the conept of criticism based on "apparently" and "my mate thinks" rather then fact. Hope this helps
LOL ..of course..I forgot where I was there for a moment ! wink


AstonZagato

12,920 posts

215 months

Monday 26th January 2009
quotequote all
Having bought four new Astons over time, I can confirm that dealers have allocations which they must sell. They were quite open about showing you the slots they had and the specs they had pencilled in if the car was not yet ordered by a customer.

I have been saying for a long time that the concept of dealer specced cars needs to stop to protect residuals.

toohuge

3,448 posts

221 months

Monday 26th January 2009
quotequote all
AstonZagato said:
Having bought four new Astons over time, I can confirm that dealers have allocations which they must sell. They were quite open about showing you the slots they had and the specs they had pencilled in if the car was not yet ordered by a customer.

I have been saying for a long time that the concept of dealer specced cars needs to stop to protect residuals.
Funny you mention dealer specced cars as these were stopped when the company was taken over by Ford. The chairman decided that all the unsold cars would have to be sold and from then on only ordered cars would be built. Obviously things have changed and Aston are back where they started.

whoami

13,154 posts

245 months

Monday 26th January 2009
quotequote all
bogie said:
the whole procedure of how a dealer orders cars, who pays for them and when, how many cars are sat in Aston Martin dealers worldwide, how much does a car cost a dealer ...in fact, why dont they just make their whole business public knowledge for us to sit here and criticise how its run wink
You don't have to work for a dealer to know how it works.

Can't comment on anyone else's views as stated here but mine came from:-

1. BiL who is a director of a very large car dealership group (who have an Aston franchise in their brand portfolio).

and perhaps more importantly

2. Dealer Principle of large Aston dealership

By the way, I didn't actually see any criticism of how dealerships run their businesses confused.

What was apparant, however, was that certain naive assumptions had been made regarding how major manufacturers actively control their route to market (often to their own longer term detriment)

HTH smile

birdcage

2,848 posts

210 months

Monday 26th January 2009
quotequote all
Didn't the Saudi royal family keep them going through the last recession by ordering some seriously expensive custom cars, can't see that happening now as by 'democratizing the brand they are in with Porsche who have a LOT of money.

More to it than that of course, they are terrific cars but even their truly collectable cars (DBS) are depreciating so can't be ideal.

Of course they won't go bust as a brand but they will have a quiet few years without all the back end R&D dosh etc.