Tesla 2 - cancelled?

Tesla 2 - cancelled?

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Discussion

heisthegaffer

Original Poster:

3,649 posts

205 months

Saturday 6th April
quotequote all
Couldn't see this anywhere else and not sure how accurate but apparently the Tesla 2 is being cancelled.

https://www.autocar.co.uk/car-news/new-cars/report...

tr3a

576 posts

234 months

Saturday 6th April
quotequote all
heisthegaffer said:
Couldn't see this anywhere else and not sure how accurate but apparently the Tesla 2 is being cancelled.

https://www.autocar.co.uk/car-news/new-cars/report...
In reaction to this multi-sourced story, the CEO used his very own disinformation platform to say "Reuters is lying again", without offering any facts to disprove the story.

Wild times, eh?

Gone fishing

7,470 posts

131 months

Saturday 6th April
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Nothing ever gets cancelled at Tesla, that would be admitting they got something wrong

It might however be “coming soon” for longer than other things that are also “coming soon”.


JustGetATesla

335 posts

126 months

Saturday 6th April
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Not cancelled. They are going to unveil a new vehicle in August which will fulfil the Robotaxi role. A car with steer-by-wire and 48v architecture. A new car for cities with even more efficiencies found in construction design.

In short, the "Model 2"

heisthegaffer

Original Poster:

3,649 posts

205 months

Saturday 6th April
quotequote all


I'm neither a fan or a naysayer about Tesla/EV but thought it would be good for a smaller, more cost effective model.

The robo taxi will be interesting. Naturally, Johnny Five immediately springs to mind.

malaccamax

1,342 posts

238 months

Monday 8th April
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JustGetATesla said:
Not cancelled. They are going to unveil a new vehicle in August which will fulfil the Robotaxi role. A car with steer-by-wire and 48v architecture. A new car for cities with even more efficiencies found in construction design.

In short, the "Model 2"
A 'robotaxi' is a million miles from a smaller cheaper Tesla. For one thing it'll need to fufil a host of safety requirements to meet legislative hurdles that haven't even been established yet. So there's not a hope in hell we'll see one in the UK in this decade. VW, Stellantis etc can breathe easy

JustGetATesla

335 posts

126 months

Tuesday 9th April
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malaccamax said:
A 'robotaxi' is a million miles from a smaller cheaper Tesla. For one thing it'll need to fufil a host of safety requirements to meet legislative hurdles that haven't even been established yet. So there's not a hope in hell we'll see one in the UK in this decade. VW, Stellantis etc can breathe easy
As I understand it, we're talking about the same thing. The new small Tesla will be the robo taxi. Existing Tesla vehicles can already drive fully autonomously - watch the videos on TwiX of them doing so now that FSD is out of Beta. Global rules don't allow it but the US rules do.

Tesla have two breakthrough propositions - the physical construction of the vehicle, and the AI. Tesla make a gross profit on cars in a way that so few other manufacturers (legacy or new) do. Having so few parts is a drastic cost saver, and Cybertruck brings new advances - steer by wire removes more parts and makes changes simpler, and 48v architecture removes lots of wires. The new small car drives all of those things forward. And the AI? They have taught the AI to drive like a human. Nobody else has that.

In Europe, Japan, Australasia we won't get the robo taxi functionality but Tesla will definitely sell the car. Why wouldn't they? Unlike so many other car producers they make more money the more cars they sell.

Gone fishing

7,470 posts

131 months

Tuesday 9th April
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JustGetATesla said:
malaccamax said:
A 'robotaxi' is a million miles from a smaller cheaper Tesla. For one thing it'll need to fufil a host of safety requirements to meet legislative hurdles that haven't even been established yet. So there's not a hope in hell we'll see one in the UK in this decade. VW, Stellantis etc can breathe easy
As I understand it, we're talking about the same thing. The new small Tesla will be the robo taxi. Existing Tesla vehicles can already drive fully autonomously - watch the videos on TwiX of them doing so now that FSD is out of Beta. Global rules don't allow it but the US rules do.

Tesla have two breakthrough propositions - the physical construction of the vehicle, and the AI. Tesla make a gross profit on cars in a way that so few other manufacturers (legacy or new) do. Having so few parts is a drastic cost saver, and Cybertruck brings new advances - steer by wire removes more parts and makes changes simpler, and 48v architecture removes lots of wires. The new small car drives all of those things forward. And the AI? They have taught the AI to drive like a human. Nobody else has that.

In Europe, Japan, Australasia we won't get the robo taxi functionality but Tesla will definitely sell the car. Why wouldn't they? Unlike so many other car producers they make more money the more cars they sell.
The approximate translation from fanboyism into English is “nobody actually knows anything at the moment”

tr3a

576 posts

234 months

Tuesday 9th April
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JustGetATesla said:
Tesla will definitely sell the car. Why wouldn't they?
Oh, well, let me think. Maybe it's because profitability gets a lot harder the smaller the cars are? Tesla is used to achieving a certain margin per car and they may have found out that building smaller cars, even a huge number of them, won't be as comfortably profitable as the bigger ones.

JustGetATesla said:
Unlike so many other car producers they make more money the more cars they sell.
Other car makers make smaller cars, which Tesla doesn't do at the moment. If the news is to be believed, it seems Tesla doesn't even want to try it. They like their margin too much.

Jader1973

4,289 posts

207 months

Wednesday 10th April
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JustGetATesla said:
Tesla have two breakthrough propositions - the physical construction of the vehicle, and the AI.
The physical construction of the vehicle means they can’t be repaired easily and are becoming uninsurable as a result. Bye bye sales.

As for the “AI” you’re taking the piss, aren’t you? Their systems are no more advanced than anything any other manufacturer has - they just spin it to make it seem all smart and hi tech. Merc, Cadillac, Honda and others all have proven systems at or above the level of Tesla.

soupdragon1

4,622 posts

104 months

Wednesday 10th April
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The smartest thing Elon has said about Tesla is that its worth virtually nothing without FSD.

The car business looks in really poor health right now, so its FSD or nothing, just as the CEO predicted. Cybertruck has been shelved, the M2, shelved, the roadster and the semi truck - crickets...

They've got 2 aging cars and thats it. We can dance around the fact that the M2 and robotaxi are the same thing. I think one thing that is clear is that a high volume compact car has been shelved.

Very challenging times for Tesla and when your roadmap is basically 'FSD solves everything' it doesn't fill me with much confidence in their future.

Gone fishing

7,470 posts

131 months

Wednesday 10th April
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Tesla do seem to struggle with volume sales other than the MY and it’s arguably the oldest car they have if you ignore a lot of the MS, MX and M3 are carried over or lightly tweaked. I’m guessing the challenge they have is making a low cost car without all the cameras and autopilot stuff to save money and still have passive safety system which rely on the former and make it cheaply, and be something people still want to buy. It’s not like there’s a lot you can take out of a model 3 to make it cheaper if you leave in the autopilot hardware.

I’d forget the roadster 2, make a decent model 3 coupe and hatchback, and a rugged model y like a model y off-road. Fairly minimal running gear changes, just new bodies from the a pillar backwards. Variations of this works for bmw, Audi and merc, but what do they know about building cars? Maybe that’s acting too much like a car company.




Edited by Gone fishing on Wednesday 10th April 22:32

JustGetATesla

335 posts

126 months

Wednesday 10th April
quotequote all
soupdragon1 said:
The smartest thing Elon has said about Tesla is that its worth virtually nothing without FSD.

The car business looks in really poor health right now, so its FSD or nothing, just as the CEO predicted. Cybertruck has been shelved, the M2, shelved, the roadster and the semi truck - crickets...

They've got 2 aging cars and thats it. We can dance around the fact that the M2 and robotaxi are the same thing. I think one thing that is clear is that a high volume compact car has been shelved.

Very challenging times for Tesla and when your roadmap is basically 'FSD solves everything' it doesn't fill me with much confidence in their future.
Yes. Making the best selling car in the world and making actual profits from doing so. They are doomed…

soupdragon1

4,622 posts

104 months

Wednesday 10th April
quotequote all
JustGetATesla said:
soupdragon1 said:
The smartest thing Elon has said about Tesla is that its worth virtually nothing without FSD.

The car business looks in really poor health right now, so its FSD or nothing, just as the CEO predicted. Cybertruck has been shelved, the M2, shelved, the roadster and the semi truck - crickets...

They've got 2 aging cars and thats it. We can dance around the fact that the M2 and robotaxi are the same thing. I think one thing that is clear is that a high volume compact car has been shelved.

Very challenging times for Tesla and when your roadmap is basically 'FSD solves everything' it doesn't fill me with much confidence in their future.
Yes. Making the best selling car in the world and making actual profits from doing so. They are doomed…
The whole business model is based on fast growth. Volume reductions are the kryptonite of a business like Tesla.

When you look at Tesla volumes, financial results, trajectory of those numbers, and their future roadmap, it's like looking at a company in the financial crisis of 2008. Effectively, they're in a deep recession, only they're just in it by themselves (and a few other EV brands to be fair)