Ludicrous car value depreciation we seem to happy to accept!
Ludicrous car value depreciation we seem to happy to accept!
Author
Discussion

BroadsRS6

Original Poster:

785 posts

67 months

Friday 2nd April 2021
quotequote all
A mate has a 2019 BMW X3M he bought new. A fine car which was far more rapid than i had expected. With 503 bhp it was always going to be quick but i was impressed with how it went, from just 3 litres and 6 cylinders. Damn fast.
But then he mentioned that expected depreciation on the car (he doesn't care, he's loaded big time) is £45,000 in the first 3 years. He got that from Parkers and i confirmed it by looking at a couple of car magazines.
Forty-five grand loss in 3 years??? That's £300 a week by my maths, on TOP of the fairly steep ownership costs of fuel, insurance, tax and servicing. Whilst i was having a look at the subject, an Audi A8 2018 a customer owns will lose over £60,000 in 4 years. Jeezus H!
I've been buying used, including Cat D and Cat N, for decades now and i did the right thing. When i think how much car i got for £32,000 e g.
WHY do great cars become so worthless overnight? They seemed to be designed to last 15 years or more so why are they worth so little whilst still so young, e g, 3 years old?

Clifford Chambers

28,896 posts

211 months

Friday 2nd April 2021
quotequote all
BroadsRS6 said:
A mate has a 2019 BMW X3M he bought new. A fine car which was far more rapid than i had expected. With 503 bhp it was always going to be quick but i was impressed with how it went, from just 3 litres and 6 cylinders. Damn fast.
But then he mentioned that expected depreciation on the car (he doesn't care, he's loaded big time) is £45,000 in the first 3 years. He got that from Parkers and i confirmed it by looking at a couple of car magazines.
Forty-five grand loss in 3 years??? That's £300 a week by my maths, on TOP of the fairly steep ownership costs of fuel, insurance, tax and servicing. Whilst i was having a look at the subject, an Audi A8 2018 a customer owns will lose over £60,000 in 4 years. Jeezus H!
I've been buying used, including Cat D and Cat N, for decades now and i did the right thing. When i think how much car i got for £32,000 e g.
WHY do great cars become so worthless overnight? They seemed to be designed to last 15 years or more so why are they worth so little whilst still so young, e g, 3 years old?
Compared to most consumer goods cars are OK, at least there's a ready market for second hand.

Try that with a sofa.

Leon R

3,815 posts

124 months

Friday 2nd April 2021
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Is this where we rant about PCP and inflated car prices?

s m

24,427 posts

231 months

Friday 2nd April 2021
quotequote all
BroadsRS6 said:
A mate has a 2019 BMW X3M he bought new. A fine car which was far more rapid than i had expected. With 503 bhp it was always going to be quick but i was impressed with how it went, from just 3 litres and 6 cylinders. Damn fast.
But then he mentioned that expected depreciation on the car (he doesn't care, he's loaded big time) is £45,000 in the first 3 years. He got that from Parkers and i confirmed it by looking at a couple of car magazines.
Forty-five grand loss in 3 years??? That's £300 a week by my maths, on TOP of the fairly steep ownership costs of fuel, insurance, tax and servicing. Whilst i was having a look at the subject, an Audi A8 2018 a customer owns will lose over £60,000 in 4 years. Jeezus H!
I've been buying used, including Cat D and Cat N, for decades now and i did the right thing. When i think how much car i got for £32,000 e g.
WHY do great cars become so worthless overnight? They seemed to be designed to last 15 years or more so why are they worth so little whilst still so young, e g, 3 years old?
Maybe people just don’t want a used 3 year old X3M? If lots of people did the values would stay higher.
Look at in-demand car by comparison like some of the Porsches

Fusion777

2,622 posts

76 months

Friday 2nd April 2021
quotequote all
Probably highlights how overpriced they are to begin with. There are big discounts available on the larger German stuff from new, even more so for nearly new. This has always been the case really. It's possibly more apparent now because more vehicles are financed so more attention is paid to GFVs and monthlies.

Many list prices are silly now:

BMW 420d M Sport Pro Ed Coupe Auto (Diesel xDrive 2.0L 190PS 2dr 135g/km):
£49,480

GT03ROB

14,016 posts

249 months

Friday 2nd April 2021
quotequote all
Because the market for hi spec, hi perfomance, hi running costs cars is small.

Big engined gas guzzlers are just not desireable. Has always been the way

I bought my Panamera Turno S at 6 yrs old & 12k on the clock, it had shed around 6 quid oer mile...... .

To add the people that buy these things new generally have money to burn so depreciation is just not an issue.

Jefferson Steelflex

1,607 posts

127 months

Friday 2nd April 2021
quotequote all
In reality the depreciation is a fair bit lower if you take into account the readily available discounts you can achieve. The X3M in your example can be purchased with the best part of £20k off, so in reality if you buy properly you’ll “only” lose £25k.

Similar for the Audi and many others, basing depreciation of an inflated RRP isn’t reflective of the market.

robinessex

11,984 posts

209 months

Friday 2nd April 2021
quotequote all
BroadsRS6 said:
A mate has a 2019 BMW X3M he bought new. A fine car which was far more rapid than i had expected. With 503 bhp it was always going to be quick but i was impressed with how it went, from just 3 litres and 6 cylinders. Damn fast.
But then he mentioned that expected depreciation on the car (he doesn't care, he's loaded big time) is £45,000 in the first 3 years. He got that from Parkers and i confirmed it by looking at a couple of car magazines.
That's because it's crap. See :-

https://www.topgear.com/car-reviews/bmw/x3-m

Far from M Division’s finest hour. Fast, but you couldn’t live with the ride

sociopath

3,433 posts

94 months

Friday 2nd April 2021
quotequote all
Depreciation isn't a measure of a cars value, who knows how you measure that, depreciation is just a measure of how much someone is prepared to pay for it.

An in-demand car won't depreciate much because there's a healthy market for it, a car no-one wants will plummet

robinessex

11,984 posts

209 months

Friday 2nd April 2021
quotequote all
I can see the used car market for ICE cars plunging now. They're doomed, the average buyer just wants to keep up with the new thing. The only ICE engined cars that will retain some value is something special. Wait a while, you could well be able to pick up a bargain.

Sheepshanks

40,715 posts

147 months

Friday 2nd April 2021
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I blame dated registration plates!

Baldchap

9,618 posts

120 months

Friday 2nd April 2021
quotequote all
robinessex said:
Far from M Division’s finest hour. Fast, but you couldn’t live with the ride
Sounds like everything they sell at the moment with an M badge.

The likes of Lotus have repeatedly demonstrated that you don't need to shake all your fillings out to have decent handling, but BMW seem absolutely determined to send the message that unacceptably hard = better handling.

It's amazing that Alpina can make the same car handle well without shaking anyone's eyes out of their skull...

robinessex

11,984 posts

209 months

Friday 2nd April 2021
quotequote all
A new BMW for circa £60,000 or this:-

https://www.pistonheads.com/buy/listing/10656721?c...


Pookie123

911 posts

166 months

Friday 2nd April 2021
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This is one of the factors as to why I now lease.

mackie1

8,169 posts

261 months

Friday 2nd April 2021
quotequote all
He must have paid close to list for the worst M car in history. You can lease them for half that cost if you really must.

blue_haddock

5,003 posts

95 months

Friday 2nd April 2021
quotequote all
But is that figure of 45k from the actual purchase price or from the RRP which is usually from the land of make believe?

A quick search showing that carwow can knock 17k from the RRP making it more like 70k new before options.



Still pretty big depreciation though

mackie1

8,169 posts

261 months

Friday 2nd April 2021
quotequote all
That’s an ultimate pack car so pretty much every option ticked.

Miserablegit

4,434 posts

137 months

Friday 2nd April 2021
quotequote all
Depreciation is only a factor if the car is being sold after 3 years - keep running it and it’s only a “paper” loss- it will still be the same car.
Don’t understand the need to change a car every five minutes but that’s just me.

bearman68

4,929 posts

160 months

Friday 2nd April 2021
quotequote all
Miserablegit said:
Depreciation is only a factor if the car is being sold after 3 years - keep running it and it’s only a “paper” loss- it will still be the same car.
Don’t understand the need to change a car every five minutes but that’s just me.
Coz it's a BMW, and it's going to repeatedly break after 3 or 4 years.

Driver101

14,451 posts

149 months

Friday 2nd April 2021
quotequote all
BroadsRS6 said:
A mate has a 2019 BMW X3M he bought new. A fine car which was far more rapid than i had expected. With 503 bhp it was always going to be quick but i was impressed with how it went, from just 3 litres and 6 cylinders. Damn fast.
But then he mentioned that expected depreciation on the car (he doesn't care, he's loaded big time) is £45,000 in the first 3 years. He got that from Parkers and i confirmed it by looking at a couple of car magazines.
Forty-five grand loss in 3 years??? That's £300 a week by my maths, on TOP of the fairly steep ownership costs of fuel, insurance, tax and servicing. Whilst i was having a look at the subject, an Audi A8 2018 a customer owns will lose over £60,000 in 4 years. Jeezus H!
I've been buying used, including Cat D and Cat N, for decades now and i did the right thing. When i think how much car i got for £32,000 e g.
WHY do great cars become so worthless overnight? They seemed to be designed to last 15 years or more so why are they worth so little whilst still so young, e g, 3 years old?
A thread about expected depreciation?

Like others have said the X3M was discounted by £20k. The cheapest X3M on AT is £50k. For those that got the normal discounts the depreciation for a 69 plate car is small.

The real depreciation over 3 years won't be anywhere close to £45k.