EVs... no one wants them!

EVs... no one wants them!

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Discussion

OutInTheShed

8,225 posts

29 months

Thursday 4th July
quotequote all
MightyBadger said:
OutInTheShed said:
The people wanting a car and looking to spend under ten grand would probably mostly choose electric if the price was right.
Absolutely not true.
What do you base that on?
People who are not awash with money and not looking for a fashion statement would probably be those who'd most appreciate the fuel savings.
It's only when you get below the £10k level that fuel costs matter much, above that, the majority of motoring costs are generally depreciation and/or finance.

DonkeyApple

56,810 posts

172 months

Thursday 4th July
quotequote all
OutInTheShed said:
What do you base that on?
People who are not awash with money and not looking for a fashion statement would probably be those who'd most appreciate the fuel savings.
It's only when you get below the £10k level that fuel costs matter much, above that, the majority of motoring costs are generally depreciation and/or finance.
KwikFit produce a report a few years back that showed maintenance and fuel as the highest cost burden for lower income car owners.

In time, used EVs will be a financial godsend to lower income households and they won't care one iota that once a week they have to leave the car for a few hours somewhere to charge if needs be. The key is that it'll take at least a decade, arguably two for the used car market to populate nicely at the lower end with EVs and for the remote charging network to build out so until then people must wait, which by all accounts is what they wish to do so that's all perfect and everyone can be happy. The national policy plays into that perfectly.

The actual spanner in the works is local policies where there are more than a few local authorities who are actively targeting the lowest income car users as we have already been seeing but if push comes to shove they can at least be voted out and replaced by entities offering a mandate that aligns with the national policy and isn't hideously regressive.

nickfrog

21,510 posts

220 months

Thursday 4th July
quotequote all
MightyBadger said:
OutInTheShed said:
The people wanting a car and looking to spend under ten grand would probably mostly choose electric if the price was right.
Absolutely not true.
I would say it is very likely to be true and is not happening yet because of low availability due to the relative recency of EVs, particularly cheap ones. It will change and OutInTheShed's view will prove correct IMO. But obviously I am not sure hence me not using the word "absolutely".

wevster

776 posts

160 months

Thursday 4th July
quotequote all
OutInTheShed said:
MightyBadger said:
OutInTheShed said:
The people wanting a car and looking to spend under ten grand would probably mostly choose electric if the price was right.
Absolutely not true.
What do you base that on?
People who are not awash with money and not looking for a fashion statement would probably be those who'd most appreciate the fuel savings.
It's only when you get below the £10k level that fuel costs matter much, above that, the majority of motoring costs are generally depreciation and/or finance.
I think people will chose a car based on how they use it and whether they have off street parking.

If you regularly do longer distances then I don't think an EV is the right choice.

If you don't have off street parking then the price of charging on the public network is a big minus.

SDK

1,006 posts

256 months

Thursday 4th July
quotequote all
Some people continue to claim EV’s are dead and sales are dropping blabla
Yet this is the 7th consecutive month petrol & diesel market share is down and BEV up



Tindersticks

478 posts

3 months

Thursday 4th July
quotequote all
wevster said:
I think people will chose a car based on how they use it and whether they have off street parking.

If you regularly do longer distances then I don't think an EV is the right choice.

If you don't have off street parking then the price of charging on the public network is a big minus.
I’d agree with that.

plfrench

2,547 posts

271 months

Thursday 4th July
quotequote all
TheRainMaker said:
Something big is going to have to be pulled out of the bag to get close to the ZEV.

Not really - assuming we sell total of 2M cars this year, then to hit 19% would mean selling 35,484 BEVs for each of the remaining 6 months. We did 34,034 in June, so not a million miles off. For the first year, I don't think 19% would be too bad a start and certainly not bad enough to say the whole scheme isn't viable.

DonkeyApple

56,810 posts

172 months

Thursday 4th July
quotequote all
plfrench said:
TheRainMaker said:
Something big is going to have to be pulled out of the bag to get close to the ZEV.

Not really - assuming we sell total of 2M cars this year, then to hit 19% would mean selling 35,484 BEVs for each of the remaining 6 months. We did 34,034 in June, so not a million miles off. For the first year, I don't think 19% would be too bad a start and certainly not bad enough to say the whole scheme isn't viable.
And for the next two years the manufacturers can purchase cheap credits to replaced missed sales.

'If a manufacturer sells more ZEVs than their target, they will have a surplus of allowances they can sell, bank, or convert their excess allowances. If a manufacturer sells fewer ZEVs than their target, they can buy, borrow, use banked allowances or convert CO2 emissions allowances to meet their obligation or make a final compliance payment.'

The fun starts in 2026 when they have to sell 33% as EVs and no allowances.

That gives them 2 years to find and nominate the staff who are going to have suck like Dysons to find enough consumers. Meanwhile EV only vendors will be taking customers from them making it even harder.

They will have to discount, beg, grovel and ultimately bend over and present.

Meanwhile, they'll keep making threats to consumers that if they don't buy EVs then they'll up the price of ICE to punish them and they'll keep trying to find jetski politicians to bribe but the reality is that the car manufacturers are about to get their just deserts.

Jimjimhim

529 posts

3 months

Thursday 4th July
quotequote all
otolith said:
Jimjimhim said:
otolith said:
Jimjimhim said:
I'm sure that I don't.
You must have been living under a rock for 20 years if you haven't heard about this.
I've heard all about it.
In which case, even if you don't agree with it, you know perfectly well why the government wants a transition from ICE to EV.
Because as is normal they don't know what they are doing?

otolith

57,269 posts

207 months

Thursday 4th July
quotequote all
Jimjimhim said:
Because as is normal they don't know what they are doing?
Because they get their scientific advice from scientists and not YouTube or right wing bloggers. Crazy, huh?

romft123

684 posts

7 months

Thursday 4th July
quotequote all
740EVTORQUES said:
MightyBadger said:
otolith said:
I'm sure you do. They burn fossil fuels. That produces carbon dioxide. They do not believe that continuing to do that is sustainable.
For every tonne of mined lithium, 15 tonnes of CO2 are emitted into the air......

https://earth.org/lithium-and-cobalt-mining/#:~:te...


Edited by MightyBadger on Thursday 4th July 14:32
And once it's mined it's mined and available to be used indefinitely, unlike fossil fuels that are burned once and then gone forever (or at least for another couple of million years or so)
OOPs

Glosphil

4,418 posts

237 months

Thursday 4th July
quotequote all
plfrench said:
I’ve remembered this time that this thread isn’t about no one wanting EVs, but June’s registration figures are out - steadily going upwards now - 19%, so very nearly 1 in every 5 cars sold were BEV. Pretty strong numbers.
Or, 4 out of 5 were ICE. Very strong numbers.

Jimjimhim

529 posts

3 months

Thursday 4th July
quotequote all
otolith said:
Jimjimhim said:
Because as is normal they don't know what they are doing?
Because they get their scientific advice from scientists and not YouTube or right wing bloggers. Crazy, huh?
Like they did with COVID?

hehe

plfrench

2,547 posts

271 months

Thursday 4th July
quotequote all
Glosphil said:
plfrench said:
I’ve remembered this time that this thread isn’t about no one wanting EVs, but June’s registration figures are out - steadily going upwards now - 19%, so very nearly 1 in every 5 cars sold were BEV. Pretty strong numbers.
Or, 4 out of 5 were ICE. Very strong numbers.
But we’re not in 2030 yet, so wouldn’t expect it to be that high this year. I guess it shouldn’t be a surprise as the car manufacturers employee a lot of accountants and strategists who will have wargamed this to death and decided to either strap in for the ride or give up on the UK (Toyota).

Tindersticks

478 posts

3 months

Thursday 4th July
quotequote all
Jimjimhim said:
Like they did with COVID?

hehe
Please feel free to take that bullst to the COVID thread.

survivalist

5,771 posts

193 months

Thursday 4th July
quotequote all
SDK said:
Some people continue to claim EV’s are dead and sales are dropping blabla
Yet this is the 7th consecutive month petrol & diesel market share is down and BEV up


It’s this kind of nonsense commentary that is putting people off EVs. The upwards trend is very slow. Compared to 2023 market share of new cars is up less than 1%.

To hit the ZEV mandate the monthly market share needs to increase significantly to correct the shortfall for the first half of 2024. Even in isolation the June numbers are short of the 22% ZEv mandate.

The reality is that hybrids are gaining the most share as a percentage and in absolute sales numbers.

Righly or wrongly BEVs aren’t gaining much market share despite significant incentives.

M4cruiser

3,841 posts

153 months

Thursday 4th July
quotequote all
Dave200 said:
I make a perfectly reasonable assumption that an open petrol station will have petrol, and I'm being called a liar, thick, and blamed for a petrol station running out of petrol.

Edited by Dave200 on Thursday 4th July 07:22
The other day I made a perfectly reasonably assumption that a charge-point would be working, because zap-map said it was. It wasn't. Nor was the next one. Luckily the third one was working and unoccupied.

MightyBadger

2,564 posts

53 months

Thursday 4th July
quotequote all
halo34 said:
There it is folks, we can drop that part of the conversation - the MightBadger has spoken.

Remember kids - the only choice is old ICE cars
I was just saying the opposite to what you said, sorry it's not an opinion you agree on. I can only speak from what I see around me. There are new petrol and diesel cars that are selling, I see people buying them, I see people buying cars a few years old that have come off lease, some have older cars but not many, out of about 80 cars in the carpark at work one of those is EV. What I see at work does not match your statement, there are many affordable second hand EVs and cheap EV leases as have been posted in this thread but the people I know are not buying them. Sorry that somehow offends you.





MightyBadger

2,564 posts

53 months

Thursday 4th July
quotequote all
I fully understand they are selling well outside of my own experience.

Ankh87

788 posts

105 months

Thursday 4th July
quotequote all
All this shows is that people seem to still be not sold by BEVs and have range anxiety issues as they seem to be buying PHEV instead.

Edited by Ankh87 on Thursday 4th July 20:49