Who will win the WDC?
Poll: Who will win the WDC?
Total Members Polled: 130
Discussion
We did this poll before the start of pre-season testing, and back in Feb I went for Rosberg, so I should stick to my unpatriotic prediction. I hope I am wrong.
It will be very, very close between him and Lewis, however, and I fully expect it to be decided in Abu Dhabi, particularly with the stupid double-points gimmick. Let's hope it doesn’t decide the championship, eg
Driver A starts final race with an 8-13 point lead over driver B.
Driver B wins and gets 50 points, driver A finishes second and gets 36 points.
Driver B wins championship.
If normal scoring had been in place, driver B would have got 25 points, but driver A would have got 18 and won the championship.
It will be very, very close between him and Lewis, however, and I fully expect it to be decided in Abu Dhabi, particularly with the stupid double-points gimmick. Let's hope it doesn’t decide the championship, eg
Driver A starts final race with an 8-13 point lead over driver B.
Driver B wins and gets 50 points, driver A finishes second and gets 36 points.
Driver B wins championship.
If normal scoring had been in place, driver B would have got 25 points, but driver A would have got 18 and won the championship.
Lewis is faster and more aggressive, but mentally fragile, as demonstrated by talking himself up, talking Rosberg down and looking for something to blame whenever he doesn’t get the roll of the green. He may also be somewhat naïve, as demonstrated by allowing Rosberg to do his final Q3 first. He is also prone to influence by his personal life.
Rosberg is fast enough, astute, smart (sly) and knows what will upset Lewis.
Unless Lewis gets on top of his weaknesses, and I don’t believe he will due to his unwavering self-belief, I think Rosberg will steal this from under his nose.
Rosberg is fast enough, astute, smart (sly) and knows what will upset Lewis.
Unless Lewis gets on top of his weaknesses, and I don’t believe he will due to his unwavering self-belief, I think Rosberg will steal this from under his nose.
The points for wins obliterates this.
25 points for the win was Bernie's big idea for 2009 - he actually wanted gold, silver and bronze. It was a dumb idea as the car counts for 90% and the driver input only 10%.
All the talk / bulls
t is about the WDC whereas all the money is about the WCC. If the driver can only make a small difference to the outcome, then the points difference should reflect this.
Bernie nil point, again!
25 points for the win was Bernie's big idea for 2009 - he actually wanted gold, silver and bronze. It was a dumb idea as the car counts for 90% and the driver input only 10%.
All the talk / bulls
t is about the WDC whereas all the money is about the WCC. If the driver can only make a small difference to the outcome, then the points difference should reflect this.Bernie nil point, again!
Jasandjules said:
Lewis. It is going to be closer than I actually expected though.
The merc is so far ahead that they're only messing around with a max of 7 points relative gain/loss each race (until the last).Virtually equal on points despite ham winning 2x the races rosberg has, and ham has 2x the poles. Just one DNF neutralised Ham's advantage. Project that to the remaining 13 races and rosberg will need a lot of bad luck to befall ham...
Jasandjules said:
I am actually considering putting £20 on Lewis to win it..
Hamilton is short priced favourite to win the WDC this season @ 2-5 generally. So your twenty quid now would win £8 profit come November if LH secures the Championship then.For the next race LH is around 2-5 or 4-9 for the Canadian win. That twenty quid would win £8 or £9 around those odds if he's first past the post in two Sundays time.
Unattractive odds as it's still very early in the season. All it takes is a bit of bad luck or judgement by one of the drivers, or any other driver error or teams and the odds could lengthen for either of the M-B F1 drivers. I shall be patient and see how things shape up. Before a wheel was turned I took 10-1 each way on NR. He's currently less than 2-1 now for the WDC now. If you fancy LH to secure the WDC this season and I still do, you've missed the best odds on him now long since. However, if NR secures a few more wins in the near future for whatever reason, Hamilton's odds will lengthen to much better than 2 -5. Even if that happens, and although it will still be close, I expect LH to score more points than his team mate come the end of the season.
If your judgement is good and not simply fan boy based, it is possible to back more than one driver and make a profit ... on both providing no bad luck for either or both which prevents them from participating the whole season and one of the RB or Ferrari boys start to show better form.
Because it has become a two horse race, the value is now gone. It is still possible to have an additional interest ( bet ) in the races as there is such a wide range of opportunities. Despite the good form shown by his Aussie team mate so far this season, I still rate Vettel the better driver and with that in mind there has been some good value with the Red Bull lads this season. 16-1 for Vettel to post the fastest lap and one or two others such as best of the rest etc.
Whilst obviously it is nice to win a few quid using one's own judgement against the bookies, for me it is much nicer to be right which I have been guilty of being on more than one or two occasions. ...
vonuber said:
The double points will be the Joker in the pack. The entire season could come down to nowt really due to that (i.e. Hamilton could be 49 points clear (So 7 wins compared to 7 second places), have a DNF and Rosberg is WDC due to winning the last race.
It can also mean Hamilton wins with a massively higher total than your 49 points...... init ..
Your glass is half empty. Mine is half full ...
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