The Evidence for Climate Change

The Evidence for Climate Change

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Rhyolith

Original Poster:

124 posts

97 months

Monday 6th March 2017
quotequote all
This thread is for a evidenced based scientific discussion on Anthropogenically induced Climate Change, please don't comment unless you can state where the information your using came from. There are other threads for expressing views without evidence.




The influence of human society on warming the climate is clear, with a near universal consensus among the scientists who study it.

Out of 11'944 scientific paper abstracts (1991 - 2011) related to climate in general (papers not specifically about Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW)).

- 66.4% express no view on AGW (the paper is unclear if these are just unrelated topics)
- 32.6% endorse AGW
- 0.7% reject AGW
- 0.3% are uncertain about the causes of AGW

When considering only papers specifically targeting the AGW/CC topics

- 97.1% endorse AGW
- No figures given for the remaining 2.9%

Source: Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature, (2013), Cook et al. link: http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-932...

sidicks

25,218 posts

228 months

Monday 6th March 2017
quotequote all
Rhyolith said:
This thread is for a evidenced based scientific discussion on Anthropogenically induced Climate Change, please don't comment unless you can state where the information your using came from. There are other threads for expressing views without evidence.




[b]The influence of human society on warming the climate is clear, with a near universal consensus among the scientists who study it. ['b]

Out of 11'944 scientific paper abstracts (1991 - 2011) related to climate in general (papers not specifically about Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW)).

- 66.4% express no view on AGW (the paper is unclear if these are just unrelated topics)
- 32.6% endorse AGW
- 0.7% reject AGW
- 0.3% are uncertain about the causes of AGW

When considering only papers specifically targeting the AGW/CC topics

- 97.1% endorse AGW
- No figures given for the remaining 2.9%

Source: Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature, (2013), Cook et al. link: http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-932...
Nonsense!

Isn't there a thread for this already?

sidicks

25,218 posts

228 months

Monday 6th March 2017
quotequote all
anonymous said:
[redacted]
Deliberately!

The falacy of using the numbers of published papers as evidence of anything has been discussed on numerous ocassions!

grumbledoak

31,849 posts

240 months

Monday 6th March 2017
quotequote all
Science is not a democracy.

Well, real science isn't.

sidicks

25,218 posts

228 months

Monday 6th March 2017
quotequote all
Paddy_N_Murphy said:
I was hoping this was to be a useful thread rather than the obtuse and bullst other one.
Well, so far, the OP is of the opinion that Climate Change has been 'proven' to be man-made, solely on the basis that 'lots of "scientists" say so'...

That seems a wee bit flakey to me!

Edited by sidicks on Monday 6th March 17:47

Rhyolith

Original Poster:

124 posts

97 months

Monday 6th March 2017
quotequote all
This is why I say no AGW skeptic has a convincing reason for being a skeptic, as soon as you ask for only evidence based debate the discussion collapses (because all the actual evidence supports AGW).

Source: look above wink

sidicks

25,218 posts

228 months

Monday 6th March 2017
quotequote all
Rhyolith said:
This is why I say no AGW skeptic has a convincing reason for being a skeptic, as soon as you ask for only evidence based debate the discussion collapses (because all the actual evidence supports AGW).

Source: look above wink
No, you look above.

Your 'evidence' is that lots of papers have been written that suggest that it is the case.

Science doesn't work like that.

HTH

Rhyolith

Original Poster:

124 posts

97 months

Monday 6th March 2017
quotequote all
sidicks said:
Well, so far, the OP is of the opinion that Climate Change has been 'proven' to be man-made, solely on the basis that 'lots of "scientists" say so'...

That seems a wee bit flakey to me!

Edited by sidicks on Monday 6th March 17:47
It doesn't say "proven" anywhere as there is no such thing as proof in science, only varying levels of certainty.

TooMany2cvs

29,008 posts

133 months

Monday 6th March 2017
quotequote all
Paddy_N_Murphy said:
I was hoping this was to be a useful thread rather than the obtuse and bullst other one.
Let's be honest, there really is no way it can possibly ever be that.

On the one side, there's a massive scientific consensus backed up by quite literally a mahoosive amount of evidence-based research.
On the other side, there's tin-foil hats and conspiracy theories.

The only way it could possibly avoid being filled of obtuse bullst is if it just dies a death in a quiet corner.

sidicks

25,218 posts

228 months

Monday 6th March 2017
quotequote all
TooMany2cvs said:
Let's be honest, there really is no way it can possibly ever be that.

On the one side, there's a massive scientific consensus backed up by quite literally a mahoosive amount of evidence-based research.
On the other side, there's tin-foil hats and conspiracy theories.

The only way it could possibly avoid being filled of obtuse bullst is if it just dies a death in a quiet corner.
rofl
Is that 'evidence-based reaseach' where the actual doesn't fit the model, so rather than change the model, you simply manipulate the underlying data until you get the answer you want?

Rhyolith

Original Poster:

124 posts

97 months

Monday 6th March 2017
quotequote all
sidicks said:
No, you look above.

Your 'evidence' is that lots of papers have been written that suggest that it is the case.

Science doesn't work like that.

HTH
My evidence is specially targeting consensus. Which I recall was a major point of skeptics in other discussions on AGW.

The paper examines scientific papers on climate and provides hard numbers for how many "endorse" that humanity is causing AGW. The numbers are clearly in favour of AGW.

How does science work? I was under the impression it was the collection and analyses of data/evidence.

sidicks

25,218 posts

228 months

Monday 6th March 2017
quotequote all
Rhyolith said:
My evidence is specially targeting consensus. Which I recall was a major point of skeptics in other discussions on AGW.

The paper examines scientific papers on climate and provides hard numbers for how many "endorse" that humanity is causing AGW. The numbers are clearly in favour of AGW.

How does science work? I was under the impression it was the collection and analyses of data/evidence.
Indeed - it works on scientific evidence, NOT consensus.

HTH

Rhyolith

Original Poster:

124 posts

97 months

Monday 6th March 2017
quotequote all
sidicks said:
Indeed - it works on scientific evidence, NOT consensus.

HTH
A consensus can be a evidence. Are you saying that 97.1% of scientists studying CC endorsing AGW as happening and being human induced is not suggestive that AGW is indeed just that?

Eric Mc

122,858 posts

272 months

Monday 6th March 2017
quotequote all
We don't need yet another Climate Change thread.

grumbledoak

31,849 posts

240 months

Monday 6th March 2017
quotequote all
Rhyolith said:
A consensus can be a evidence. Are you saying that 97.1% of scientists studying CC endorsing AGW as happening and being human induced is not suggestive that AGW is indeed just that?
rofl That is self interest.

That's not real science either.

sidicks

25,218 posts

228 months

Monday 6th March 2017
quotequote all
Rhyolith said:
A consensus can be a evidence. Are you saying that 97.1% of scientists studying CC endorsing AGW as happening and being human induced is not suggestive that AGW is indeed just that?
Yes, I'm saying exactly that!


Rhyolith

Original Poster:

124 posts

97 months

Monday 6th March 2017
quotequote all
grumbledoak said:
rofl That is self interest.

That's not real science either.
How is it self interest? I would quite like to not worry about AGW, so that seems contradictory.

Show me some real science that provides some evidence for the skeptics then? I have yet to see any that goes against AGW.

TooMany2cvs

29,008 posts

133 months

Monday 6th March 2017
quotequote all
sidicks said:
TooMany2cvs said:
Let's be honest, there really is no way it can possibly ever be that.

On the one side, there's a massive scientific consensus backed up by quite literally a mahoosive amount of evidence-based research.
On the other side, there's tin-foil hats and conspiracy theories.

The only way it could possibly avoid being filled of obtuse bullst is if it just dies a death in a quiet corner.
rofl
Is that 'evidence-based reaseach' where the actual doesn't fit the model, so rather than change the model, you simply manipulate the underlying data until you get the answer you want?
See what I mean?

Rhyolith

Original Poster:

124 posts

97 months

Monday 6th March 2017
quotequote all
sidicks said:
Yes, I'm saying exactly that!
Why?

grumbledoak

31,849 posts

240 months

Monday 6th March 2017
quotequote all
Rhyolith said:
How is it self interest? I would quite like to not worry about AGW, so that seems contradictory.

Show me some real science that provides some evidence for the skeptics then? I have yet to see any that goes against AGW.
The Vostok ice core data shows CO2 rising some 800 years after temperature.

Show me some evidence for spontaneous time travel and we'll talk.

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