Your Covid Risk
Discussion
Growing out of another thread I found this site very interesting.
https://qcovid.org/Home/AcademicLicence?licencedUr...
It calculates your covid risk based on variables like age, weight and pre-existing conditions. No cranky antivax misinformation, this is from Oxford University.
Mine is 0.0029 as a middle aged man with high blood pressure and a few extra pounds. Which is pretty negligible so I played around with it to see if I could make Covid a bit more scary.
Queen - 95, 160cm, 50kg - 0.2364% risk of death
My father - 77, 175cm 80kg, heart condition, - 0.1441%
Mr Unhealthy 90, 165cm, 100kg, heart condition, type 2 diabetes and lung cancer - 0.9766%
Anybody at a more impressive risk?
https://qcovid.org/Home/AcademicLicence?licencedUr...
It calculates your covid risk based on variables like age, weight and pre-existing conditions. No cranky antivax misinformation, this is from Oxford University.
Mine is 0.0029 as a middle aged man with high blood pressure and a few extra pounds. Which is pretty negligible so I played around with it to see if I could make Covid a bit more scary.
Queen - 95, 160cm, 50kg - 0.2364% risk of death
My father - 77, 175cm 80kg, heart condition, - 0.1441%
Mr Unhealthy 90, 165cm, 100kg, heart condition, type 2 diabetes and lung cancer - 0.9766%
Anybody at a more impressive risk?
JuanCarlosFandango said:
Growing out of another thread I found this site very interesting.
https://qcovid.org/Home/AcademicLicence?licencedUr...
It calculates your covid risk based on variables like age, weight and pre-existing conditions. No cranky antivax misinformation, this is from Oxford University.
Mine is 0.0029 as a middle aged man with high blood pressure and a few extra pounds. Which is pretty negligible so I played around with it to see if I could make Covid a bit more scary.
Queen - 95, 160cm, 50kg - 0.2364% risk of death
My father - 77, 175cm 80kg, heart condition, - 0.1441%
Mr Unhealthy 90, 165cm, 100kg, heart condition, type 2 diabetes and lung cancer - 0.9766%
Anybody at a more impressive risk?
Can that be right? Less than 1% for Mr Unhealthy? https://qcovid.org/Home/AcademicLicence?licencedUr...
It calculates your covid risk based on variables like age, weight and pre-existing conditions. No cranky antivax misinformation, this is from Oxford University.
Mine is 0.0029 as a middle aged man with high blood pressure and a few extra pounds. Which is pretty negligible so I played around with it to see if I could make Covid a bit more scary.
Queen - 95, 160cm, 50kg - 0.2364% risk of death
My father - 77, 175cm 80kg, heart condition, - 0.1441%
Mr Unhealthy 90, 165cm, 100kg, heart condition, type 2 diabetes and lung cancer - 0.9766%
Anybody at a more impressive risk?
deckster said:
Hoofy said:
Anything for getting long Covid and length of life being a bit s
t?
Also, getting seriously ill and taking up an ICU ventilator because it's your right, innit.t?Mr Unhealthy is 2.4675%, so for every 41 morbidly obese 90 year olds with lung cancer who selfishly ignore mask rules and so on an ICU bed is occupied. How will we cope???
mw88 said:
I'll put a tenner on this turning into another vax vs un-vax argument 
Absolute risk of death for me: 0.0017%
Risk of Covid Hospitalisation: 0.0584%
Yes odd that it doesn't mention vaccine status etc, but if Mr Unhealthy above is less than 1% it's hard to see how much a vaccine could reduce it for most people.Absolute risk of death for me: 0.0017%
Risk of Covid Hospitalisation: 0.0584%
Chances are it would tell me I would definitely catch it and die immediately but shockingly as an "unvaxxed" person when my kids got it and I spent 10 days in the house with them I didn't catch it.
Likely due to prior infection massively trumping any untested over any length of time vaccine.
Likely due to prior infection massively trumping any untested over any length of time vaccine.
Elatino1 said:
Chances are it would tell me I would definitely catch it and die immediately but shockingly as an "unvaxxed" person when my kids got it and I spent 10 days in the house with them I didn't catch it.
Likely due to prior infection massively trumping any untested over any length of time vaccine.
Don't knock it until you've tried it. If it comes up with more than 1% you've got some pretty serious problems.Likely due to prior infection massively trumping any untested over any length of time vaccine.
shouldbworking said:
Surprised to discover my risk is a third higher than the baseline no risk factors score, and the only thing I ticked was having busted my humerus previously.
Any medical types care to explain why that would be?
Not a medical type but I suspect it's a quirk of statistics and small numbers. If 1/50,000 have died without a broken humerus and 2/50,000 have died with your chances of death have doubled. Any medical types care to explain why that would be?
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