Pay off student loan or invest?
Pay off student loan or invest?
Author
Discussion

clive_candy

Original Poster:

1,149 posts

193 months

Okay, I know there's a ton of variables/considerations/attitudes in play here but I'm curious to know what PHers would do.

Son has £50k outstanding and is paying around £150 a month out of his wages. From what I can make out, the £150 seems to be £10 going towards the principal and £140 in interest. Seems mad to me but there you go.

He's in a reasonably secure job and is likely to be able to pay off the loan at some point in the future, in other words it's unlikely to be written off.

He could pay off a chunk of it or he could invest the money in an S&P 500 fund.

What would you do?



Edited by clive_candy on Sunday 16th August 18:39

maccboy

832 posts

166 months

I would leave the student loan to run its course. If it's not paid off it'll be cancelled anyway. It really isn't his problem!!

NaePasaran

937 posts

85 months

Martin Lewis amongst others have done plenty on this, so worth googling their input.

From memory though, I think typically it's if a very high earner and you'll likely pay it all back before the cutoff date, overpay to avoid the interest.

Don't think it'll be cleared before the cutoff date and the debt dies, **** them.

_Rodders_

3,455 posts

47 months

From a purely financial POV I'd bet investing the money is the better bet.

But there's the psychological aspect of clearing the debt that shouldn't be underestimated.

It didn't make much financial sense to clear my mortgage and SL early but it felt damn good and I've got no regrets.

NowWatchThisDrive

1,312 posts

132 months

Eyeballing those numbers, I'm guessing he's on Plan 5 - is that correct?

Hustle_

26,438 posts

188 months

maccboy said:
I would leave the student loan to run its course. If it's not paid off it'll be cancelled anyway. It really isn't his problem!!
I tend to agree with this. 40 years is a very long time. He may well end up paying it off in the end, but there is no such thing as a job for life anymore, and all kinds of other things could happen. Changing careers, spending extended periods out of work for whatever reason...

clive_candy

Original Poster:

1,149 posts

193 months

NowWatchThisDrive said:
Eyeballing those numbers, I'm guessing he's on Plan 5 - is that correct?
It's Plan 2.

NowWatchThisDrive

1,312 posts

132 months

clive_candy said:
NowWatchThisDrive said:
Eyeballing those numbers, I'm guessing he's on Plan 5 - is that correct?
It's Plan 2.
Something doesn't quite add up then. £150/mth repayment suggests a ~£50k salary (repayments being 9% of income above threshold of £29835). But with that salary his interest rate on Plan 2 would be almost 6%, which on a £50k balance is £250/mth interest - so he wouldn't be touching the principal at all and the balance would be growing by ~£100/mth.

TechnoKnows

41 posts

18 months

_Rodders_ said:
From a purely financial POV I'd bet investing the money is the better bet.

But there's the psychological aspect of clearing the debt that shouldn't be underestimated.

It didn't make much financial sense to clear my mortgage and SL early but it felt damn good and I've got no regrets.
I cleared my SL for this reason...but...it was only at the point I had 8k left.

In this scenario I would just let it run its course and make sure the following is sorted
1. House deposit if not already
2. Any other high interest debt
3. Emergency/ rainy day fund

After that I'd just focus on investing in S&P/Global funds, regularly for 10, 20, 30 years

Can clear the debt in the future with investment gains if he so wishes

Also need to balance all of the above on enjoying life.

fooman

1,190 posts

92 months

We could have paid off my daughters student loan, but as we'd want the money back eventually we would be converting a debt that might be written off to a debt that definitely needs paying off, and in maybe in 10 years!

Unless she works in London (which she doesn't want to do) she'll probably not earn enough to pay it off. Additionally being a woman, she might take maternity leave in future, which means paying off even less of the debt before it is cancelled.

I think she still has £15k of loan in her bank which she is using towards her first house.

clive_candy

Original Poster:

1,149 posts

193 months

NowWatchThisDrive said:
clive_candy said:
NowWatchThisDrive said:
Eyeballing those numbers, I'm guessing he's on Plan 5 - is that correct?
It's Plan 2.
Something doesn't quite add up then. £150/mth repayment suggests a ~£50k salary (repayments being 9% of income above threshold of £29835). But with that salary his interest rate on Plan 2 would be almost 6%, which on a £50k balance is £250/mth interest - so he wouldn't be touching the principal at all and the balance would be growing by ~£100/mth.
No, you're right.

Looking at his most recent statement, he's making monthly payments of £124 against monthly interest charges of between £260 and £290.

So it's actually 'worse' than I thought, the payments he's making aren't even touching the sides.

bompey

628 posts

263 months

You either back him to earn decent money and pay it all off before the interest has compounded too much, or you leave him with the debt which may or may not be written off after 30-40 years and put any other money to good use. The interest rates increase if you earn more and I think you generally need to be earning > £70k to actually be repaying any capital.

Psychologically it must be really difficult to see the repayments going out each month and know the debt is increasing. I can see it also disincentivising people to work harder as deductions will be so great.

NowWatchThisDrive

1,312 posts

132 months

clive_candy said:
No, you're right.

Looking at his most recent statement, he's making monthly payments of £124 against monthly interest charges of between £260 and £290.

So it's actually 'worse' than I thought, the payments he's making aren't even touching the sides.
Fair enough. So current salary of ~£46k, and interest rate capped at 6% from September for the next year at least, but otherwise it's RPI (now 4.1%) + 3%.

How old is he?

ooid

6,568 posts

128 months

A young chap at work told me about this website

https://studentloancalculator.uk/guides/pension-vs...

He basically follows their advice, aggressively salary sacrifice to his pension, the student loan payments minimum and the debt is growing but he mentioned that many does not care due to expiry conditions, so the attitude is F*** them indeed.


clive_candy

Original Poster:

1,149 posts

193 months

Tuesday
quotequote all
He's 25 and would expect his salary to be around £50k before very long but it's not likely to go stellar.

Appreciate the input everyone, it's looking like we'll let the loan run its course, at least for the foreseeable.

NowWatchThisDrive

1,312 posts

132 months

Tuesday
quotequote all
If you assume a) current inflation persists and his salary rises with it, and b) the 6% rate cap persists (arguably optimistic), then essentially at 30 he needs to be earning £60k+ *in today's money* (or ~£73k nominal) and sustaining that thereafter in order to clear it naturally before the 30yr point. If that sounds unlikely and he's heading for write-off anyway then overpaying would be a pretty poor financial decision - basically buying nothing while giving up significant optionality - and the size of the "balance", however big/scary it gets, is meaningless really.

PistonHead007

428 posts

59 months

Tuesday
quotequote all
Is there not a legislation risk that loans get changed so they aren't written off?

The amount of interest they charge is unjust. Ideally it'd be interest free and never written off. At worst it should be no more than inflation. I was glad to clear mine and move on, but it was before the average amount borrowed got as big as it is now.

NowWatchThisDrive

1,312 posts

132 months

Yesterday (06:59)
quotequote all
Anyone starting since 2023 is on Plan 5, which is interest equal to RPI, vs RPI+3% for Plan 2. However the income thresholds before repayments start are substantially lower, and the term is 10yrs longer, so I think for most it'll end up being more expensive than Plan 2.

I think removing the write-off altogether would be a tough sell politically given the size of the Plan 2 cohort (most of which are expected to hit write-off) and the fact it'd fall hardest on the lowest earners. Given govt fondness for fiscal drag, keeping the thresholds (currently frozen til 2030) artificially low seems a good bet, and the 6% rate cap won't last forever.

Nezquick

1,819 posts

154 months

Yesterday (07:06)
quotequote all
clive_candy said:
No, you're right.

Looking at his most recent statement, he's making monthly payments of £124 against monthly interest charges of between £260 and £290.

So it's actually 'worse' than I thought, the payments he's making aren't even touching the sides.
On a separate note, how is this actually legal!?! What a complete joke!

As people have said on other threads, it is simply a student tax at this point.

clive_candy

Original Poster:

1,149 posts

193 months

Yesterday (08:43)
quotequote all
Yep, they're only getting away with this because 18 year olds have no sense of money and their parents are one step removed.

If kids had to get a bank loan to pay for university there'd be a lot fewer doing degrees but there's now too many vested interests.

Thanks Tony Blair.