Make sense to buy BARCLAYS?
Make sense to buy BARCLAYS?
Author
Discussion

Smiffack993

Original Poster:

177 posts

243 months

Tuesday 30th July 2013
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With the rights issue being valued far higher than expectation and the significant fall of the stock as a result - some might call this the elegant entry point......

Any thoughts?

Lawrence5

1,254 posts

265 months

Tuesday 30th July 2013
quotequote all
<<Barclays PLC (BCS) gave in to pressure from regulators with a plan to issue £5.8 billion in new shares, as part of what Chief Executive Antony Jenkins called "a bold but balanced plan" to address a capital shortfall. The bank is to start marketing the new shares at 185 pence apiece, a 40.1% discount to Monday's 309.5 pence closing price. It said it will raise a further £2 billion by issuing "contingent capital" bonds that automatically convert to shares in times of stress. Barclays said the moves and separate measures to shrink parts of its business should push its ratio of equity to assets above 3%, the minimum required by U.K. bank supervisors, by June 2014. Barclays made the announcement on capital while releasing first-half results that showed a £671 million net profit, up from £148 million in the first half of 2012. Pre-tax profits, after adjustments, fell 17% to £3.59 billion from £4.34 billion, in part from new provisions to compensate customers.>>

So the shares you buy might not be worth the same % of the company as previously thought. Hence the value has fallen.

Not sure £5.8bn will make a massive LT difference but you may lose before you win.....

Smiffack993

Original Poster:

177 posts

243 months

Tuesday 30th July 2013
quotequote all
So with that in mind and the current price of around 285p, that would make the ownership proposition more tempting. I guess its a question of how much more do you let it drop before ploughing in....

Lawrence5

1,254 posts

265 months

Tuesday 30th July 2013
quotequote all
Picked up a little towards the end of the day... Hard to assess the true value as they convert in times of need.

I'm tempted as a long term.... The way Barclays raised capital last time using Abu Dhabi funds to weather the banking crisis makes it hard to assess their shape.

Proceed with caution

Smiffack993

Original Poster:

177 posts

243 months

Wednesday 31st July 2013
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People are still getting out - which worries me.... as you say, handling with caution is the only way.

BIRMA

4,273 posts

224 months

Wednesday 31st July 2013
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As part of my share spread I bought the following shares two years ago:- RBS-down slightly, LLoyds-small profit, HSBC-small profit, Barclays-small profit. I only bought a 1000 in each as I remebered the days when they were £30 a share. All in all wishful thinking on my part as there are others like RR etc who have outperfomed the banks by a country mile. In the event of wanting some cash I'll probably cash in the bank shares first and leave the others I bought in place.

Cheib

25,430 posts

205 months

Wednesday 31st July 2013
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Lawrence5 said:
Picked up a little towards the end of the day... Hard to assess the true value as they convert in times of need.

I'm tempted as a long term.... The way Barclays raised capital last time using Abu Dhabi funds to weather the banking crisis makes it hard to assess their shape.

Proceed with caution
Especially as they are under investigation for how they raised money from Qatar (not Abu Dhabi). Barclays under Bob Diamond sailed fairly close to the wind in a lot of ways (especially in 2008) I think the FCA and BoE would love to dish out some tough love.

fido

18,918 posts

285 months

Thursday 1st August 2013
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Cheib said:
Barclays under Bob Diamond sailed fairly close to the wind in a lot of ways (especially in 2008) I think the FCA and BoE would love to dish out some tough love.
Hmm, sounds very much like a political shoeing to me. I'm not sure what exactly they are meant to have done wrong. Certainly I followed events closely at the time, particularly as I was working there. Timeline was:- Barclays approaches existing investors (which I guess were mainly pension funds and other big UK shareholders) for emergency funds. They couldn't cough up the required amounts in time. Barclays does a deal with Qatar which would avoid a Govt bailout and far greater loss for existing shareholders. Qatar gets some cheap shares which it offloads a year later when the credit markets are back to normal. Or would the shareholders would have preferred a bailout ala RBS or HBOS? I guess not. IMO Jenkins pulled off a very good deal - yes they lost some kudos with shareholders but managed to avoid Govt control and snap up the Lehman franchise. Only Gordon and Chums would grumble at the outcome.

Edited by fido on Thursday 1st August 15:07

B17NNS

18,506 posts

277 months

Sunday 4th August 2013
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Anyone already in? 35% discount on the rights issue.

Smiffack993

Original Poster:

177 posts

243 months

Sunday 4th August 2013
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I'm contemplating going in...... It's a difficult judgement call this one now the price has dropped since the issue announcement.

B17NNS

18,506 posts

277 months

Sunday 4th August 2013
quotequote all
Smiffack993 said:
I'm contemplating going in...... It's a difficult judgement call this one now the price has dropped since the issue announcement.
I'm already in. Contemplating topping up at the reduced rate.

Cheib

25,430 posts

205 months

Monday 5th August 2013
quotequote all
fido said:
Cheib said:
Barclays under Bob Diamond sailed fairly close to the wind in a lot of ways (especially in 2008) I think the FCA and BoE would love to dish out some tough love.
Hmm, sounds very much like a political shoeing to me. I'm not sure what exactly they are meant to have done wrong. Certainly I followed events closely at the time, particularly as I was working there. Timeline was:- Barclays approaches existing investors (which I guess were mainly pension funds and other big UK shareholders) for emergency funds. They couldn't cough up the required amounts in time. Barclays does a deal with Qatar which would avoid a Govt bailout and far greater loss for existing shareholders. Qatar gets some cheap shares which it offloads a year later when the credit markets are back to normal. Or would the shareholders would have preferred a bailout ala RBS or HBOS? I guess not. IMO Jenkins pulled off a very good deal - yes they lost some kudos with shareholders but managed to avoid Govt control and snap up the Lehman franchise. Only Gordon and Chums would grumble at the outcome.

Edited by fido on Thursday 1st August 15:07
Barclays are alleged to have lent at least some of the money to Qatar that was invested in the rights issue.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/ba...

If that's proved they're in massive st. That's a very serious allegation.

Of course if the government hadn't bailed out RBS and HBOS Barclays would have followed. The Govt effectively bailed out the whole banking system which obviously benefited the shareholders in all those banks. Jenkins would have been fighting for the bank not buying Lehman's US business if that hadn't happened.


Welshbeef

49,633 posts

228 months

Monday 5th August 2013
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Have to say at the minute I am going to be I to the max at those levels - however I'm also thinking is it not better to invest into UK fracking diversify and it has potential to go big, plus of course investing directly into UK industry

Markhoskins

109 posts

159 months

Monday 5th August 2013
quotequote all
Welshbeef said:
Have to say at the minute I am going to be I to the max at those levels - however I'm also thinking is it not better to invest into UK fracking diversify and it has potential to go big, plus of course investing directly into UK industry
Are you drunk?

Welshbeef

49,633 posts

228 months

Monday 5th August 2013
quotequote all
Markhoskins said:
Are you drunk?
Are you high?

Markhoskins

109 posts

159 months

Monday 5th August 2013
quotequote all
Welshbeef said:
Are you high?
No.

"I" to the max it is hehe

Welshbeef

49,633 posts

228 months

Monday 5th August 2013
quotequote all
Markhoskins said:
No.

"I" to the max it is hehe
iPhone doing corrections.

bad company

21,920 posts

296 months

Tuesday 6th August 2013
quotequote all
Questor in the Telegraph tipping HSBC this morning. Also the HSBC yield is better.