3,000 deaths or 60,000 deaths. Which is it?

3,000 deaths or 60,000 deaths. Which is it?

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Discussion

johnfm

Original Poster:

13,668 posts

256 months

Friday 17th July 2009
quotequote all
So, news this morning suggested headline figures of POSSIBLY 60,000 deaths from swine flu in the UK.

It turns out that the estimate was 3,000 to 60,000!

Why didn't they just say 1 to 55,000,000 and cover themselves...

Idiots

rolleyes

Tycho

11,828 posts

279 months

Friday 17th July 2009
quotequote all
I'm guessing that 3000 deaths doesn't make a good scary headline....

ewenm

28,506 posts

251 months

Friday 17th July 2009
quotequote all
Has anyone in the UK died of Swine Flu yet rather than dying with Swine Flu and underlying health issues?

Too much spin, not enough facts.

shakotan

10,775 posts

202 months

Friday 17th July 2009
quotequote all
ewenm said:
Has anyone in the UK died of Swine Flu yet rather than dying with Swine Flu and underlying health issues?

Too much spin, not enough facts.
Recently, a doctor and a 6 year old girl died from swine flu without any other underlying medical condition or illness.

littlegreenfairy

10,134 posts

227 months

Friday 17th July 2009
quotequote all
shakotan said:
ewenm said:
Has anyone in the UK died of Swine Flu yet rather than dying with Swine Flu and underlying health issues?

Too much spin, not enough facts.
Recently, a doctor and a 6 year old girl died from swine flu without any other underlying medical condition or illness.
The 6 year old had underlying heart conditions that no-one knew about according to Sky.

Soovy

35,829 posts

277 months

Friday 17th July 2009
quotequote all


ZaNu Labour policy is to frighten the plebs so they'll vote for good old Gordon to protect them.


TankRizzo

7,464 posts

199 months

Friday 17th July 2009
quotequote all
shakotan said:
ewenm said:
Has anyone in the UK died of Swine Flu yet rather than dying with Swine Flu and underlying health issues?

Too much spin, not enough facts.
Recently, a doctor and a 6 year old girl died from swine flu without any other underlying medical condition or illness.
I quite clearly remember watching the news where it said the GP died of natural causes.

madbadger

11,610 posts

250 months

Friday 17th July 2009
quotequote all
The expectation is for 6000 to die from normal flu.

ETA: I think this is based on historical data rather than making up a number.

Edited by madbadger on Friday 17th July 09:37

Hyperion

15,589 posts

206 months

Friday 17th July 2009
quotequote all
If a news story starts with the government says... ignore it.
I bet Gordon is loving every minute of this...the best way to control people is to keep them in a state of fear.
You aren't going to die. Now go to the pub and stop worrying.

Soovy

35,829 posts

277 months

Friday 17th July 2009
quotequote all
Hyperion said:
You aren't going to die. Now go to the pub and stop worrying.
Bang on.

They're simply trying to frighten the average thick, jobless scum who make up a singificant proportion of the UK population into thinking that they might die.


Spiritual_Beggar

4,833 posts

200 months

Friday 17th July 2009
quotequote all
TankRizzo said:
shakotan said:
ewenm said:
Has anyone in the UK died of Swine Flu yet rather than dying with Swine Flu and underlying health issues?

Too much spin, not enough facts.
Recently, a doctor and a 6 year old girl died from swine flu without any other underlying medical condition or illness.
I quite clearly remember watching the news where it said the GP died of natural causes.
This is true.

otolith

58,462 posts

210 months

Friday 17th July 2009
quotequote all
If a bad news item includes best case and worst case scenarios, the media will run the worst case as a headline. See every global warming story, ever.

Einion Yrth

19,575 posts

250 months

Friday 17th July 2009
quotequote all
Spiritual_Beggar said:
TankRizzo said:
shakotan said:
ewenm said:
Has anyone in the UK died of Swine Flu yet rather than dying with Swine Flu and underlying health issues?

Too much spin, not enough facts.
Recently, a doctor and a 6 year old girl died from swine flu without any other underlying medical condition or illness.
I quite clearly remember watching the news where it said the GP died of natural causes.
This is true.
Yes, but dieing of 'flu IS natural causes. wink

ewenm

28,506 posts

251 months

Friday 17th July 2009
quotequote all
Spiritual_Beggar said:
TankRizzo said:
shakotan said:
ewenm said:
Has anyone in the UK died of Swine Flu yet rather than dying with Swine Flu and underlying health issues?

Too much spin, not enough facts.
Recently, a doctor and a 6 year old girl died from swine flu without any other underlying medical condition or illness.
I quite clearly remember watching the news where it said the GP died of natural causes.
This is true.
So Doctor was natural causes, and the 6-year-old had heart problems only discovered after death. My original question stands then. "If you're generally healthy, you don't need to worry about it" would appear to be the sensible message.

jamieboy

5,912 posts

235 months

Friday 17th July 2009
quotequote all
ewenm said:
Has anyone in the UK died of Swine Flu yet rather than dying with Swine Flu and underlying health issues?
Did this turn out to actually be swine flu, or something else?


elster

17,517 posts

216 months

Friday 17th July 2009
quotequote all
madbadger said:
The expectation is for 6000 to die from normal flu.

ETA: I think this is based on historical data rather than making up a number.

Edited by madbadger on Friday 17th July 09:37
What kind of a fool looks at facts?!

I even heard wild estimations of 0.5% of the population!!!

shakotan

10,775 posts

202 months

Friday 17th July 2009
quotequote all
Looks like I've succumbed to media hype as well then.

I didn't see the following stories regarding the doctor and young child, only heard on the news about them "dying of swine flu without other conditions".

otolith

58,462 posts

210 months

Friday 17th July 2009
quotequote all
ewenm said:
So Doctor was natural causes, and the 6-year-old had heart problems only discovered after death. My original question stands then. "If you're generally healthy, you don't need to worry about it" would appear to be the sensible message.
Not much consolation if the child appeared to be generally healthy, prior to dying and undergoing autopsy.

ewenm

28,506 posts

251 months

Friday 17th July 2009
quotequote all
otolith said:
ewenm said:
So Doctor was natural causes, and the 6-year-old had heart problems only discovered after death. My original question stands then. "If you're generally healthy, you don't need to worry about it" would appear to be the sensible message.
Not much consolation if the child appeared to be generally healthy, prior to dying and undergoing autopsy.
Of course not. The point being that you need to be very unlucky to have problems from swine flu. It's not worth most people worrying about.

johnfm

Original Poster:

13,668 posts

256 months

Friday 17th July 2009
quotequote all
All of which makes me wonder why people who should know better (ie civil servants in the appropriate departments) don't present a more rounded set of scenarios.

3,000 to 60,000 is just totally useless.