Worklessness in UK

Author
Discussion

W12GT

Original Poster:

3,731 posts

228 months

Wednesday 14th August
quotequote all
ONS has confirmed numbers as 9.4m people ‘not working’ that’s over 20% of the working age population.

Now I remember learning that for a country to be economically healthy it should be around 2.5%

What have the Tories been doing (or not doing to allow this to happen).

Sheepshanks

35,033 posts

126 months

Wednesday 14th August
quotequote all
This was discussed at length recently IIRC the UK is pretty average.

Where does 2.5% come from? Unemployment rates on their own are far higher than that.

Otispunkmeyer

13,038 posts

162 months

Wednesday 14th August
quotequote all
Sheepshanks said:
This was discussed at length recently IIRC the UK is pretty average.

Where does 2.5% come from? Unemployment rates on their own are far higher than that.
2.5 does seem low unless there is some other nuance to the metric. I think eve the US generally has a similar level of non-working, working age adults as we do. But just because someone is working age, doesn't mean they are capable of work, even if they want to, due to long term illness or complications from birth etc. maybe they have worked but retired early with enough funds to sustain them (plenty do). Needs drilling down a few layers I think.

valiant

11,346 posts

167 months

Wednesday 14th August
quotequote all
Some retire early before ‘official’ retirement age.

Some will have disabilities and conditions that mean they can’t work or find it difficult to find suitable work.

Some will have caring responsibilities.

Some simply don’t need to work.

Some will be in areas of low opportunity/high unemployment with limited social mobility.

Some are content to live on benefits.

Some are workshy layabouts.

Some will be working but not informing the taxman.


Not as simple as telling people to get a job for the good of the economy. Most will need some sort of support structure in place before they can even contemplate joining the workforce.

Steve H

5,774 posts

202 months

Wednesday 14th August
quotequote all
Economically, the numbers not working seems less important than numbers needing state support to not work.

I could imagine a good part of that 20% being early retirees and parents with working spouses who will be doing little harm to the economic health of the country. Spending wealth drives an economy just as much as producing by working.

W12GT

Original Poster:

3,731 posts

228 months

Wednesday 14th August
quotequote all
Agreed the headline figure doesn’t tell us enough and is more useful if broken down (I haven’t seen these figures).

2.5% means you have enough ‘spare’ people available to support a growing economy. It also means that ‘drains/overheads’ on outgoings are minimal thus supporting a bigger spend pot for public and private purses, resulting in funding for better healthcare, schooling, public services, infrastructure, construction and service industry et al.

Crumpet

4,060 posts

187 months

Wednesday 14th August
quotequote all
Surely back a few decades it would be even higher due to the number of stay-at-home mothers?

My brother is economically inactive, but that’s because his wife turns over hundreds of thousands a year and he just doesn’t need to do anything.

I’d say that’s a fairly meaningless statistic without a lot more detail. I don’t disagree with it; take a trip to a large shopping centre during the day (when most people ‘should’ be working) and it’ll be jam-packed.

cheesejunkie

3,543 posts

24 months

Wednesday 14th August
quotequote all
Agree with the comments on how the figure lacks nuance and there are many reasons why people might not be in work or seeking work. Many legitimate.

Trends are just as important as absolute figures. I don't know if it's still the case but I remember reading post pandemic that increases in student numbers and increases in those on long term sick were a large part of the reason it was trending higher.

OutInTheShed

9,368 posts

33 months

Wednesday 14th August
quotequote all
What is all this 'work' that people should be doing?

What is the real value of much of the work that people are doing?

How much is just 'churn' to make the economy look bigger and to generate a bit of tax?

If you look at the % of people who do anything to bring money into the country it isn't very big.
Large numbers of people are very busy doing nothing very useful.

towser44

3,666 posts

122 months

Wednesday 14th August
quotequote all
OutInTheShed said:
What is all this 'work' that people should be doing?

What is the real value of much of the work that people are doing?

How much is just 'churn' to make the economy look bigger and to generate a bit of tax?

If you look at the % of people who do anything to bring money into the country it isn't very big.
Large numbers of people are very busy doing nothing very useful.
There are vast numbers of vacancies in the leisure sector (eating out etc), literally just heard on a YouTube stream that Virgin Airlines can't get staff, we always never have enough warehouse staff at our place to load the lorries meaning delays and we are always short of HGV drivers as well. Seems to be lots of vacancies in a lot of areas and I wouldn't say they are meaningless jobs.

Sheets Tabuer

19,645 posts

222 months

Wednesday 14th August
quotequote all
Worrying thing is if they go after the easy target to fix this and tax the hell out of people so they have to return to work or can't afford to retire rather than going after the feckless who choose to live a life on benefits.

jesusbuiltmycar

4,673 posts

261 months

Wednesday 14th August
quotequote all
That number will only increase - in the last 100 years no Labour government has left office without increasing unemployment!

cheesejunkie

3,543 posts

24 months

Wednesday 14th August
quotequote all
towser44 said:
There are vast numbers of vacancies in the leisure sector (eating out etc), literally just heard on a YouTube stream that Virgin Airlines can't get staff, we always never have enough warehouse staff at our place to load the lorries meaning delays and we are always short of HGV drivers as well. Seems to be lots of vacancies in a lot of areas and I wouldn't say they are meaningless jobs.
They're not meaningless jobs but I wonder what event might have resulted in there being a worker supply problem. It wasn't a cushy life on benefits that caused it.

The worrying thing is if they think they can punish those who are sick into going out to work due to starving them of needed benefits. Something the last government was fond of trying despite how often it failed to work as it got favourable headlines.

cheesejunkie

3,543 posts

24 months

Wednesday 14th August
quotequote all
jesusbuiltmycar said:
That number will only increase - in the last 100 years no Labour government has left office without increasing unemployment!
You're cutting it fine, 1924 smile.

Mrr T

13,012 posts

272 months

Wednesday 14th August
quotequote all
Sheepshanks said:
This was discussed at length recently IIRC the UK is pretty average.

Where does 2.5% come from? Unemployment rates on their own are far higher than that.
Certainly when I did economics 5% was regarded as full employment.

vixen1700

24,188 posts

277 months

Wednesday 14th August
quotequote all
A thread here talking about the lack of older workers and why they've decided to say sod this for a game of soldiers:

https://www.pistonheads.com/gassing/topic.asp?h=0&...

smile

Rusty Old-Banger

4,929 posts

220 months

Wednesday 14th August
quotequote all
The irony of people posting on PH during "normal" working hours, bemoaning that people don't work hehe

Yes yes glass houses etc biggrin

Drumroll

3,984 posts

127 months

Wednesday 14th August
quotequote all
OutInTheShed said:
What is all this 'work' that people should be doing?

What is the real value of much of the work that people are doing?

How much is just 'churn' to make the economy look bigger and to generate a bit of tax?

If you look at the % of people who do anything to bring money into the country it isn't very big.
Large numbers of people are very busy doing nothing very useful.
But what is real value?

What is useful?

The NHS doesn't bring much money into the country. So does that mean it has no real value or it isn't useful?


cheesejunkie

3,543 posts

24 months

Wednesday 14th August
quotequote all
Rusty Old-Banger said:
The irony of people posting on PH during "normal" working hours, bemoaning that people don't work hehe

Yes yes glass houses etc biggrin
Lol agreed.

However, I will put on my powerfully built head and point out that every hour for me is potentially a work hour, I can't even put my phone on silent just in case.

Flexi time cuts both ways. If I have to be available 247 I'm perfectly happy to skive a bit during those hours.

Stella Tortoise

2,854 posts

150 months

Wednesday 14th August
quotequote all
Rusty Old-Banger said:
The irony of people posting on PH during "normal" working hours, bemoaning that people don't work hehe

Yes yes glass houses etc biggrin
As my old Dad would have said.

'Do as I say not as I do'.