Storm Ciarán

[Solocle]

Obviously there's still a bit of uncertainty about how this storm is going to develop several days out, but models seem to be converging on a rather substantial storm.

It looks like a small deviation to the north or south could make a substantial difference to the impact of the storm.

The most extreme model is the Met Office's own, which shows sustained hurricane force winds over the channel, and 100 mph gusts hitting the South East.



That's still not quite as powerful as the Great Storm of 1987, but it's not that far off either.

Several other models are still predicting "merely" 70 mph gusts on the south coast (approximately hurricane force).

[Earthdweller]

Now they’ve told you about about you can sleep soundly that it won’t happen

[cossy400]

I'm heading to Southampton dock in the morning, hope they shut it I could do with a film day 😀

[numtumfutunch]

How does Eunice in Feb 22 compare with this and the biggie in 1987?

Eunice was pretty impressive and lead to massive devastation of trees and power lines up north

Cheers

[redback911]

numtumfutunch said:

How does Eunice in Feb 22 compare with this and the biggie in 1987?

Eunice was pretty impressive and lead to massive devastation of trees and power lines up north

Cheers

Few quick searches...

The "Great Storm" of 1987 produced exceptionally strong winds, with gusts exceeding 100 mph in many places. The highest recorded gust was 122 mph (196 km/h) in Gorleston, Norfolk, and equivalent to a Category 1 hurricane, on the Saffir-Simpson scale. The average wind speed over the UK for three hours was 75 mph

Eunice of 2022 produced wind gusts of up to 122 mph at The Needles on the Isle of Wight, again gust speed was also equivalent to a Category 1 hurricane.

Storm Ciarán is projected to bring gusts of up to 80 mph to the south coast of England, with a small risk of some more exposed areas seeing wind speeds of up to 90 mph. Plus it will be wet, up to 60mm of rain is expected to fall in some areas.

[Stick Legs]

We aren’t staying at sea!

Heading into Thamesport for some routine maintenance to make the time pay.

[Stick Legs]

It’s always sobering when the wind is blowing it’s hardest to have a look at Marine Traffic & see how many ships are out in it.

I always give a wry smile when the wind sounds like it’s going to lift the roof off the house; ‘it’s a good night to be ashore’.

[TopTrump]

Stick Legs said:

I always give a wry smile when the wind sounds like it’s going to lift the roof off the house; ‘it’s a good night to be ashore’.

More of a man than me- I freak right out

[Easternlight]

Just what we need more wind and rain!!
https://youtu.be/1_Mt6UZBXaY?si=FMcL_FwfzX5JDOoM

[98elise]

TopTrump said:

Stick Legs said:

I always give a wry smile when the wind sounds like it’s going to lift the roof off the house; ‘it’s a good night to be ashore’.

More of a man than me- I freak right out

Same here. I lost a part of my roof in the 1987 storm.

I've been in plenty of storms as sea though and they never bothered me

[Diderot]

We're right on the coast here in West Sussex. We've already done some prep for forecast wind speeds which aren't that unusual here every year.

The one thing that concerns me a little bit is the amount of rain we've already had this month (213mm on my weather station) and what may now fall if as is predicted combined with (a relatively normal for this part of the world) late but not exceptional spring tide.

[119]

Beautiful clear skies here this morning.

[Kes Arevo]

98elise said:

Same here. I lost a part of my roof in the 1987 storm.

I've been in plenty of storms as sea though and they never bothered me

Storms at sea make your shift a bit more interesting, plus it was downtime for us!

[gruffalo]

Easternlight said:

Just what we need more wind and rain!!
https://youtu.be/1_Mt6UZBXaY?si=FMcL_FwfzX5JDOoM

I seem to be completely desensitised to met office weather warnings.

Constant warnings of impending doom, we had one last week for rain ffs, all 3mm of it.

[98elise]

Kes Arevo said:

98elise said:

Same here. I lost a part of my roof in the 1987 storm.

I've been in plenty of storms as sea though and they never bothered me

Storms at sea make your shift a bit more interesting, plus it was downtime for us!

Two worst one I was in the bow of the ship (aircraft carrier) went under multiple times. The worst of it was at night, and it went on for two days. Fortunately I never get sea sick.

[Nightmare]

98elise said:

the bow of the ship (aircraft carrier) went under multiple times.

bloody hell!

[Solocle]

Nightmare said:

98elise said:

the bow of the ship (aircraft carrier) went under multiple times.

bloody hell!

When it gets that bad to they strap the aircraft to the deck, with the obligatory "that's not going anywhere"

[deckster]

gruffalo said:

Easternlight said:

Just what we need more wind and rain!!
https://youtu.be/1_Mt6UZBXaY?si=FMcL_FwfzX5JDOoM

I seem to be completely desensitised to met office weather warnings.

Constant warnings of impending doom, we had one last week for rain ffs, all 3mm of it.

You mean the warnings for the storm that killed 6 people and resulted in 1,000 or so homes being evacuated?

Yeah, complete non-event

[Kes Arevo]

98elise said:

Two worst one I was in the bow of the ship (aircraft carrier) went under multiple times. The worst of it was at night, and it went on for two days. Fortunately I never get sea sick.

Yeah, boats act funny in big seas, especially if you're inside and trying to move about. It's like being in a circus funhouse!

[98elise]

Nightmare said:

98elise said:

the bow of the ship (aircraft carrier) went under multiple times.

bloody hell!

One of my systems was on the focsle (pointy end) and it wasn't designed to go under water (weather proof not water proof)!

Seawater and complex electronics/electrics/hydraulics don't mix