How long has the current Government got?
Discussion
We have a few side bets in our house regarding what’s going to happen with the current Government and the IMF warnings to the Mini budget. The scenarios are
1, Liz Truss and Kwasi are correct and all will be well within 6 months
2, A vote of no confidence in the current Government and Liz steps down and we have a general election in the spring
3, We have a military coup and then a general election.
Personally I’m going for number 2, any more foreseeable options
Almost a 3. Coup by stealth
1, Liz Truss and Kwasi are correct and all will be well within 6 months
2, A vote of no confidence in the current Government and Liz steps down and we have a general election in the spring
3, We have a military coup and then a general election.
Personally I’m going for number 2, any more foreseeable options
Almost a 3. Coup by stealth
Edited by SLK55AMG on Monday 17th October 12:09
anonymous said:
[redacted]
This, kind of. The Tories have the majority.
They won't want to do an internal leadership election again so soon.
They won't willingly vote against their own Government for a General Election.
We're stuck with Truss and co until they decide to call an Election, or they're forced to by law.
tangerine_sedge said:
5. Liz realises that economics is slightly more difficult than she thinks and elects to spend more time with her family(*1) triggering a vote of no-confidence.
(*1) She's always had the look of a coked up rabbit caught in the headlights, so a breakdown is probably not far away
Yes I like that one, hopefully.(*1) She's always had the look of a coked up rabbit caught in the headlights, so a breakdown is probably not far away
Truss seems to be learning in the job that maybe this prime ministering business is a bit harder than it looks? Blagger Boris made it all look so easy.
I think she'll make it through this current spot of bother, though due to the fact that she's now holding something of an economic poison chalice, she'll surely be toast at the ballot box come election time.
I think she'll make it through this current spot of bother, though due to the fact that she's now holding something of an economic poison chalice, she'll surely be toast at the ballot box come election time.
5 - We can't have a vote of no confidence while the Royal Family are in mourning
- November statement / budget look we've listened really (markets tank, again)
- Look over there Boris is in front of the Parliamentary Standards committee
- Christmas, the lights stay on until after Paddington's, sorry, C3's message
- Ukraine kick Putin's arse back to Moscow "Now is not the time, there's a war on dontchya know"
- Easter
- Budget look we've listened really (markets tank, again)
- May by elections lead to the 1922 committee drowning in letters of no confidence
- Coronation "Now is not the time"
- Summer recess
- Winter of discontent
- Election in 2024
- November statement / budget look we've listened really (markets tank, again)
- Look over there Boris is in front of the Parliamentary Standards committee
- Christmas, the lights stay on until after Paddington's, sorry, C3's message
- Ukraine kick Putin's arse back to Moscow "Now is not the time, there's a war on dontchya know"
- Easter
- Budget look we've listened really (markets tank, again)
- May by elections lead to the 1922 committee drowning in letters of no confidence
- Coronation "Now is not the time"
- Summer recess
- Winter of discontent
- Election in 2024
Brave Fart said:
anonymous said:
[redacted]
This is what I expect to happen. A GE in late 2024 or January 2025. Too far off to call the likely result yet, I think. Lots can happen before then.Six Potter said:
Truss seems to be learning in the job that maybe this prime ministering business is a bit harder than it looks? Blagger Boris made it all look so easy.
I think she'll make it through this current spot of bother, though due to the fact that she's now holding something of an economic poison chalice, she'll surely be toast at the ballot box come election time.
If this was France I’m sure there would be mass riots on the streets, it’s a shame we are a bit apathetic in the uk, we should get some fire back in the publicI think she'll make it through this current spot of bother, though due to the fact that she's now holding something of an economic poison chalice, she'll surely be toast at the ballot box come election time.
Six Potter said:
Truss seems to be learning in the job that maybe this prime ministering business is a bit harder than it looks? Blagger Boris made it all look so easy.
I think she'll make it through this current spot of bother, though due to the fact that she's now holding something of an economic poison chalice, she'll surely be toast at the ballot box come election time.
I certainly agree with your first sentence - Truss is finding out the hard way what a difficult job being PM is. I'm surprised she hasn't got better advisors around her; for example, when the additional tax rate abolition was being discussed around the cabinet table, did no one pipe up and say "Err, PM, that would be massively unpopular with the electorate, and a political gift to our opponents"?I think she'll make it through this current spot of bother, though due to the fact that she's now holding something of an economic poison chalice, she'll surely be toast at the ballot box come election time.
Perhaps they did. Perhaps Truss and Kwarteng just decided to do it anyway, along with the other stuff, and damn the consequences. Or perhaps she's made the same mistake as Boris and surrounded herself with sycophants who just nod approval to anything she says.
Either way, I imagine she didn't think her premiership would be quite as eventful in the first three weeks as it has been. The Tory conference in Birmingham could be equally eventful!
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