Reform UK - A symptom of all that is wrong?

Reform UK - A symptom of all that is wrong?

Author
Discussion

Vanden Saab

14,446 posts

77 months

Wills2 said:
After the 8 years of chaos and pantomime that we have witnessed and all the damage done and 5 Prime Ministers coming and going, I for one am glad that's over and we can get back to a sensible government.
I give that 2 weeks...

Jinx

11,495 posts

263 months

Harry Flashman said:
Those of us that detest right wing populism and its damaging, divisive messaging still have to admit this.

Doesn't change my view of the average Reform voter and most of their candidates (I held the same view of the Conservative right as well), but a large chunk of the country voted for people who got very few seats. And the party with a huge majority doesn't have anything like that majority reflected in actual votes.

The problem with PR (apart from giving extreme ideologies power) is a parliament locked without a clear majority, and thus no mandate for change, but rather endless bickering and worrying about alliances, over policy.
Top 5 last night:

Labour - 33.7% vote 412 seats
Conservative - 23.7% vote 121 seats
Reform - 14.3% vote 4 seats
Liberal Democrats - 12.2% 71 seats
Green - 6.8% 4 seats

60% turnout.

We are definitely in interesting times.


bitchstewie

52,716 posts

213 months

PRTVR

7,200 posts

224 months

frisbee said:
Reform will most likely collapse.

A couple of MPs will defect to the Tories, another will go via a byelection for something grottier than tractor porn and Farage will get bored and lose interest.
A strange thing to say...
In Europe there is a massive move to the right, the reasons for this are present in the UK, Reform will increase because Labour will not address any of the problems,
Reforms 4 million voters are a lot to ignore .

JagLover

43,003 posts

238 months

Far Cough said:
frisbee said:
Reform will most likely collapse.

A couple of MPs will defect to the Tories, another will go via a byelection for something grottier than tractor porn and Farage will get bored and lose interest.
I think the opposite. This election was all about gaining traction which they got. Farage himself is now an MP so will sit right where he needs too. Immigration is only going to get worse with Labour and Farage will continue to make them look stupid. Despite the result I think it will be interesting to see the actual voting figures. I want to know how many people voted for X,Y and Z and how many couldn't be bothered.

If , as predicted Labour increase taxes and generally make a huge hash of it all, Reform will be there again to pick up the disgruntled voter. I`m no political animal, just a view from a layman who detests politicians that cannot lie straight in bed !
I think there are arguments for both.

On the negative side

Highly reliant on one man for broader appeal, who is ageing.
May have benefited from an anti-Tory vote that may not be there next time, or to the same extent.

On the positive side
The four seats they won were mainly well known figures and so shows the power of locally known candidates and proper vetting. A more organised party could take advantage.
Still many Conservative voters and former Conservative voters up for grabs, particularly in the seats where they came a strong second to Labour.
Some disillusionment with Labour is highly probable. Whether that be from their social agenda, tax, climate policies, or lack of improvements expected.



the-photographer

3,656 posts

179 months

Mr Penguin said:
Which ones will leave?
If Trump wins, Nigel will have a choice of

(1) Friday afternoon surgeries in Clacton for four years

(2) The riches of the biggest dictatorship in the world

bitchstewie

52,716 posts

213 months

This is the bit I genuinely can't get my head around.

Does anyone really have Tice and Farage down as hard working constituency MPs prepared to put the hard work in in their respective seats over bin collections and local issues?

I really don't.

Mr Penguin

2,067 posts

42 months

the-photographer said:
If Trump wins, Nigel will have a choice of

(1) Friday afternoon surgeries in Clacton for four years

(2) The riches of the biggest dictatorship in the world
He can fly in for the odd speech, surgeries are not compulsory.

lrdisco

1,469 posts

90 months

Farage already complaining that it’s not fair getting so few seats for the proportion of votes received.
It’s going to be hilarious watching him try to make the argument for another referendum on proportional representation voting after it was turned down in the last one in 2011.
After all it was the will of the people to not have a change from FPTP voting and we all know referendums can not be challenged ever.

PRTVR

7,200 posts

224 months

bhstewie said:
This is the bit I genuinely can't get my head around.

Does anyone really have Tice and Farage down as hard working constituency MPs prepared to put the hard work in in their respective seats over bin collections and local issues?

I really don't.
That's old hat now, MPs have been elected on their stance on Palestinian. hehe

Catweazle

1,460 posts

145 months

lrdisco said:
Farage already complaining that it’s not fair getting so few seats for the proportion of votes received.
It’s going to be hilarious watching him try to make the argument for another referendum on proportional representation voting after it was turned down in the last one in 2011.
After all it was the will of the people to not have a change from FPTP voting and we all know referendums can not be challenged ever.
The 2011 referendum wasn't for any form of proportional representation. It was for a form of single transferable vote.

the-photographer

3,656 posts

179 months

Mr Penguin said:
He can fly in for the odd speech, surgeries are not compulsory.
Email only for the people of Clacton? Perhaps once a month or choose the Nadine option of never?

Dave200

4,968 posts

223 months

bhstewie said:
This is the bit I genuinely can't get my head around.

Does anyone really have Tice and Farage down as hard working constituency MPs prepared to put the hard work in in their respective seats over bin collections and local issues?

I really don't.
Of course not. Reform managed to con three sad, seaside towns into voting for them because they promised to fix immigration by "stopping the boats" (all 2% of immigrants).

LimmerickLad

1,471 posts

18 months

lrdisco said:
Farage already complaining that it’s not fair getting so few seats for the proportion of votes received.
It’s going to be hilarious watching him try to make the argument for another referendum on proportional representation voting after it was turned down in the last one in 2011.
After all it was the will of the people to not have a change from FPTP voting and we all know referendums can not be challenged ever.
Except that was for AV not PR and they aren't the same thing..........but you knew that really.

PurplePenguin

3,052 posts

36 months

Dave200 said:
bhstewie said:
This is the bit I genuinely can't get my head around.

Does anyone really have Tice and Farage down as hard working constituency MPs prepared to put the hard work in in their respective seats over bin collections and local issues?

I really don't.
Of course not. Reform managed to con three sad, seaside towns into voting for them because they promised to fix immigration by "stopping the boats" (all 2% of immigrants).
That’s a mature view

Mortarboard

6,346 posts

58 months

lrdisco said:
Farage already complaining that it’s not fair getting so few seats for the proportion of votes received.
It’s going to be hilarious watching him try to make the argument for another referendum on proportional representation voting after it was turned down in the last one in 2011.
After all it was the will of the people to not have a change from FPTP voting and we all know referendums can not be challenged ever.
No no no.

Votes cannot be challenged when it's the result he wants.

He now doesn't want that result. So it's OK to challenge it.

wink

M.

Vasco

16,707 posts

108 months

Farage speech continually heckled by protesters.

119

7,497 posts

39 months

The bitterness of some people regarding Nige getting in to parliament is just bizarre, especially considering he will have virtually no voice in there anyway.

President Merkin

3,877 posts

22 months

119 said:
The bitterness of some people regarding Nige getting in to parliament is just bizarre, especially considering he will have virtually no voice in there anyway.
I think some people have this mad idea where they object to two bob populists with a coterie of racists tagging along behind them.

LimmerickLad

1,471 posts

18 months

President Merkin said:
I think some people have this mad idea where they object to two bob populists with a coterie of racists tagging along behind them.
Just been thrown out of Farage's Pressa PM?