General Election July 2024

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Discussion

Countdown

41,609 posts

202 months

Friday 5th July
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uk66fastback said:
Hang on, that’s precisely the reason they didn’t do well this time round - too centre a party. And being conmen, liars, buffoons and just plain useless didn’t help either of course. This is why Reform has picked up lots of votes … they’re not right of centre enough … in fact they’re not right of centre at all.
Most Tories clearly preferred the Centre rather than the hard right message that Reform were peddling. If the Tories move to the right they will lose more votes to Labour.

Portofino

4,451 posts

197 months

Saturday 6th July
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Countdown said:
Most Tories clearly preferred the Centre rather than the hard right message that Reform were peddling. If the Tories move to the right they will lose more votes to Labour.
Why do people & the media keep peddling hard right? They are not the BNP, EDF or the Old Skool National Front.

Quite a difference between the two.

uk66fastback

16,830 posts

277 months

Saturday 6th July
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Can someone show me what Reform policies are ‘far right’?

The Tories are central already. And look what good it did them. There’s barely a fag paper between the two main parties as it stands.

Sheets Tabuer

19,552 posts

221 months

Saturday 6th July
quotequote all
Portofino said:
Countdown said:
Most Tories clearly preferred the Centre rather than the hard right message that Reform were peddling. If the Tories move to the right they will lose more votes to Labour.
Why do people & the media keep peddling hard right? They are not the BNP, EDF or the Old Skool National Front.

Quite a difference between the two.
It might be:
Comments about the IQ of Africans or black people are savages or describing boat people as scum or Hitler was right or candidates being members of the BNP or saying women are the sponging gender or a candidate saying Islam and Nazis are the same.

Chicken Chaser

8,099 posts

230 months

Saturday 6th July
quotequote all
Portofino said:
Countdown said:
Most Tories clearly preferred the Centre rather than the hard right message that Reform were peddling. If the Tories move to the right they will lose more votes to Labour.
Why do people & the media keep peddling hard right? They are not the BNP, EDF or the Old Skool National Front.

Quite a difference between the two.
There's the hard right and the far right. They could have called the hard right the near right, but that would be completely wrong.

classicaholic

1,874 posts

76 months

Saturday 6th July
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I am really finding it hard to see how Starmer has a true mandate when he only increased Labours vote by 2% over Corbin. I can see why 40% of the eligible votors don’t bother, perhaps time for a change whe only just over 2 out of 10 eligible vote for the ruling party.

swisstoni

17,851 posts

285 months

Saturday 6th July
quotequote all
Chicken Chaser said:
Portofino said:
Countdown said:
Most Tories clearly preferred the Centre rather than the hard right message that Reform were peddling. If the Tories move to the right they will lose more votes to Labour.
Why do people & the media keep peddling hard right? They are not the BNP, EDF or the Old Skool National Front.

Quite a difference between the two.
There's the hard right and the far right. They could have called the hard right the near right, but that would be completely wrong.
This was a huge ‘not this Govt’ vote. People wanted them gone. They wanted Sunak and his simpering tones of nothingness gone. They wanted their seeming inability to get anything done gone. They wanted their useless bottom of the barrel ministers gone.

So who else could someone of even a slightly Right view of the world vote for? Reform were the only show in town for those people.

abzmike

9,128 posts

112 months

Saturday 6th July
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Remember the postal voting issues? Well in Kemi Badenoch’s constituency the margin was 2610 votes - which apparently is very close to the number of postal votes that didn’t get sent out. No one is suggesting that every one would be against her, but it’s enough to require a by-election and stall the Tory leadership election.

p1stonhead

26,567 posts

173 months

Saturday 6th July
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abzmike said:
Remember the postal voting issues? Well in Kemi Badenoch’s constituency the margin was 2610 votes - which apparently is very close to the number of postal votes that didn’t get sent out. No one is suggesting that every one would be against her, but it’s enough to require a by-election and stall the Tory leadership election.
Tory party members will never vote for her anyway.

JagLover

43,542 posts

241 months

Saturday 6th July
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p1stonhead said:
Tory party members will never vote for her anyway.
They may have done at one point. Feeling of more than a few now though is that she sold out.

DSLiverpool

15,035 posts

208 months

Saturday 6th July
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Should we have a “Streeting” watch thread? Day one tell your new company it’s broken - great for morale!

How he handles the junior doctors will be fascinating however capitulation is probably the strategy.

MiniMan64

17,368 posts

196 months

Saturday 6th July
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DSLiverpool said:
Should we have a “Streeting” watch thread? Day one tell your new company it’s broken - great for morale!

How he handles the junior doctors will be fascinating however capitulation is probably the strategy.
I’d rather they spoke a truth that we all know to be true rather than lie about it. Or don’t you want honest politicians?

p1stonhead

26,567 posts

173 months

Saturday 6th July
quotequote all
DSLiverpool said:
Should we have a “Streeting” watch thread? Day one tell your new company it’s broken - great for morale!

How he handles the junior doctors will be fascinating however capitulation is probably the strategy.
Yeah those doctors and nurses working 16 hour shifts around corridors full of people, think it’s all going fine.

p1stonhead

26,567 posts

173 months

Saturday 6th July
quotequote all
JagLover said:
p1stonhead said:
Tory party members will never vote for her anyway.
They may have done at one point. Feeling of more than a few now though is that she sold out.
I wasn’t referencing her policies or loyalties.

These are the people who voted for Truss over Sunak.

bitchstewie

54,484 posts

216 months

Saturday 6th July
quotequote all
DSLiverpool said:
Should we have a “Streeting” watch thread? Day one tell your new company it’s broken - great for morale!

How he handles the junior doctors will be fascinating however capitulation is probably the strategy.
Bit confused.

Most of the NHS threads on here are people insisting it's broken.

Is Streeting wrong or has he simply said the quiet part out loud?

robemcdonald

9,078 posts

202 months

Saturday 6th July
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If we’d had PR in 2019 we’d have ended up with this.

I don’t remember too many right leaning posters advocating it then.

bitchstewie

54,484 posts

216 months

Saturday 6th July
quotequote all
Remarkable how many Damascene conversions we've seen and will definitely be seeing soon around the FPTP system not being fit for purpose.

Like you I don't remember massive majorities being a problem in 2019.

People are just crying because their team lost and lost very very badly.

vaud

51,803 posts

161 months

Saturday 6th July
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robemcdonald said:
If we’d had PR in 2019 we’d have ended up with this.

I don’t remember too many right leaning posters advocating it then.
STV isn't quite the same as PR?

Lefty

16,493 posts

208 months

Saturday 6th July
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SpidersWeb said:
Ignoring tactical voting, if there had been a straightforward proportional representation system then with two seats to declare

Labour would have got 219 instead of 412

Conservatives would have got 154 instead of 121

Reform would have got 93 instead of 4

Lib Dems would have got 80 instead of 71

Greens would have got 45 instead of 4

SNP would have got 17 instead of 9

and then small differences elsewhere.

So FPTP is a harsh mistress, but Labour would still be in power, albeit in a coalition with the LibDems to repel a coalition of Conservative and Reform.

Or even worse, a coalition of Labour and Greens would have been sufficient, but then would you see a mad coalition of the Conservatives, Reform and LibDems to take power?

Or even more insane if Labour and LibDems paired up, an utterly insane coalition of Conservatives, Reform, Greens, and SNP to beat them.

FPTP might deliver some odd results but proportional representation could deliver some utterly crazy governments.
Thanks for doing the sums and it makes sense but your first statement is a huge assumption that skews the numbers - I think there was an awful lot of tactical voting going on.

PR would completely remove that and would also likely increase turnout because a lot of people think their views or beliefs and therefore their vote are worthless because voting for a minority party won’t achieve anything.

robemcdonald

9,078 posts

202 months

Saturday 6th July
quotequote all
uk66fastback said:
Can someone show me what Reform policies are ‘far right’?

The Tories are central already. And look what good it did them. There’s barely a fag paper between the two main parties as it stands.
Stopping “non essential” immigration.
Scrapping net zero.
Banning transgender in schools.
Leaving the ECHR.
Tax relief on school fees.
Raising stamp duty to £750k.
Tax cuts for businesses.

These would all be considered right wing, some more than others obviously.

HTH