Reform UK - A symptom of all that is wrong?

Reform UK - A symptom of all that is wrong?

Author
Discussion

chrispmartha

15,730 posts

132 months

Tuesday
quotequote all
OddCat said:
Legacywr said:
Reform can offer whatever they like, they know they won’t get the chance to implement anything, Farage is just using the party to get himself elected to parliament.
And then what ?
Make as much money as he can for the least amount of work- just as he did as an MEP.

Nomme de Plum

4,865 posts

19 months

Tuesday
quotequote all
OddCat said:
Legacywr said:
Reform can offer whatever they like, they know they won’t get the chance to implement anything, Farage is just using the party to get himself elected to parliament.
And then what ?
He will sit in parliament like he did in the EU and do very little other than to sow discontent. He’ll take his 80k or so plus allowances and expenses.

It would be good if a number of constituents ensured he acted on their behalf and took up local causes. I wonder how much luck they will have. Having a constituency office and holding surgeries in a bar of the local pub doesn’t quite cut it.

S600BSB

5,680 posts

109 months

Tuesday
quotequote all
Nomme de Plum said:
OddCat said:
Legacywr said:
Reform can offer whatever they like, they know they won’t get the chance to implement anything, Farage is just using the party to get himself elected to parliament.
And then what ?
He will sit in parliament like he did in the EU and do very little other than to sow discontent. He’ll take his 80k or so plus allowances and expenses.

It would be good if a number of constituents ensured he acted on their behalf and took up local causes. I wonder how much luck they will have. Having a constituency office and holding surgeries in a bar of the local pub doesn’t quite cut it.
Indeed. Bet he won’t work after 6pm on any day of the week!

Harry Flashman

19,559 posts

245 months

Tuesday
quotequote all
Vanden Saab said:
Nomme de Plum said:
We have an aging population and as a ratio of working to non working it was 4:1 many decades ago and now we are at 3:1 with a projection of 2:1 due to our overly low birth rate.

See Japan for how pear shaped their debt ratio / economy is going?

How will Reform, who advocate no additional immigration deal with a working population who will be overly burdened with tax to support those elderly non working types many who may well vote Reform?

It seems they offer simple but utterly unrealistic policies to complete problems.

Even if we manage to get many of the working age but economically inactive people back to work it will not reinstate the. Higher ratio.
At what point are you going to advocate for stopping importing people. You do know it will have to happen at some point, yes? Or are you someone who thinks it can go on indefinitely and hope it will be the next generations problem.
This post encapsulates exactly why it isn't worth having economic arguments with the rabid anti-immigration crowd. "Importing people".

In a declining birth rate, ageing population, single economic centre, high-cost economy, these fools genuinely believe that we don't need more tax-paying citizens.

The same people moaning about the NHS denying that we need foreign workers to staff it. Or banging on about the lack of trades, and how unreliable they all are whilst wanting to send all the Poles home.

The more liberal media like to portray this as a people being lied to by the right wing. Personally, I think its beyond being credulous - it's just being thick.

But sure. Nigel and his merry band of populists have the answer. Stop the boats. This rot was epitomised by the Tory Brexit negotiations: things like the ludicrous focus on fishing rights whilst completely ignoring financial services, the engine of the British economy today.

Japan is an abject lesson. And one that no one wishes to learn.

This anti-intellectual, pro-scapegoat move in politics is as dangerous as it is depressing. One of the pro-Reform folk on here got half of it right: Tribalism. I'll go further. We don't discuss policy and it's consequences. We discuss belief. Close the borders, save our culture. Make America Great Again. Le Pen winning France. All these factions have great taglines, and policies designed to appeal to people who don't think very far down the line, but can be easily scared. And that's OK, that's democracy after all. We go with the majority.

The trouble is that, as France shows, the majority are just apathetic and don't vote. That's how the crazies get in. We have successfully neutered centrist politics by addicting our populations to things and easy credit, and blame, rather than political responsibility or a thirst for knowledge. Education is tailored to the lowest achieving, and we would rather furlough people in lockdown and give contracts to our cronies than fix our school system or health service.

The Spitfires over cricket fields Johnny-Foreigner-took-my-job bunch have a long, hard retirement coming. Their champions have identified their lowbrow whimsy, isolated them, cut them off from their neighbouring economies, sowed hate and distrust and emasculated Britain's economy. And the worst of these champions are now the kernel of Reform; a party captained by the cynical, with the bigoted as their footsoldiers.

Yeah, stop the bloody boats. That's going to fix it all.



Edited by Harry Flashman on Tuesday 2nd July 21:35

crankedup5

9,936 posts

38 months

Tuesday
quotequote all
valiant said:
crankedup5 said:
valiant said:
crankedup5 said:
Plenty of posts aligning Reform U.K immigration policy to racism.
Maybe not racism but maybe ill thought out nonsense perhaps? How does Nige’s policy of using the Royal Marines to land migrants back on French beaches work in practice?

Do you think it’s workable or ill thought out, off the cuff nonsense?
Said all along that policy and management development is the ambition to move forward. in readiness of 2029. Plenty of work lies ahead and nobody is saying otherwise.
So at what point can we expect Reform to offer credible policies?

What about those who have bought into Reform’s current ‘contract’ and are voting solely based on that? Have they been duped? Do they not realise that Reform’s policies are ‘works in progress’?
It’s a question at the moment.

crankedup5

9,936 posts

38 months

Tuesday
quotequote all
Legacywr said:
Reform can offer whatever they like, they know they won’t get the chance to implement anything, Farage is just using the party to get himself elected to parliament.
Another move forward,an admittance that Farage will be elected to be a MP.


Disastrous

10,119 posts

220 months

Tuesday
quotequote all
Harry Flashman said:
Vanden Saab said:
Nomme de Plum said:
We have an aging population and as a ratio of working to non working it was 4:1 many decades ago and now we are at 3:1 with a projection of 2:1 due to our overly low birth rate.

See Japan for how pear shaped their debt ratio / economy is going?

How will Reform, who advocate no additional immigration deal with a working population who will be overly burdened with tax to support those elderly non working types many who may well vote Reform?

It seems they offer simple but utterly unrealistic policies to complete problems.

Even if we manage to get many of the working age but economically inactive people back to work it will not reinstate the. Higher ratio.
At what point are you going to advocate for stopping importing people. You do know it will have to happen at some point, yes? Or are you someone who thinks it can go on indefinitely and hope it will be the next generations problem.
This post encapsulates exactly why it isn't worth having economic arguments with the rabid anti-immigration crowd. "Importing people".

In a declining birth rate, ageing population, single economic centre, high-cost economy, these fools genuinely believe that we don't need more tax-paying citizens.

The same people moaning about the NHS denying that we need foreign workers to staff it. Or banging on about the lack of trades, and how unreliable they all are whilst wanting to send all the Poles home.

The more liberal media like to portray this as a people being lied to by the right wing. Personally, I think its beyond being credulous - it's just being thick.

But sure. Nigel and his merry band of populists have the answer. Stop the boats. This rot was epitomised by the Tory Brexit negotiations: things like the ludicrous focus on fishing rights whilst completely ignoring financial services, the engine of the British economy today.

Japan is an abject lesson. And one that no one wishes to learn.

This anti-intellectual, pro-scapegoat move in politics is as dangerous as it is depressing. One of the pro-Reform folk on here got half of it right: Tribalism. I'll go further. We don't discuss policy and it's consequences. We discuss belief. Close the borders, save our culture. Make America Great Again. Le Pen winning France. All these factions have great taglines, and policies designed to appeal to people who don't think very far down the line, but can be easily scared. And that's OK, that's democracy after all. We go with the majority.

The trouble is that, as France shows, the majority are just apathetic and don't vote. That's how the crazies get in. We have successfully neutered centrist politics by addicting our populations to things and easy credit, and blame, rather than political responsibility or a thirst for knowledge. Education is tailored to the lowest achieving, and we would rather furlough people in lockdown and give contracts to our cronies than fix our school system or health service.

The Spitfires over cricket fields Johnny-Foreigner-took-my-job bunch have a long, hard retirement coming. Their champions have identified their lowbrow whimsy, isolated them, cut them off from their neighbouring economies, sowed hate and distrust and emasculated Britain's economy. And the worst of these champions are now the kernel of Reform; a party captained by the cynical, with the bigoted as their footsoldiers.

Yeah, stop the bloody boats. That's going to fix it all.



Edited by Harry Flashman on Tuesday 2nd July 21:35
Tremendous post.

S600BSB

5,680 posts

109 months

Tuesday
quotequote all
Agree

Nomme de Plum

4,865 posts

19 months

Tuesday
quotequote all
crankedup5 said:
Legacywr said:
Reform can offer whatever they like, they know they won’t get the chance to implement anything, Farage is just using the party to get himself elected to parliament.
Another move forward,an admittance that Farage will be elected to be a MP.
I hope his constituents make sure he urns his MP’s salary.

I posted a question here about just one of Reform’s policies. Stopping immigration. It’s amazing that not one person has come up with any proposal that counters my post.

Doesn’t say a lot for Reform voters on here does it?



Olivera

7,382 posts

242 months

Tuesday
quotequote all
Harry Flashman said:
Snipped
This is simply a verbose version of the 'brexiteers are all uneducated thickos' trope.

What you fail to dicuss is the serious and material drawbacks caused at least in part by extremely high net immigration - ballooning housing costs, a social housing crisis, and declining public services. Yes we need high skilled and social care employed immigrants, but equally not armies of low skilled Deliveroo drivers or nail bar workers.

Elysium

14,168 posts

190 months

Tuesday
quotequote all
Harry Flashman said:
This post encapsulates exactly why it isn't worth having economic arguments with the rabid anti-immigration crowd. "Importing people".

In a declining birth rate, ageing population, single economic centre, high-cost economy, these fools genuinely believe that we don't need more tax-paying citizens.

The same people moaning about the NHS denying that we need foreign workers to staff it. Or banging on about the lack of trades, and how unreliable they all are whilst wanting to send all the Poles home.

The more liberal media like to portray this as a people being lied to by the right wing. Personally, I think its beyond being credulous - it's just being thick.

But sure. Nigel and his merry band of populists have the answer. Stop the boats. This rot was epitomised by the Tory Brexit negotiations: things like the ludicrous focus on fishing rights whilst completely ignoring financial services, the engine of the British economy today.

Japan is an abject lesson. And one that no one wishes to learn.

This anti-intellectual, pro-scapegoat move in politics is as dangerous as it is depressing. One of the pro-Reform folk on here got half of it right: Tribalism. I'll go further. We don't discuss policy and it's consequences. We discuss belief. Close the borders, save our culture. Make America Great Again. Le Pen winning France. All these factions have great taglines, and policies designed to appeal to people who don't think very far down the line, but can be easily scared. And that's OK, that's democracy after all. We go with the majority.

The trouble is that, as France shows, the majority are just apathetic and don't vote. That's how the crazies get in. We have successfully neutered centrist politics by addicting our populations to things and easy credit, and blame, rather than political responsibility or a thirst for knowledge. Education is tailored to the lowest achieving, and we would rather furlough people in lockdown and give contracts to our cronies than fix our school system or health service.

The Spitfires over cricket fields Johnny-Foreigner-took-my-job bunch have a long, hard retirement coming. Their champions have identified their lowbrow whimsy, isolated them, cut them off from their neighbouring economies, sowed hate and distrust and emasculated Britain's economy. And the worst of these champions are now the kernel of Reform; a party captained by the cynical, with the bigoted as their footsoldiers.

Yeah, stop the bloody boats. That's going to fix it all.
You are missing the simple fact that the two main parties have manifesto commitments on immigration. This has happened not because of jingoism, but because net migration is increasing and our public services are faltering:

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunit...



ONS said:
Before the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, migration was relatively stable, but patterns and behaviours have been shifting considerably since then; net migration increased sharply since 2021 because of a rise in non-EU immigration driven by a range of factors including those arriving on humanitarian routes (including Ukrainian and British National (Overseas) schemes), as well as an increase in non-EU students and workers.
Most people want immigration control. The two main parties and reform are equally committed to that aim. Any difference is superficial.

Nomme de Plum

4,865 posts

19 months

Tuesday
quotequote all
Olivera said:
Harry Flashman said:
Snipped
This is simply a verbose version of the 'brexiteers are all uneducated thickos' trope.

What you fail to dicuss is the serious and material drawbacks caused at least in part by extremely high net immigration - ballooning housing costs, a social housing crisis, and declining public services. Yes we need high skilled and social care employed immigrants, but equally not armies of low skilled Deliveroo drivers or nail bar workers.
How about addressing my post about the working versus retired ratio?

You see it really easy to stop immigration but it’s very hard to manage an economy without having sufficient tax take.

Sadly many Reform voters do not have the intellect to even understand the challenge let alone a solution so flock to the likes of Farage and his simplistic nonsense.

Do you even know the make up of last years immigration numbers?

Harry Flashman

19,559 posts

245 months

Tuesday
quotequote all
Olivera said:
Harry Flashman said:
Snipped
This is simply a verbose version of the 'brexiteers are all uneducated thickos' trope.

What you fail to dicuss is the serious and material drawbacks caused at least in part by extremely high net immigration - ballooning housing costs, a social housing crisis, and declining public services. Yes we need high skilled and social care employed immigrants, but equally not armies of low skilled Deliveroo drivers or nail bar workers.
I'm just gratified that someone like you knows what "verbose" means.

Vanden Saab

14,418 posts

77 months

Tuesday
quotequote all
Nomme de Plum said:
Vanden Saab said:
Nomme de Plum said:
Of course immigration can go on indefinitely. How else would you maintain a viable working economy?

Lack of housing and adequate services was a chosen Tory policy. We needed 3 years of Austerity post 2010 then we should have invested in our country and got stuff like the now defunct rail project, new hospitals, Nuclear power alongside the other renewables.

Not to build affordable homes was a choice and now we reap the rewards of inflated private rents and expensive property.

I’m currently at my Daughters in the states and their economy is flying and yes both the Government and the individual States do subsidise industries through various mechanisms.
Of course... good grief.
It’s easy to criticise but how about you come up with a viable plan? What will you do when that ratio reaches 2:1?
It won't, we have been steadily increasing life expectancy over the last 50 years but now it has stalled at least. We are also better at keeping people from needing so much care as they get older. The time between needing help and dying, say the last 10 years as an example has not really changed. The post war child boom is starting to come to an end.
If we continue to increase our population indefinitely as you seem to be suggesting it will just continue until you run out of people to add to the population. Reducing the population slowly as the boomers die off will allow this to happen organically and is the only way.
The world population increase is already slowing and will soon start falling so your scheme will eventually run out of willing participants anyway. Better to start now rather than leave the mess for your offspring to have to deal with.

Harry Flashman

19,559 posts

245 months

Tuesday
quotequote all
Nomme de Plum said:
Olivera said:
Harry Flashman said:
Snipped
This is simply a verbose version of the 'brexiteers are all uneducated thickos' trope.

What you fail to dicuss is the serious and material drawbacks caused at least in part by extremely high net immigration - ballooning housing costs, a social housing crisis, and declining public services. Yes we need high skilled and social care employed immigrants, but equally not armies of low skilled Deliveroo drivers or nail bar workers.
How about addressing my post about the working versus retired ratio?

You see it really easy to stop immigration but it’s very hard to manage an economy without having sufficient tax take.

Sadly many Reform voters do not have the intellect to even understand the challenge let alone a solution so flock to the likes of Farage and his simplistic nonsense.

Do you even know the make up of last years immigration numbers?
He makes my point for me - doubly.

Firstly, by snidely sniping at my post: it's just Project Fear all over again, right? Those smart historians and economists aren't to be trusted. They're educated. C'mon lads. We're better off on our own. We always have been.

Let's ban the foreigners. House prices are all their fault. And absolutely not the result of cheap credit, sale of council houses, NIMBY politics and selling everyone the dream of home ownership as an investment theory.

Secondly by the nail bar/Deliveroo comment. Who else is going to deliver his takeaways?

Capitalism is a pyramid. It's not a system whereby you get to admit a load of doctors, but can't have basic services performed because you haven't got the unskilled workforce.


valiant

10,682 posts

163 months

Tuesday
quotequote all
Nomme de Plum said:
How about addressing my post about the working versus retired ratio?

You see it really easy to stop immigration but it’s very hard to manage an economy without having sufficient tax take.

Sadly many Reform voters do not have the intellect to even understand the challenge let alone a solution so flock to the likes of Farage and his simplistic nonsense.

Do you even know the make up of last years immigration numbers?
Yep.

I asked this ages ago about how and who is going to do the low paid, long houred heavy work that is been shunned by indigenous Brits like care work, like the hospitality industry and so on and there was silence or wishy washy answers like reducing benefits to get people working and one bright spark said AI would solve everything.

We are getting older. We are not having enough kids. We are leaving the workplace at earlier ages and we are living longer. If we want to remain productive as a nation we have to replace the workers we have and to grow as an economy we need more workers to service it and we to keep the oldies healthy and clean. Who will be wiping your arse when you are dribbling in a care home?

Without immigration we are doomed. We should be welcoming people coming over here who are willing to do the jobs that we aren’t instead of demonising them


Edited by valiant on Tuesday 2nd July 22:31

Elysium

14,168 posts

190 months

Tuesday
quotequote all
Harry Flashman said:
Nomme de Plum said:
Olivera said:
Harry Flashman said:
Snipped
This is simply a verbose version of the 'brexiteers are all uneducated thickos' trope.

What you fail to dicuss is the serious and material drawbacks caused at least in part by extremely high net immigration - ballooning housing costs, a social housing crisis, and declining public services. Yes we need high skilled and social care employed immigrants, but equally not armies of low skilled Deliveroo drivers or nail bar workers.
How about addressing my post about the working versus retired ratio?

You see it really easy to stop immigration but it’s very hard to manage an economy without having sufficient tax take.

Sadly many Reform voters do not have the intellect to even understand the challenge let alone a solution so flock to the likes of Farage and his simplistic nonsense.

Do you even know the make up of last years immigration numbers?
He makes my point for me - doubly.

Firstly, by snidely sniping at my post: it's just Project Fear all over again, right? Those smart historians and economists aren't to be trusted. They're educated. C'mon lads. We're better off on our own. We always have been.

Let's ban the foreigners. House prices are all their fault. And absolutely not the result of cheap credit, sale of council houses, NIMBY politics and selling everyone the dream of home ownership as an investment theory.

Secondly by the nail bar/Deliveroo comment. Who else is going to deliver his takeaways?

Capitalism is a pyramid. It's not a system whereby you get to admit a load of doctors, but can't have basic services performed because you haven't got the unskilled workforce.
The pyramid idea starts to struggle when 54.2% of households take out more than they put in:

https://www.civitas.org.uk/content/files/State-dep...



skwdenyer

17,132 posts

243 months

Tuesday
quotequote all
Elysium said:
Harry Flashman said:
This post encapsulates exactly why it isn't worth having economic arguments with the rabid anti-immigration crowd. "Importing people".

In a declining birth rate, ageing population, single economic centre, high-cost economy, these fools genuinely believe that we don't need more tax-paying citizens.

The same people moaning about the NHS denying that we need foreign workers to staff it. Or banging on about the lack of trades, and how unreliable they all are whilst wanting to send all the Poles home.

The more liberal media like to portray this as a people being lied to by the right wing. Personally, I think its beyond being credulous - it's just being thick.

But sure. Nigel and his merry band of populists have the answer. Stop the boats. This rot was epitomised by the Tory Brexit negotiations: things like the ludicrous focus on fishing rights whilst completely ignoring financial services, the engine of the British economy today.

Japan is an abject lesson. And one that no one wishes to learn.

This anti-intellectual, pro-scapegoat move in politics is as dangerous as it is depressing. One of the pro-Reform folk on here got half of it right: Tribalism. I'll go further. We don't discuss policy and it's consequences. We discuss belief. Close the borders, save our culture. Make America Great Again. Le Pen winning France. All these factions have great taglines, and policies designed to appeal to people who don't think very far down the line, but can be easily scared. And that's OK, that's democracy after all. We go with the majority.

The trouble is that, as France shows, the majority are just apathetic and don't vote. That's how the crazies get in. We have successfully neutered centrist politics by addicting our populations to things and easy credit, and blame, rather than political responsibility or a thirst for knowledge. Education is tailored to the lowest achieving, and we would rather furlough people in lockdown and give contracts to our cronies than fix our school system or health service.

The Spitfires over cricket fields Johnny-Foreigner-took-my-job bunch have a long, hard retirement coming. Their champions have identified their lowbrow whimsy, isolated them, cut them off from their neighbouring economies, sowed hate and distrust and emasculated Britain's economy. And the worst of these champions are now the kernel of Reform; a party captained by the cynical, with the bigoted as their footsoldiers.

Yeah, stop the bloody boats. That's going to fix it all.
You are missing the simple fact that the two main parties have manifesto commitments on immigration. This has happened not because of jingoism, but because net migration is increasing and our public services are faltering:

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunit...



ONS said:
Before the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, migration was relatively stable, but patterns and behaviours have been shifting considerably since then; net migration increased sharply since 2021 because of a rise in non-EU immigration driven by a range of factors including those arriving on humanitarian routes (including Ukrainian and British National (Overseas) schemes), as well as an increase in non-EU students and workers.
Most people want immigration control. The two main parties and reform are equally committed to that aim. Any difference is superficial.
Our services are faltering because of crap Government, not immigration.

It is easy to blame things on immigrants. That doesn’t make it so. Given the net contribution made by EU immigrants, it was lunacy to cut that off.

What we probably need is a truly dystopian Government who will ban birth control and abortion. Otherwise how else will the country function?

In Japan, the fastest-growing sector of the prison population are the elderly - committing crimes so they’ll be housed and not be a burden on their families.

Arguably overly-generous pensions have queered the pitch. People no longer feel the need to procreate in order to provide for them in old age. That’s created a demographic time bomb.

I know many people don’t like this. I understand why. I’d love there to be a different way. But what is it?

Killboy

7,801 posts

205 months

Tuesday
quotequote all
Nomme de Plum said:
He will sit in parliament like he did in the EU and do very little other than to sow discontent. He’ll take his 80k or so plus allowances and expenses.

It would be good if a number of constituents ensured he acted on their behalf and took up local causes. I wonder how much luck they will have. Having a constituency office and holding surgeries in a bar of the local pub doesn’t quite cut it.
It's not like his constituency could use some attention or anything.

Elysium

14,168 posts

190 months

Tuesday
quotequote all
skwdenyer said:
Our services are faltering because of crap Government, not immigration.

It is easy to blame things on immigrants. That doesn’t make it so. Given the net contribution made by EU immigrants, it was lunacy to cut that off.

What we probably need is a truly dystopian Government who will ban birth control and abortion. Otherwise how else will the country function?

In Japan, the fastest-growing sector of the prison population are the elderly - committing crimes so they’ll be housed and not be a burden on their families.

Arguably overly-generous pensions have queered the pitch. People no longer feel the need to procreate in order to provide for them in old age. That’s created a demographic time bomb.

I know many people don’t like this. I understand why. I’d love there to be a different way. But what is it?
Regardless of our aging population there has to be some sort of limit to population growth

Net migration to push UK population to 74m by 2036, ONS projects https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-68139947

ONS forecasts net migration of 6.1m between now and 2036. That’s equivalent to 2.5 cities the size of Birmingham.