Reform UK

[President Merkin]

turbobloke said:

You can't get dropped for clichéd soundbites, there'd be very few candidates remaining

Yes, I saw you bring up Rayner in the Starmer thread, then when spanked, claim the discussion was about Rayner. You are certainly consistent.

[oyster]

z4RRSchris said:

im not really sure what you would cut from the public sector that isnt already st.

other than old ex tory reform voters with no mortgages and nice pensions, saying, "well we would slash the welfare bill and make poor people get off their lazy arses etc,"

But not the biggest part of the welfare bill of course!!

[turbobloke]

https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/ec_vipol...

New Electoral Calculus and Find Out Now MRP poll data shows Reform could win 18 seats, fieldwork to 24 June, sample 19,000+

[Digga]

Mortarboard said:

So what do you call ignoring actual, concrete data then?
Asking for a friend.....

M.

Seriously?

https://en.macromicro.me/charts/541/eu-pmi-eurozon...

[Mortarboard]

Digga said:

Mortarboard said:

So what do you call ignoring actual, concrete data then?
Asking for a friend.....

M.

Seriously?

https://en.macromicro.me/charts/541/eu-pmi-eurozon...

Now do trade intensity.
I'll wait

M.

[Elysium]

Something is about to come out regarding covert recording of comments by Reform campaigners in Clacton.

Farage has already commented

Could be significant.

Edit - channel 4 documentary tonight!

Edited by Elysium on Thursday 27th June 17:54

[Digga]

Mortarboard said:

Digga said:

Mortarboard said:

So what do you call ignoring actual, concrete data then?
Asking for a friend.....

M.

Seriously?

https://en.macromicro.me/charts/541/eu-pmi-eurozon...

Now do trade intensity.
I'll wait

M.

I’m not the one saying every metric points in a single direction.

FWIW, in the last year, UK moved up into the #4 global exporter spot too. I would agree, it is not all beer and skittles though.

[bitchstewie]

Something Channel 4 are going to be reporting on later.

I'm sure there will be the usual excuses made by Farage and his apologists on here.

[Jordie Barretts sock]

It's a little while ago, but PM I wasn't complaining about anything. I was making an observation and answering with my opinion, on why the Tory vote has (and will) collapse.

[Mortarboard]

Digga said:

I’m not the one saying every metric points in a single direction.

FWIW, in the last year, UK moved up into the #4 global exporter spot too. I would agree, it is not all beer and skittles though.

PMI is the industrial equivalent of the consumer confidence survey.

Trade intensity is actual numbers, and negates for things like covid, Ukraine, currency movements and inflation.

M.

[Digga]

Mortarboard said:

Digga said:

I’m not the one saying every metric points in a single direction.

FWIW, in the last year, UK moved up into the #4 global exporter spot too. I would agree, it is not all beer and skittles though.

PMI is the industrial equivalent of the consumer confidence survey.

Trade intensity is actual numbers, and negates for things like covid, Ukraine, currency movements and inflation.

M.

Actual numbers are all backward looking, PMI forward. Which is more important is a stupid discussion.

Exporter status is an absolute.

[Elysium]

bhstewie said:

Something Channel 4 are going to be reporting on later.

I'm sure there will be the usual excuses made by Farage and his apologists on here.

Farage’s statement very strongly condemned comments made by people campaigning in Clacton, which sounded significant. However, Peter Cardwell has had it confirmed by channel 4 that this is racist language from a couple of volunteer leafleters. Secretly recorded by an undercover journalist.

If that is all it is then I suspect it may turn out to be a storm in a teacup.

[Mortarboard]

Digga said:

Actual numbers are all backward looking, PMI forward. Which is more important is a stupid discussion.

Exporter status is an absolute.

So it's a fictioncast then?

,)

M.
(Anyhoo, enough brexitollocks)

[bitchstewie]

Elysium said:

If that is all it is then I suspect it may turn out to be a storm in a teacup.

Yes I had a funny feeling it might be.

[119]

bhstewie said:

Something Channel 4 are going to be reporting on later.

I'm sure there will be the usual excuses made by Farage and his apologists on here.

So now you are getting all frothy about Farage booting out undesirables.


You must be fking worn out by the end of the day.

[Vasco]

Given all the comments, by many, about Reform/Farage not having a chance in hell at this GE.........

So, why do we now have thousands of postings on just the one issue ?. Are the haters getting a little more upset ?

[Randy Winkman]

Vasco said:

Given all the comments, by many, about Reform/Farage not having a chance in hell at this GE.........

So, why do we now have thousands of postings on just the one issue ?. Are the haters getting a little more upset ?

It's the most interesting bit of the GE for me. We know that the Cons have been useless and will be booted out and we assume Labour will win in one way or another. I guess that quite how well the Lib Dems will do is of interest but they are pretty boring and Reform are just more fun to talk about.

[bitchstewie]

Here we are.

https://x.com/Channel4News/status/1806374007521849...

[Mortarboard]

Well, Reform seem to be single-handedly gifting the role of opposition to the LibDems, and the latest poll shows them also responsible for quadrupling the number of Green MPs.

Go nige!

M.

[eharding]

[redacted]