Your voting intentions

Poll: Your voting intentions

Total Members Polled: 1251

Conservative : 22%
Labour: 28%
Reform: 14%
Lib-dem: 9%
Indy: 2%
Green: 3%
Not Voting for any of 'em. (Stay At Home).: 12%
Spoil Paper: 8%
SNP: 1%
Plaid Cymru: 0%
Author
Discussion

Amateurish

7,800 posts

225 months

Interesting how 14 years of Tory failure to manage the NHS is somehow Labour's problem.

Hants PHer

5,897 posts

114 months

Amateurish said:
Interesting how 14 years of Tory failure to manage the NHS is somehow Labour's problem.
We need only look at the NHS in Wales to see how much worse Labour are at 'managing the NHS', compared to Tory England. And that's despite higher healthcare funding per head than in England. See also Scotland and NI.

turbobloke

104,878 posts

263 months

Amateurish said:
Interesting how 14 years of Tory failure to manage the NHS is somehow Labour's problem.
It's down to every government in the past 60 years or so as this happened (below) it's everyone's problem.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1040159/life-e...

Wearing a red tie won't fix it.

oyster

12,713 posts

251 months

uk66fastback said:
He didn’t say Boris was left-wing, he said he took the Tories to a centrist position, which is true. Johnson has been described as ‘a liberal, centre-ground politician’ … I don’t want a Tory party in the centre nor one on the far right, but I do want one somewhere between the two. There’s a fag paper between the two parties currently … the Tories have never been more liberal …
Liberal policies like sending immigrants off to a developing country?

Or denouncing LGBTQ+ progress?

Or dictating where people work from?

etc.

pghstochaj

2,440 posts

122 months

Hants PHer said:
Amateurish said:
Interesting how 14 years of Tory failure to manage the NHS is somehow Labour's problem.
We need only look at the NHS in Wales to see how much worse Labour are at 'managing the NHS', compared to Tory England. And that's despite higher healthcare funding per head than in England. See also Scotland and NI.
"only need to".....

You mean, it is necessary to analyse, in detail, why the Welsh NHS is said to perform less well than the English part of the NHS. For example, by looking at the different demographics, background health, cultures, affordability and use of private healthcare etc. Following this, it may be possible to conclude whether or not, like-for-like, the Welsh NHS is performing less well, or better than, the English NHS given the context that each organisation is working within"

It takes a few seconds to realise that, for example, the average wage in Wales is higher than in England and there is a higher proportion of the Welsh that are >65. A few more seconds to realise that deprivation is slightly worse in Wales than in England.

I know this is more complicated than the soundbite, but sometimes you have to think beyond the headline.

Some more thoughts are here:

https://www.nhsconfed.org/articles/can-we-make-dir...

WCZ

10,609 posts

197 months

I am wondering whether reform will do better than people expect, spoke to a few people recently who said they were going to vote for reform on the basis of immigration as well as 'other parties are woke'

Evanivitch

20,750 posts

125 months

WCZ said:
I am wondering whether reform will do better than people expect, spoke to a few people recently who said they were going to vote for reform on the basis of immigration as well as 'other parties are woke'
I expect they will achieve double-digit percentage of votes, but only 1, possibly 2 seats.

turbobloke

104,878 posts

263 months

pghstochaj said:
Hants PHer said:
Amateurish said:
Interesting how 14 years of Tory failure to manage the NHS is somehow Labour's problem.
We need only look at the NHS in Wales to see how much worse Labour are at 'managing the NHS', compared to Tory England. And that's despite higher healthcare funding per head than in England. See also Scotland and NI.
"only need to".....

You mean, it is necessary to analyse, in detail, why the Welsh NHS is said to perform less well than the English part of the NHS. For example, by looking at the different demographics, background health, cultures, affordability and use of private healthcare etc. Following this, it may be possible to conclude whether or not, like-for-like, the Welsh NHS is performing less well, or better than, the English NHS given the context that each organisation is working within"

It takes a few seconds to realise that, for example, the average wage in Wales is higher than in England and there is a higher proportion of the Welsh that are >65. A few more seconds to realise that deprivation is slightly worse in Wales than in England.

I know this is more complicated than the soundbite, but sometimes you have to think beyond the headline.

Some more thoughts are here:

https://www.nhsconfed.org/articles/can-we-make-dir...
Givernance still figures as those differences aren't quantified and without details the variation may be less significant than weak governance / oversight on Labour;s watch.

valiant

10,652 posts

163 months

WCZ said:
I am wondering whether reform will do better than people expect, spoke to a few people recently who said they were going to vote for reform on the basis of immigration as well as 'other parties are woke'
Polls are a bit weird with Refrom and in particular how many seats it will convert to.

Whilst they poll around 15-19% which since Farage has climbed on board has generally been pretty consistent amongst the various polling companies, translating to seats is anywhere between 3 or 4 and even over 20 in some cases so a real mishmash depending on how polling companies transposes poll results.

I think how they perform will be the story of this election. I predict a few million votes but maybe 5 or so seats but again, that’s just guesswork and I don’t think they’ll be some great breakthrough as 15-20% of the vote will only get you so far.


pghstochaj

2,440 posts

122 months

turbobloke said:
pghstochaj said:
Hants PHer said:
Amateurish said:
Interesting how 14 years of Tory failure to manage the NHS is somehow Labour's problem.
We need only look at the NHS in Wales to see how much worse Labour are at 'managing the NHS', compared to Tory England. And that's despite higher healthcare funding per head than in England. See also Scotland and NI.
"only need to".....

You mean, it is necessary to analyse, in detail, why the Welsh NHS is said to perform less well than the English part of the NHS. For example, by looking at the different demographics, background health, cultures, affordability and use of private healthcare etc. Following this, it may be possible to conclude whether or not, like-for-like, the Welsh NHS is performing less well, or better than, the English NHS given the context that each organisation is working within"

It takes a few seconds to realise that, for example, the average wage in Wales is higher than in England and there is a higher proportion of the Welsh that are >65. A few more seconds to realise that deprivation is slightly worse in Wales than in England.

I know this is more complicated than the soundbite, but sometimes you have to think beyond the headline.

Some more thoughts are here:

https://www.nhsconfed.org/articles/can-we-make-dir...
Givernance still figures as those differences aren't quantified and without details the variation may be less significant than weak governance / oversight on Labour;s watch.
"I don't know what he said, I don't think he knows what he said".

Nevertheless, data analysis is exactly that, trying to quantify what factors influence something. Just saying "Welsh NHS is bad" without any deep review is nonsensical, let alone saying "Welsh NHS is bad because of Labour".

bitchstewie

52,545 posts

213 months

Yeah that'll be it hehe


swisstoni

17,443 posts

282 months

pghstochaj said:
turbobloke said:
pghstochaj said:
Hants PHer said:
Amateurish said:
Interesting how 14 years of Tory failure to manage the NHS is somehow Labour's problem.
We need only look at the NHS in Wales to see how much worse Labour are at 'managing the NHS', compared to Tory England. And that's despite higher healthcare funding per head than in England. See also Scotland and NI.
"only need to".....

You mean, it is necessary to analyse, in detail, why the Welsh NHS is said to perform less well than the English part of the NHS. For example, by looking at the different demographics, background health, cultures, affordability and use of private healthcare etc. Following this, it may be possible to conclude whether or not, like-for-like, the Welsh NHS is performing less well, or better than, the English NHS given the context that each organisation is working within"

It takes a few seconds to realise that, for example, the average wage in Wales is higher than in England and there is a higher proportion of the Welsh that are >65. A few more seconds to realise that deprivation is slightly worse in Wales than in England.

I know this is more complicated than the soundbite, but sometimes you have to think beyond the headline.

Some more thoughts are here:

https://www.nhsconfed.org/articles/can-we-make-dir...
Givernance still figures as those differences aren't quantified and without details the variation may be less significant than weak governance / oversight on Labour;s watch.
"I don't know what he said, I don't think he knows what he said".

Nevertheless, data analysis is exactly that, trying to quantify what factors influence something. Just saying "Welsh NHS is bad" without any deep review is nonsensical, let alone saying "Welsh NHS is bad because of Labour".
And educational attainment?

CivicDuties

5,269 posts

33 months

bhstewie said:
Yeah that'll be it hehe

Nominative determinism in action.

hidetheelephants

25,849 posts

196 months

bhstewie said:
Yeah that'll be it hehe

The people marginalised and defenestrated by Johnson and are still very much hiding in the cupboard under the stairs at conservative party HQ are to blame for everything going to st? This bodes well for a rational and honest post mortem on July 5th. What odds will I get for a tenner on a decade of Starmerism?

pghstochaj

2,440 posts

122 months

swisstoni said:
pghstochaj said:
turbobloke said:
pghstochaj said:
Hants PHer said:
Amateurish said:
Interesting how 14 years of Tory failure to manage the NHS is somehow Labour's problem.
We need only look at the NHS in Wales to see how much worse Labour are at 'managing the NHS', compared to Tory England. And that's despite higher healthcare funding per head than in England. See also Scotland and NI.
"only need to".....

You mean, it is necessary to analyse, in detail, why the Welsh NHS is said to perform less well than the English part of the NHS. For example, by looking at the different demographics, background health, cultures, affordability and use of private healthcare etc. Following this, it may be possible to conclude whether or not, like-for-like, the Welsh NHS is performing less well, or better than, the English NHS given the context that each organisation is working within"

It takes a few seconds to realise that, for example, the average wage in Wales is higher than in England and there is a higher proportion of the Welsh that are >65. A few more seconds to realise that deprivation is slightly worse in Wales than in England.

I know this is more complicated than the soundbite, but sometimes you have to think beyond the headline.

Some more thoughts are here:

https://www.nhsconfed.org/articles/can-we-make-dir...
Givernance still figures as those differences aren't quantified and without details the variation may be less significant than weak governance / oversight on Labour;s watch.
"I don't know what he said, I don't think he knows what he said".

Nevertheless, data analysis is exactly that, trying to quantify what factors influence something. Just saying "Welsh NHS is bad" without any deep review is nonsensical, let alone saying "Welsh NHS is bad because of Labour".
And educational attainment?
Exactly the same. You can't just look at outcomes and blame one factor without accounting for all other factors.

swisstoni

17,443 posts

282 months

pghstochaj said:
swisstoni said:
pghstochaj said:
turbobloke said:
pghstochaj said:
Hants PHer said:
Amateurish said:
Interesting how 14 years of Tory failure to manage the NHS is somehow Labour's problem.
We need only look at the NHS in Wales to see how much worse Labour are at 'managing the NHS', compared to Tory England. And that's despite higher healthcare funding per head than in England. See also Scotland and NI.
"only need to".....

You mean, it is necessary to analyse, in detail, why the Welsh NHS is said to perform less well than the English part of the NHS. For example, by looking at the different demographics, background health, cultures, affordability and use of private healthcare etc. Following this, it may be possible to conclude whether or not, like-for-like, the Welsh NHS is performing less well, or better than, the English NHS given the context that each organisation is working within"

It takes a few seconds to realise that, for example, the average wage in Wales is higher than in England and there is a higher proportion of the Welsh that are >65. A few more seconds to realise that deprivation is slightly worse in Wales than in England.

I know this is more complicated than the soundbite, but sometimes you have to think beyond the headline.

Some more thoughts are here:

https://www.nhsconfed.org/articles/can-we-make-dir...
Givernance still figures as those differences aren't quantified and without details the variation may be less significant than weak governance / oversight on Labour;s watch.
"I don't know what he said, I don't think he knows what he said".

Nevertheless, data analysis is exactly that, trying to quantify what factors influence something. Just saying "Welsh NHS is bad" without any deep review is nonsensical, let alone saying "Welsh NHS is bad because of Labour".
And educational attainment?
Exactly the same. You can't just look at outcomes and blame one factor without accounting for all other factors.
Well, health and education performing worse than England. The common factor seems to be Labour.

S600BSB

5,596 posts

109 months

Evanivitch said:
WCZ said:
I am wondering whether reform will do better than people expect, spoke to a few people recently who said they were going to vote for reform on the basis of immigration as well as 'other parties are woke'
I expect they will achieve double-digit percentage of votes, but only 1, possibly 2 seats.
Certainly hope it’s no more! Having Nige in the HoC might actually be quite fun, but the rest are just awful.

GSE

2,353 posts

242 months

uk66fastback said:
He didn’t say Boris was left-wing, he said he took the Tories to a centrist position, which is true. Johnson has been described as ‘a liberal, centre-ground politician’ … I don’t want a Tory party in the centre nor one on the far right, but I do want one somewhere between the two. There’s a fag paper between the two parties currently … the Tories have never been more liberal …
Exactly. I want a right of centre 'Conservative' government, but no such party exists at the moment. I could never vote Labour for the reasons mentioned, does anybody really think that wet-wipe Starmer will hold out long against the hard left elements within Labour? I'm not expecting any miracles once they get in, I expect the usual socialist things like increased taxes all around, more spending, more 'controlled' immigration, more suicidal net-zero restrictions, and more nanny state control etc etc. Guess we will just have to grin and bear it for the duration. As for the Conservatives, well, they are a fag paper away from Labour at the moment, so they won't be getting my vote. Hope that makes my position clear! biggrin

pghstochaj

2,440 posts

122 months

swisstoni said:
Well, health and education performing worse than England. The common factor seems to be Labour.

One common factor. Can you think of any other factors that might influence the outcome?

swisstoni

17,443 posts

282 months

pghstochaj said:
swisstoni said:
Well, health and education performing worse than England. The common factor seems to be Labour.

One common factor. Can you think of any other factors that might influence the outcome?
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