Any chance of a Dirham revaluation anytime soon?

Any chance of a Dirham revaluation anytime soon?

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Aused

Original Poster:

293 posts

175 months

Tuesday 26th July 2011
quotequote all
Just a question for opinions, I am probably going to start a job in UAE in the next couple of months and the package in terms of my local currency has continued to slide.

I think the Dirham is probably quite a bit undervalued because of the currency peg and wonder if anyone has an opinion on whether a revaluation is ever likely. Let's say worst case the U.S. doesn't come to an agreement in the next couple of days and the US dollar continues a slide for a while.

Luckily, the money is not the only, or probably even the main reason I am taking the job, but it is still hard to stop converting back to home currency all the time.

Chilli

17,320 posts

242 months

Tuesday 26th July 2011
quotequote all
An interesting question. I haven't heard of the peg being moved anytime soon and suggest this will take ages for discussion and implementation. I have no idea of the practical moves that need to be made though.
I also think the US decision and the down-grading will be a (sand) storm in a tea-cup, and that markets/currencies will fluctuate for a bit then it'll be back to normal...despite me thinking that the Euro is silly strong, and equities are over-priced.

yorky500

1,715 posts

197 months

Tuesday 26th July 2011
quotequote all
Aused said:
Just a question for opinions, I am probably going to start a job in UAE in the next couple of months and the package in terms of my local currency has continued to slide.

I think the Dirham is probably quite a bit undervalued because of the currency peg and wonder if anyone has an opinion on whether a revaluation is ever likely. Let's say worst case the U.S. doesn't come to an agreement in the next couple of days and the US dollar continues a slide for a while.

Luckily, the money is not the only, or probably even the main reason I am taking the job, but it is still hard to stop converting back to home currency all the time.
Aas Chilli said, can't see it happeneing for a very, very long time.

I take it you are coming from Australia, which means you most probs will transferring money back to Aus - the exchange rate is crippling it, I am in the same boat with a mortgage in Aus!

Mattt

16,663 posts

224 months

Tuesday 26th July 2011
quotequote all
Chilli said:
An interesting question. I haven't heard of the peg being moved anytime soon and suggest this will take ages for discussion and implementation. I have no idea of the practical moves that need to be made though.
I also think the US decision and the down-grading will be a (sand) storm in a tea-cup, and that markets/currencies will fluctuate for a bit then it'll be back to normal...despite me thinking that the Euro is silly strong, and equities are over-priced.
Yeah, but what do you know about finance...

Chilli

17,320 posts

242 months

Wednesday 27th July 2011
quotequote all
Mattt said:
Yeah, but what do you know about finance...
Tis actually a very good point!

dxbtiger

4,427 posts

179 months

Wednesday 27th July 2011
quotequote all
Will it make beer cheaper?

Let's be honest, that's the crux

Aused

Original Poster:

293 posts

175 months

Wednesday 27th July 2011
quotequote all
dxbtiger said:
Will it make beer cheaper?

Let's be honest, that's the crux
yes it will if it comes from Europe or Oz or some other non US dollar or US pegged region. start the rage then!

Mattt

16,663 posts

224 months

Wednesday 27th July 2011
quotequote all
Chilli said:
Mattt said:
Yeah, but what do you know about finance...
Tis actually a very good point!
You could import a Gallardo cheaply though...

Chilli

17,320 posts

242 months

Wednesday 27th July 2011
quotequote all
Mattt said:
You could import a Gallardo cheaply though...
Mrs C is still not budging on that subject.....just needs a little more working on!

Mattt

16,663 posts

224 months

Wednesday 27th July 2011
quotequote all
Just buy her a horse, and you get a bull...

Mattt

16,663 posts

224 months

Monday 22nd August 2011
quotequote all
To bump this again, we've now seen '6' - is it going to hold, or keep rising back to previous historic (7) levels as the Dollar weakens?

Aused

Original Poster:

293 posts

175 months

Monday 22nd August 2011
quotequote all
Mattt said:
To bump this again, we've now seen '6' - is it going to hold, or keep rising back to previous historic (7) levels as the Dollar weakens?
are you looking at AED/GBP? I watch AED/AUD.

incidently, i have taken the job and will be in the sunny middle east from early October. will look forward to the next go karting meet or something.

Mattt

16,663 posts

224 months

Monday 22nd August 2011
quotequote all
Yes, well QAR, but it's the same as AED.

dxbtiger

4,427 posts

179 months

Monday 22nd August 2011
quotequote all
Aused said:
incidently, i have taken the job and will be in the sunny middle east from early October. will look forward to the next go karting meet or something.
Where you based, Doobs or AD?

Asterix

24,438 posts

234 months

Monday 22nd August 2011
quotequote all
It was close to eight dibs to the pound when I got here. Safe to say I've been very happy while it's been at fives.

So... I doubt they'll revalue until it is in a right mess which I don't think it will as the Chinese will manipulate the markets enough so they don't lose too much.

Mattt

16,663 posts

224 months

Monday 22nd August 2011
quotequote all
If we start getting up towards 7, it's not worth my time!

DubaiJohn

371 posts

192 months

Monday 22nd August 2011
quotequote all
I can't see a revalue anytime soon, as long as the international price of oil/gas is the US$ I think the local currencies will remain pegged to that at the current rates.

On the flip side of this is that I am paid in GBP so when the rate was around 8 I was a happy camper, less so now it is around 6.

Aused

Original Poster:

293 posts

175 months

Tuesday 23rd August 2011
quotequote all
dxbtiger said:
Where you based, Doobs or AD?
i'll be working in abu dhabi but living in the dubai marina area most likely. when i say in abu dhabi, not all the way in, near yas marina.

on the revaluation issue, i personally don't think the UAE will let its currency go entirely down the toilet IF the USD continues down, I think they would look at something like what Kuwait did (partially pegged) or work will start again on a ME common currency.

who knows?? I took the job for the experience as much as the money.

Mattt

16,663 posts

224 months

Wednesday 24th August 2011
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6 seems to have held steady for a week, looks like it's here to stay short term!

Mattt

16,663 posts

224 months

Monday 26th September 2011
quotequote all
Spoke too soon, 5.6 now - score!

Now, hold, or start transferring some cash... decisions, decisions.

Any recommendations for Forex transfer services?